Jake Bennett has pitched to a 3.46 ERA this season, and he is in a great spot to lower that number against a floundering offense.
My Giants vs. Red Sox predictions and MLB picks expect Bennett's run suppression to be front and center in a multi-run Boston victory.
Who will win Giants vs Red Sox today: Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
The San Francisco Giants are in dreadful form facing left-handed pitching. They’ve hit a league-worst .181 against southpaws in August while generating little power (.089 ISO) and striking out at a 28% clip.
They shouldn’t pose much of a threat to Jake Bennett, who ranks in the 86th percentile in Pitching Run Value as a rookie.
The Boston Red Sox rank second in walk rate and third in average this month. They’ll be tough for a steady rotation of arms to silence for nine innings.
Back Boston on the Run Line to -117.
COVERS INTEL: Jake Bennett's 94th percentile walk rate will force the Giants to string together hits to produce, something they haven't shown the ability to do against lefties.
Giants vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-120)
The Giants are loaded with players who own painful results against lefties. Bryce Eldridge is the only projected starter with an xwOBA over .300, which is almost shocking.
This is the perfect matchup for Bennett to get back on track, and he has an excellent bullpen to hand the reins to when he departs.
San Francisco is going with a bullpen approach, and their relievers have combined to allow 0.48 home runs per nine innings in August.
Their ability to keep the ball in the park will help limit damage, making the Under a buy to -130.
Giants vs Red Sox home run prediction: Wilyer Abreu (+425)
Wilyer Abreu is my favorite home run candidate in this game. He continues to make powerful contact, leading the Red Sox with a 55% hard hit rate this month.
He is hammering the baseball and it’s leading to results. He’s hit .319 with a .362 ISO and 1.111 OPS, all of which are tops on the team among everyday players.
There isn’t one matchup he’ll be locked into for multiple at-bats, so I’m backing the most in-form hitter to figure things out.
Bet to +405.
- ML/RL bets: 87-79, -10.20 units
- Over/Under bets: 86-74-6, +1.12 units
Giants vs Red Sox weather
Temperatures are expected to sit in the mid-70s with slight winds blowing in. Still hitter-friendly given the nature of Fenway Park.
Giants vs Red Sox odds
- Moneyline: Giants +180 | Red Sox -220
- Run line: Giants +1.5 (-110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-120) | Under 8 (+100)
Giants vs Red Sox trend
The Red Sox have covered the run line in 30 of their last 50 games for +15.95 units and a 27% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Giants vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Sunday, August 23, 2026 |
| First pitch | 3:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Giants starting pitcher | Matt Wilkinson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Jake Bennett (7-6, 3.46 ERA) |
Giants vs Red Sox latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
