Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NLDS Game 5

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 11, 2025 , 06:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Sartori's prediction: The Brewers have won five of their last six at the Wrigley Field of the North, and they'll punch their ticket to the NLCS tonight.

mlb

Oct 11 • 5:08 PM ET
William Contreras of the Milwaukee Brewers
Photo By - Imagn Images. Milwaukee Brewers catcher William Contreras (24) celebrates after hitting a solo home run.

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs in this winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS tonight. 

MLB odds list Milwaukee as a -130 favorite, while the total sits at 7.5.

My Cubs vs. Brewers predictions expect Milwaukee to survive a series collapse and prevail at home.

Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, October 11.

First pitch is set for 8:08 p.m. ET from American Family Field, with the game airing on TBS.

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Cubs vs Brewers Game 5 predictions

Who will win Cubs vs Brewers Game 5

The Milwaukee Brewers are listed as a -130 favorite, and they should fulfill expectations of closing out this series.

Milwaukee went with a bullpen game en route to a 7-3 victory in Game 2, and a similar outcome is likely this evening.

Cubs vs Brewers best bet

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (-130)

The home team has won each game in this series, a trend likely to continue in Game 5. Both teams are going with bullpen games, which gives the pitching advantage to the Milwaukee Brewers.

This season, the Brewers’ relief corps finished sixth in ERA, fourth in xERA, fifth in FIP, and fifth in WAR. Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs' relief staff ranked 11th or lower in each of those four key categories.

Not only will Milwaukee own the pitching advantage on its home field, but it also possesses the hitting advantage. In 2025, the Brewers ranked in the top three in runs scored per game, hits per game, stolen bases, and on-base percentage.

Milwaukee has won five of the past six meetings between these two teams at American Family Field, with each of those five wins coming by at least a four-run margin.

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Cubs vs Brewers Game 5 same-game parlay (SGP)

Milwaukee needs production at the plate to secure this victory, and there is no better candidate to deliver than Jackson Chourio.

A postseason star, Chourio boasts a .462 batting average, .885 slugging percentage, and 1.366 OPS through 26 playoff at-bats.

Meanwhile, William Contreras thrives at home, where he has recorded three or more total bases in each of the team’s two games this postseason.

Cubs vs Brewers SGP (+400)

  • Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (-130)
  • Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 total bases (-103)
  • William Contreras Over 1.5 total bases (+125)

Cubs vs Brewers home run pick for Game 5

William Contreras (+500)

In the second of those two home games, Contreras homered. Although Drew Pomeranz is opening for Chicago tonight, one name almost guaranteed to appear is Colin Rea.

Through seven plate appearances against Rea, Contreras boasts a .571 slugging percentage and a .617 expected slugging percentage.

Cubs vs Brewers Game 5 odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +110 | Milwaukee -130
  • Run line: Chicago +1.5 (-210) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)

Cubs vs Brewers trend

Milwaukee has won five of its past six home games against Chicago. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Brewers.

How to watch Cubs vs Brewers and Game 5 info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Saturday, October 11, 2025
First pitch 8:08 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Cubs starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz
(2-2, 2.17 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Trevor Megill
(5-3, 2.54 ERA)

Cubs vs Brewers latest injuries

Cubs vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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