MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best Playoff HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Thursday, October 9

Quinn Allen tells you why William Contreras is a great bet to jump the yard again tonight when the Cubs visit the Brewers, and much more.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Oct 9, 2025 • 12:19 ET • 4 min read
Milwaukee Brewers MLB William Contreras
Photo By - Imagn Images. Milwaukee Brewers catcher William Contreras in MLB action.

The MLB postseason continues today, with both National League Division Series on the schedule.

My MLB player props home run analysis for October 9 will begin with Teoscar Hernandez, followed by William Contreras and Shohei Ohtani. 

Best MLB home run props today

Player DraftKings
Dodgers Teoscar Hernandez +429
Brewers William Contreras +610
Dodgers Shohei Ohtani +275
💲 All three parlayed +11790

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HR Prop #1: Teoscar Hernandez

+429 at DraftKings

Teoscar Hernandez has been a stud in these playoffs for the Los Angeles Dodgers, already clubbing three home runs in five games. He went deep in Game 1 of this NLDS, giving the Dodgers a lead after Cristopher Sanchez exited the contest. 

He’ll face the lefty again today, and Hernandez is 5-for-15 lifetime with two home runs and two doubles. Sanchez doesn’t allow a lot of homers, but if there’s one guy in this L.A. lineup who is capable at the moment, it’s Hernandez. 

He also homered 16 times at home during the regular season. 

HR Prop #2: William Contreras

+610 at DraftKings

The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking to send the Chicago Cubs home tonight as they meet in Game 4. William Contreras has been a key factor in this series so far, hitting .417 through three contests. He also went deep in Game 3 on Monday. 

The Cubbies send Matthew Boyd to the mound this evening, which is going to light up the eyes of Contreras. He’s 5-for-10 lifetime against him with a home run. Contreras only had three bombs off lefties in the season, but it’s hard to ignore his track record here. 

Contreras could make some noise. 

HR Prop #3: Shohei Ohtani

+275 at DraftKings

Shohei Ohtani is a freak of nature, but he has struggled immensely in this series, registering just one hit and striking out seven times.

While that’s very unlike Ohtani, it’s also only a matter of time until he breaks out. 

The slugger smacked 55 regular season bombs and had a pair of round-trippers in the Wild Card. He’s 4-for-19 lifetime against Sanchez, and he thrives at home, smacking 29 long balls at Dodger Stadium. 

A player this good can’t stay cold for long, and his cold streak could just end with a loud statement tonight. 

Today’s HR parlay

Teoscar Hernandez home run

William Contreras home run

Shohei Ohtani home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers
  2. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
  3. Bryce Harper, Phillies

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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