Braves vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 23, 2026 , 09:17 AM ET • 4 min read

Shane Drohan's 32nd percentile ranking in barrel rate could get him into trouble against a Braves (+110) offense sitting second in home runs vs. lefties.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
ATL
45 %
MIL
55 %
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Atlanta +110 Atlanta +110
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Ronald Acuna Jr. Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a two-run double against the Twins.

The Atlanta Braves will look to avoid a sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday Night Baseball.

No longer tasked with producing against a pitcher above the 90th percentile in xERA, my Braves vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks see Atlanta's offense coming to life in a winning effort.

Who will win Braves vs Brewers today: Braves moneyline (+110)

The Atlanta Braves are in a much better spot to produce after predictably getting silenced by Jacob Misiorowski and Logan Henderson.

They’ll square off against Shane Drohan, who owns a 5.40 ERA over the last seven starts despite facing a bevy of weaker opponents like the Pirates, Marlins, Rockies, Angels, and Reds.

It's a nice matchup for this Braves offense, which sits 10th in average and fourth in ISO vs. southpaws in August.

Tyler Mahle has pitched to a 2.37 ERA and 3.35 SIERA the last month, and should give Atlanta a competent start.

Play to -105.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Braves rank second in home runs against left-handed pitching this season.

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Braves vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-105)

Drohan's 32nd percentile barrel rate makes him vulnerable to power, especially outside of pitcher-friendly ballparks.

The Braves sit ninth in ISO against lefties, and rank in the 96th percentile with a .430 xSLG over their last 30 games. Their power should show up.

Mahle owns a 6.55 ERA away from Oracle, and has given up at least two runs in nine of 11 road starts.

The Milwaukee Brewers should also score here, making the 7.5 total a buy up to -125.

Braves vs Brewers home run prediction: Ronald Acuna Jr. (+425)

Drohan is more susceptible to giving up homers when facing righties, and Ronald Acuna Jr. profiles well against his mix.

Isolating Drohan’s three most-used pitches vs. right-handed bats, Acuna Jr. owns a .360 ISO, .378 wOBA, and 23.1% barrel rate the past 25 games.

I give Acuna Jr. a 20% chance of going yard tonight, and would play this to +410.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 87-79, -10.20 units
  • Over/Under bets: 86-74-6, +1.12 units

Braves vs Brewers weather

The forecast calls for temperatures around 70 with slight winds blowing out. Neutral hitting conditions.

Braves vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Braves +110 | Brewers -130
  • Run line: Braves +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115)

Braves vs Brewers trend

The Brewers have only been held Under their team total in 20 of their last 50 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Brewers.

How to watch Braves vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Sunday, August 23, 2026
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV ESPN
Braves starting pitcher Tyler Mahle
(4-10, 4.53 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Shane Drohan
(6-4, 3.86 ERA)

Braves vs Brewers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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