Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Our MLB betting picks can see Davis Schneider making an impact on offense in today's Guardians-Blue Jays finale, but other than that, pitching should dominate based on recent trends.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Jun 16, 2024 • 10:16 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Davis Schneider Toronto Blue Jays MLB
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The Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays collide at Rogers Centre on Sunday afternoon for the rubber match of their three-game set, which has seen just nine total runs scored between the two clubs thus far.

We may very well see another pitcher’s duel this afternoon as two strong starters in Ben Lively and Jose Berrios take the mound for their respective clubs.

Keep reading for my Guardians vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, June 16.

Guardians vs Blue Jays prediction

My best bet
Under 7.5 (-106 at PROLINE+)

My analysis

Six pitchers took the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday to help the hosts shut out the Cleveland Guardians en route to a 5-0 win, while George Springer led the offense with one hit, one RBI, and two runs scored.

The first two games of the series have seen just nine total runs scored between the two clubs (Toronto with six and the Guardians with three) and the trend of low-scoring games could continue this afternoon as Ben Lively and Jose Berrios start for Cleveland and Toronto, respectively.

Lively is having by far the best season of his career with a 2.59 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP through 10 starts. The 32-year-old pitched five shutout innings against the Miami Marlins in his last start on June 8 and has held the opposition to two earned runs or fewer in four consecutive outings. The Guardians starter has not given up more than three runs in any of his appearances this year.

Meanwhile, Berrios has been nearly just as consistent for the Jays with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP through 14 outings. Outside of his May 7 start against the Philadelphia Phillies where he was rocked for eight runs in just 3 2/3 innings, the right-hander has also held his opponent to three runs or fewer in every contest.

Blue Jays star player prop

My best bet
Davis Schneider Over 0.5 RBI (+165 at PROLINE+)

It’s been a slow first half of the month for Davis Schneider, who’s batting just .178 so far in June, but the Blue Jays utility man has still found a way to be productive, notching two RBI in his last three games and three in his last six.

The right-handed hitter is actually performing much better against right-handed pitching this season compared to lefties as he’s batting .243 with a .779 OPS vs righties, while he owns just a .196 average and a .666 OPS vs lefties.

With the right-handed Lively starting for Cleveland, Schneider stands as one of the Blue Jays’ best options to get the offense going.

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Guardians vs Blue Jays odds

Guardians vs Blue Jays live odds

Guardians vs Blue Jays opening odds

  • Run line: Cleveland +1.5 | Toronto -1.5
  • Moneyline: Cleveland +120 | Toronto -130
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Guardians vs Blue Jays spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Blue Jays are the home favorite this afternoon at -121 with the Guardians at +111, though Cleveland could be the smart pick as they’ve won five of the last six meetings.
  • The majority of bettors also like the underdog as 62% were taking Cleveland on the moneyline at the time of writing.
  • The total briefly opened at a lofty 9 but shifted down to 8.5 or even 8 at most books by Friday night and has continued to tumble. The Under is 7-1 in Cleveland’s last eight games and 6-1-1 in Toronto’s last eight contests.

Guardians vs Blue Jays trend

The Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Blue Jays

Guardians vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Sunday, 6-16-2024
First pitch: 1:37 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes, Sportsnet
Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively
(6-2, 2.59 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios
(5-5, 2.93 ERA)

Guardians vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Guardians vs Blue Jays weather

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