Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 9, 2026 , 09:42 AM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB expert expects the White Sox to tag Joey Cantillo en route to victory on Sunday afternoon.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
CLE
42 %
CHW
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. White Sox +101 Chi. White Sox +101
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Chicago White Sox MLB Colson Montgomery
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago White Sox shortstop Colson Montgomery

The AL Central-leading White Sox snapped a four-game losing streak on Saturday to even the three-game weekend series with the second-place Cleveland Guardians.

The Guardians have lost seven of their last 10, yet are -108 moneyline favorites in the MLB odds.

My Guardians vs. White Sox predictions and MLB picks will back Chicago at home on Sunday, Aug. 9.

Who will win Guardians vs White Sox today: White Sox moneyline (+101)

The Chicago White Sox continued a streak of erratic offense on Saturday. Over the last 11 games, they’ve scored six or more five times, and two or fewer six times — none in between. 

Facing curveball-happy (28.8%) Joey Cantillo on Sunday, there’s a good chance the hard-hitting Sox appear. Five members of Chicago’s lineup hit at least .348 with a .530 SLG or better against the curve.

The Cleveland Guardians have made their run in the AL Central by beating up on weak teams. The Guardians are 24-33 against foes with a winning record.

Chicago is 35-22 at home, making them an easy underdog pick. I’d take Chicago to -120.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cantillo is throwing the curve more, but that may be out of necessity, as the other pitches haven’t been effective. Foes are hitting .297 and slugging .531 against the fastball, up 60 and 70 points, respectively, from last season.

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Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-103)

While Chicago against Cantillo seems likely to help push this game Over, the White Sox against Cleveland’s pen may provide even more offense.

Cantillo has averaged 4 2/3 innings since the start of July and hasn’t made it into the sixth over that span. The Guardians pen has a 10.80 ERA and 2.60 WHIP over the last three games and has allowed more earned runs (12) than the starters (nine).

Chicago starter Davis Martin has a 10.64 ERA and 1.727 WHIP over the last month, rising to 16.20 and 2.400 in the last two weeks, leading to concerns that he’s tipping his pitches.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 29-37, -4.68 units
  • Over/Under bets: 40-21, +6.64 units

Guardians vs White Sox weather

82F and sunny, with winds blowing from right to left at 11 mph. Fairly neutral conditions.

Guardians vs White Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Cleveland -108 | Chicago +104
  • Run line: Cleveland -1.5 | Chicago +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Guardians vs White Sox trend

The White Sox have hit the moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+18.25 Units / 36% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. White Sox.

How to watch Guardians vs White Sox and game info

Location Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Date Sunday, August 9, 2026
First pitch 3:10 p.m. ET
TV CleGuardians.TV, CHSN
Guardians starting pitcher Joey Cantillo
(8-7, 3.87 ERA)
White Sox starting pitcher Davis Martin
(9-6, 4.13 ERA)

Guardians vs White Sox latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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