Our MLB experts have you covered on the diamond tonight, and one of our featured picks includes a mispriced divisional showdown in Anaheim.
With Polymarket listing every game to trade on, let's dive into our MLB picks for Wednesday, June 10.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| +122 | |
| -135 | |
| +102 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Brewers/Athletics Under 13.5
Price: 45¢ (+122) at Polymarket
This series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Athletics has seen 41 runs through two games, but these totals are getting out of hand. Between Games 1 and 2, the total jumped from 10.5 to 13.5.
I don't see today's pitching matchup as any worse than last night's, which closed with a lower implied total. It's hot, but the hitting conditions aren't significantly better today either, so I don't agree with adding nearly a full run to the implied total.
Last night, both bullpens were taxed, but they're in much better shape today after relatively light usage on both sides. Milwaukee also has all of its high-leverage arms available, which should help keep a lid on the scoring.
- Time: 9:05 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Brewers.TV, NBCS California
Jon Metler's expert pick: Phillies moneyline
Price: 57¢ (-135) at Polymarket
Facing Max Scherzer makes it hard not to like the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot, especially given the gauntlet of left-handed bats at the top of their order.
While the sample size is still small this season, Scherzer has already allowed five home runs in 51 at-bats and is giving up a .314 average and 1.037 OPS to left-handed hitters. When you combine that with a Phillies lineup featuring Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Brandon Marsh in three of the top four spots, the matchup becomes even more concerning for him.
Scherzer's fading slider tends to leak into the barrels of left-handed bats and is particularly vulnerable in this park and against this type of lineup. Against that profile, his arsenal starts to look highly exploitable in this spot. At this price point, there’s a clear edge, as I make the Phillies closer to a 65-cent favorite against the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
- How to watch: NBCS Philadelphia, Sportsnet One
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Astros moneyline
Price: 49¢ (+102) at Polymarket
I'll happily fade the Los Angeles Angels following last night's win. One of their biggest issues all season has been stringing together victories, as they own an MLB-worst 8-17 record following a win.
Houston is also in a favorable matchup against left-hander Reid Detmers. The Houston Astros rank among the league's best offenses versus southpaws over the past month, and their current roster has produced an .802 OPS against Detmers across 94 at-bats.
While Detmers has put together a respectable season, the Angels are just 4-9 in his starts. Even if the game is close late, Houston holds a significant bullpen edge, boasting one of baseball's hottest relief staffs over the past few weeks.
- Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Space City HN, FDSN West
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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