MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, August 30

Our trio of home run picks for Saturday starts with Pete Alonso in the afternoon and wraps up with Teoscar Hernandez in the evening.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Aug 30, 2025 • 12:24 ET • 4 min read
Teoscar Hernandez Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Teoscar Hernandez in MLB action.

Another full slate of games this Saturday means more opportunities to hit some round-trippers.

My August 30 MLB player props will focus on Pete Alonso, Jeremy Pena, and Teoscar Hernandez. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Mets Alonso (+270)
  • Astros Pena (+450)
  • Dodgers Hernandez (+340)
  • 💲 +8854 parlay💲

Make your HR plays at DraftKings

Bet on your favorite home run props every day at DK, offering competitive odds and multi-HR props as well!

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

HR Prop #1: Pete Alonso

+270 at DraftKings

Pete Alonso is smashing baseballs right now. He’s just smacked home runs No. 30 and 31 across the last two games.

The veteran actually has five hits across his previous two appearances, too. Alonso is hot, and tonight’s matchup heavily plays in his favor. 

The New York Mets will be looking to keep it rolling after scoring 19 runs on Friday against the Miami Marlins. They will send Edward Cabrera to the hill, and Alonso is 3-for-14 versus him with three long balls. 

Alonso is hitting .306 in August and has nine home runs this month. A third straight game with a round-tripper may feel like a long shot, but we’re talking about Polar Bear Pete here. 

HR Prop #2: Jeremy Pena

+450 at DraftKings

Jeremy Pena is having a great season for the Houston Astros. The 27-year-old is hitting .308, and he’s also left the yard 14 times.

While Pena isn’t an elite power hitter, he has pop in his bat. The infielder is up against Kyle Hendricks tonight, who has allowed 21 homers in 25 starts.

The Dominican is 2-for-5 lifetime against Hendricks with a home run. He’s also gone deep 10 times off right-handed hurlers. Hendricks does not have overpowering stuff, and one mistake can turn into a long, long home run. 

Although Pena has just three bombs this month, he’s on a roll at the moment, with three multi-hit games across his last five. His last home run was on August 22. He may just go deep again. 

HR Prop #3: Teoscar Hernandez

+340 at DraftKings

Teoscar Hernandez is still one of the Los Angeles Dodgers’ best hitters. Even though he’s hitting only .247, Hernandez has 21 home runs and 77 RBI.

The slugger has destroyed Eduardo Rodriguez in the past, who will be tasked with keeping the mighty Dodgers at bay this evening. 

Hernandez is 10-for-23 lifetime with three doubles, one triple, and three homers in this matchup. He’s cracked six round-trippers off left-handed hurlers, and E-Rod has serious issues with the long ball, surrendering 21 of them in 23 appearances. 

Don’t be surprised if Hernandez barrels one up in this NL West clash. 

Today’s HR parlay

Pete Alonso home run

Jeremy Pena home run

Teoscar Hernandez home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Junior Caminero, Rays
  2. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  3. Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo