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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 4, 2025. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Sep 4 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u8.0 (-119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Milwaukee hands the ball to right-hander Freddy Peralta, who is 16-5 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Meanwhile, left-hander Ranger Suárez is likely to keep pace for the Phillies. Suárez is 10-6 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through 21 appearances on the mound.

Total RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
American Family Field has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's game.. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Sep 4 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
MoneyLine
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Dodgers are spinning their tires right now while the Pirates are playing well, winners of seven of their last 10 games. They have Paul Skenes on the bump, so we'll give them the edge here. 

Earned Runs Allowed
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Skenes has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in back-to-back outings. He also tossed 6.1 scoreless frames against the Dodgers in April. 

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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Thu, Sep 4 • 7:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best field in MLB for left-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.
Total RBIs
Bo Naylor logo
Bo Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best field in MLB for left-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Sep 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Taylor Ward will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Sep 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Teel logo
Kyle Teel o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field projects as the #9 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kyle Teel will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 10th-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Sep 4 • 7:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
MoneyLine
New York Yankees logo NYY (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's continue to the ride Yankees as they are playing extremely well right now, and will have the pitching matchup in their favor with Rodon taking on Javier. 

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Yordan Alvarez hit .362 vs. lefties a season ago and owns a .316 average against them this year, albeit over a small sample. Expect another strong performance coming off a four-hit game.

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