Another day, another opportunity for bombs across the bigs. My MLB player props analysis will hone in on some relative long shots in Mookie Betts and Cody Bellinger, while also backing Vladimir Guerrero Jr..
Best MLB home run props today
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Betts (+840)
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Bellinger (+562)
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Guerrero Jr. (+351)
- 💲 +27964 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Mookie Betts
The odds are lofty at +840 and Mookie Betts isn’t showing a ton of power in 2025, but he’s still more than capable of leaving the yard. The veteran has smacked 18 home runs this season, and he’s already gone deep four times in September.
There’s every reason to believe he could make that five tonight. The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Francisco Giants, who send Logan Webb to the mound. Betts has made his life a nightmare in the past, going 15-for-40 with two doubles and two home runs.
Betts is also hitting .349 this month, and he’s cracked two long balls in his last three appearances. The superstar could creep closer to No. 20 of the campaign this evening.
HR Prop #2: Cody Bellinger
There’s another rivalry clash across the country as the New York Yankees face the Boston Red Sox. A pair of studs will be on the hill as Max Fried and Brayan Bello go to battle, but Cody Bellinger will be one of the few hitters looking forward to facing Bello.
The track record speaks for itself. Belli is 3-for-8 lifetime with a pair of home runs.
He’s not far from 30 bombs for the season, smacking 28 while hitting .276. He’s gone deep twice in September so far, and has 21 round-trippers off right-handed hurlers.
Bello has been dominant against the Yankees this year, but it’s hard to ignore how impressive Bellinger has swung it against the Red Sox starter.
HR Prop #3: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Perhaps his power numbers are down, but Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is certainly doing his part offensively for the first-place Toronto Blue Jays.
He’s batting .305 with 23 home runs and 80 RBI. Guerrero Jr. couldn’t be swinging it any better in September, hitting .512 with two bombs already. It’s the perfect time for him to heat up, with the postseason around the corner.
The Jays face Tomoyuki Sugano today, and while Guerrero Jr. hasn’t taken him deep in the past, he’s 3-for-5 lifetime. As you can see by Vladdy’s average this month, every pitch looks like a beach ball to him at the moment.
Guerrero finished 3-for-3 on Friday. He’ll stay hot, and potentially put one in the bleachers at the Rogers Centre, where he has 12 round-trippers this season.
Today’s HR parlay
Today’s most popular HR bets
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers
- Aaron Judge, Yankees
Betting info courtesy of DraftKings
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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