Everybody loves a long ball — but we love them even more when there's a chance to make some sweet, sweet cash off them, which is exactly what we're looking to do with FanDuel Sportsbook's Dinger Tuesday promotion!
How it works: Place one $25 bet on a player to hit a home run every Tuesday... and get $5 in bonus bets for every total home run hit in that game — regardless of who hits 'em.
Today's MLB schedule has two games with very homer-friendly pitchers that I'm targeting in the home run MLB odds today. See what games I'm locked in on — along with the best MLB player props and values based on FanDuel's MLB home run odds — with my favorite FanDuel Dinger Tuesday plays for June 13, 2023.
FanDuel Dinger Tuesday best values
Washington Nationals at Houston Astros (Minute Maid Park, 8:10 p.m. ET)
Pitchers
| Pitcher | HR/9 | HR/FB% | FB% | HardHit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patrick Corbin |
1.34 | 15.1 | 28.1 | 47.3 |
 Hunter Brown |
0.79 | 14.6 | 23.4 | 42.6 |
Hitters to target
Simply put, Patrick Corbin isn't very good. The Washington Nationals southpaw has allowed a dinger in eight of 13 starts this year, including every road start — and he's at Minute Maid Park tonight in a game that has the biggest upgrade for dingers, per Ballpark Pal's Park Factors.
Righties have absolutely destroyed Patty Corbin this year, so for the Houston Astros, you could look at Alex Bregman (+440), who has a 65.5% fly-ball rate against southpaws since May 1, or Jose Abreu (+470), who has finally shown some signs of life with a .333 average and 40% FB rate against LHP over the last six weeks.
Mauricio Dubon (+750), Jose Altuve (+400), and Jeremy Pena (+420) aren't major power threats, but they are righties that could take Corbin deep. With no Yordan Alvarez, the only lefty we could look at is Kyle Tucker (+540), mainly because he is hitting .357 off lefties since May 1, with a 41.5% FB rate.
On the other side, Hunter Brown's HR metrics are depressed from a strong start to the year, where he went six straight starts without a dinger. However — he surrendered two dingers in his last outing and has been taken yard in four of his last six.
Brown has reverse platoon splits, with righties really hitting his fastball: So for the Nats, you could go with Jeimer Candelario (+830), who is hitting .338 off fastballs from righties this year (and has four HR with a 36.8% FB rate vs. RHP since May 1), while Lane Thomas (+630) is hitting .347 off RHP fastballs this year and Luis Garcia (+830) is hitting .320 against righties since May 1.
Best betting value: Jeimer Candelario (+830)
Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals (Kaufmann Stadium, 8:10 p.m. ET)
Pitchers
| Pitcher | HR/9 | HR/FB% | FB% | HardHit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brandon Williamson |
2.03 | 15.0 | 48.2 | 48.2 |
 Jordan Lyles |
2.20 | 14.6 | 52.8 | 36.6 |
Hitters to target
Ballpark Pal has this game downgraded for homers, as Kaufmann Stadium isn't exactly a hitter's park, but man these pitchers are just so juicy to attack.
Williamson gave up a trio of gopher balls his last time out, and the Cincinnati Reds lefty has given up a dinger in four of five starts overall. Righties have done all the damage, primarily of his fastballs, so for the Kansas City Royals we're targeting Bobby Witt Jr. (who has a 48.5% fly-ball rate and crushes fastballs) at +470, along with Maikel Garcia (+1,000), who has a 45.5% FB rate off lefties since May 1), and Salvador Perez (+390), who is in a terrible slump but has an extreme 66.7% fly-ball rate in June.
The beauty of this matchup? For how rough Williamson has been... Lyles has been even worse.
He's given up a dinger in nine of his last 10 outings and multiple homers in seven of 13 starts overall, and is an equal opportunist against righties and lefties.
Righties crush Lyles' sweeper, so the best RHP target appears to be Spencer Steer (+560), who is hitting .294 with four HR and a 50.5% fly-ball rate off righties since May 1, and crushes breaking balls from same-side pitchers. You can also target Matt McLain (+680), who is hitting .318 off RHP during that span and does well vs. breaking pitches too, while Jonathan India (+600) has done most of his damage against righties on the fastball but leads the team with six homers off RHP since May 1.
For lefties, the fastball is where Lyles is vulnerable, so you can look at the red-hot Will Benson (+870), who is hitting .357 off righties in June with a 47.8% fly-ball rate AND is hitting .314 off fastballs from RHB... and then there is the switch-hitting inhuman Elly De La Cruz (+560), who is hitting .368 against righties in his brief career — and a whopping .556 off fastballs from righties.
Best betting value: Will Benson (+870)
Last week's recap:
- LAD at CIN: Two HR (incl. best bet)
- BAL at MIL: Two HR
- Game with most HR: STL/TEX (Five HR)
Not intended for use in MA.
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