The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants begin a three-game weekend series tonight at Oracle Park.
It’s a heated rivalry, but one that’s been rather uncompetitive lately. The Dodgers have dominated recent meetings, winning 10 of the last 11 games between these NL West foes.
Find out more in our MLB picks and predictions for the Dodgers vs. Giants on Friday, September 16.
Dodgers vs Giants best odds
Dodgers vs Giants picks and predictions
Playing the Under in Giants games has been an awfully profitable venture lately. San Francisco is a perfect 8-0 to the Under in its last eight games. The pitching staff has come to some to life while the bats have been their normally sleepy selves for this ball club, resulting in some low-scoring games. The Giants are 6-0-1 to the Under in their last seven games against a right-handed starter.
Tonight they face Dustin May, a talented young righty for the Dodgers. May has shown a ton of promise since entering the MLB as a 21-year-old back in 2019. In 35 total appearances, he’s posted a sterling 3.14 ERA. San Francisco has been far from proficient at the plate lately, ranking 23rd in wOBA and 20th in wRC+ since the calendar flipped to September. They’ve posted the highest strikeout rate (28.7%) in the league this month, which is a concern against May and his 23.3% strikeout rate.
On the other side of things, Logan Webb has done nothing but produce over the last two seasons. After a breakout 2021 campaign in which Webb posted a 3.03 ERA, he’s one-upped himself so far this season with a 2.88 ERA. He thrives off limiting hard contact, evidenced by his 4.1% barrel rate. Webb has been great at home this season, posting a 2.70 ERA at Oracle Park. He’s also faced the Dodgers lately and found success, allowing two earned across seven innings while picking up the win on September 5.
For as great as this Dodgers lineup is, they’ve been playing in low-scoring games all season when it’s Friday. Los Angeles is 21-7-2 to the Under in its last 30 Friday games. Webb has a tough task against the likes of Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Trea Turner, but he’s done a great job of limiting the damage this season.
I’ll take the Under train to keep rolling in San Francisco.
My best bet: Under 7.5 (-106 at FanDuel)
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Dodgers vs Giants betting preview
Jump to:
•Side analysis •Over/Under analysis •Starting pitchers •Injuries •Weather •Trend to know
Moneyline analysis
The Dodgers are listed as the favorite — no surprise! — with the line hovering between -155 and -165 depending where you look. San Francisco posted the better record between these teams a year ago, but it’s been a far different story in 2022. The Dodgers (98-44) are the best team in baseball and have an absurd +318 run differential, while the Giants (69-74) will likely miss the postseason as they are 8.5 games back in the NL Wild Card standings.
This series has been very lopsided in recent play, with Los Angeles capturing 10 wins in the last 11 meetings. The Dodgers have had no trouble visiting Oracle Park, going 4-0 in their last four trips to San Francisco. The Giants have found a little groove lately, going 5-1 in their last six home games.
Still, the Giants are just 4-6 in its last 10 games overall and had a terrible time in divisional play, slumping to 5-22 in their last 27 games against the NL West. Stepping up in competition has been a nightmare, as they’re just 3-11 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. San Francisco simply hasn’t been able to compete at the highest of levels this season.
Over/Under analysis
The Dodgers have arguably the best lineup in baseball and haven’t slowed down a bit in September, ranking first in both OPS and wOBA while checking in at second in wRC+. They have been trending to the Over lately, going 9-3-1 in their last 13 overall. That being said, a matchup with Logan Webb is no easy task. The right-hander has accumulated a 2.88 ERA and 1.16 WHIP this season.
As for the Giants, the lineup hasn’t been producing at the desired level for the entire season. Joc Pederson is the only currently healthy regular with an OPS above .735, so there aren’t many landmines for May as he attempts to get back on track after surrendering nine total earned runs across his last two starts.
The Under is 26-10-1 in the Dodgers’ last 37 games following an off day, which will be the case in this one after taking a day of rest on Thursday.
Dodgers vs Giants game info
• Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA/Province
• Date: Friday, September 16, 2022
• First pitch: 10:15 p.m. ET
• TV: Apple TV+
Starting pitchers
Dustin May (1-2, 4.29 ERA): May has made only four starts this season, posting a 3.88 xERA and 5.11 FIP. The talented youngster has an encouraging 23.3% strikeout rate, although his 12.2% walk rate is simply too high. It’s a small sample size, so one would hope that’ll lower in the long run. He’s struggled lately, allowing nine earned runs across his last two outings — both against the Padres.
Logan Webb (13-8, 2.88 ERA): Webb is having a great season and has been on a heater as of late. Across his last four starts, he’s allowed only four earned runs. He's been consistent at limiting the damage, allowing no more than three earned runs in any of his last seven starts. His 3.56 xERA and 3.12 FIP both indicate that he may be due for some minor regression to end the season, however.
Key injuries
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Betting trend to know
The Giants are 8-0 to the Under in their last eight games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs Giants. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Giants
