The Chicago Cubs bats have been relatively silent during this series and are in danger of a series sweep when they meet NL Central rival Cincinnati Reds for Game 4 of this four-game set.
The Cubs are slight favorites on the MLB odds board and my Cubs vs. Reds predictions and MLB picks suggest Chicago's bats could see some positive regression.
Cubs vs Reds prediction
My best bet
Frankie Montas Under 17.5 outs recorded (-110 at BetMGM)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
The Chicago Cubs have scored nine runs and are batting .153 (4-26) with runners in scoring position (RISP) through the first three games of this NL Central division series with the Cincinnati Reds.
Montas is coming off a brilliant start against the Rockies. The 31-year-old righty spun a 1-hit shutout across seven frames at Coors Field with his four-pitch assortment of fastballs.
Montas can be hit-or-miss on a four-pitch arsenal of heaters without much heat. He serves up more flyballs and line drives than he does groundballs. The Reds righty doesn’t have a great command (3.33 walks per nine) of those pitches; he induces the worst weak hit rate of his career and batters are barreling up 46% of his offerings.
That could lead to a big day for a Cubs offense that needs one. They’ve been miserable during this series with RISP, but Montas boasts a 4.56 xFIP and he’s spinning nearly 3.5 walks per nine. Montas has cleared his outs number in just four of his past 10 starts and the wind and the Cubs bats won’t improve that.
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Cubs vs Reds same-game parlay (SGP)
Frankie Montas Under 17.5 outs recorded
Frankie Montas Under 5.5 strikeouts
Over 9
My best bet means Montas will likely struggle to get whiffs. The Cubs have a high strikeout rate against righties but the Reds righty has cleared his strikeout number only once across his last five.
The wind will cause trouble for both starters. Montas will likely get an early hook and Cubs starter Shota Imanaga has shown signs of regression. The Cincy bats have boomed during this series and Imanaga has coughed up three bombs and eight earned runs across his past 8 2/3 frames.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cubs vs Reds odds
Cubs vs Reds live odds
Cubs vs Reds opening odds
- Run line: Chicago -1.5 (+135) | Cincinnati +1.5 (-160)
- Moneyline: Chicago -125 | Cincinnati +105
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Cubs vs Reds spread and Over/Under analysis
- Chicago's markets opened as high as -136 but Reds money drove the markets to prices as low as -120.
- Reds moneyline markets are priced from +100 to +108 with 50% of the bets and 68% of the money at FanDuel on the Reds.
- Over/Under markets have seen the most movement. Over 8.5 (-122) is available but the primary Over 9 markets are priced between -100 to -105.
- Under 8.5 (+100) markets are available but Under 9 markets are priced from -115 to -120 with 75% of the bets and 66% of the cash at BetMGM on the Under 9.
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Cubs vs Reds trend
Frankie Montas has failed to clear 17.5 outs in six of his last 10 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Reds
Cubs vs Reds game info
| Location: | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date: | Sunday, 6-9-2024 |
| First pitch: | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | MARQ, Bally Sports Ohio |
| Cubs starting pitcher: | Shota Imanaga (5-1, 1.88 ERA) |
| Reds starting pitcher: | Frankie Montas (3-4, 4.00 ERA) |
Cubs vs Reds latest injuries
Cubs vs Reds weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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