The Toronto Blue Jays are looking for a bounce-back offensively tonight, and with Simeon Woods Richardson on the mound for the Minnesota Twins, they should be able to put up some crooked numbers on the scoreboard.
Find out more in my Blue Jays vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks for Friday, May 1.
Blue Jays vs Twins predictions
Blue Jays vs Twins best bet: Simeon Woods Richardson Over 2.5 earned runs (-120)
Simeon Woods Richardson is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA this season, and he's currently allowing a .902 opponent OPS.
The Minnesota Twins right-hander has also been roughed up by this Toronto Blue Jays lineup, which owns a 1.237 OPS against Woods-Richardson.
In three career starts against Toronto, including one from earlier this year, the Twins starter owns an 11.25 career ERA, allowing five runs in each start.
Having surrendered 3+ runs in four straight outings, expect SWR to have a hard time against a Jays offense that is starting to heat up and get healthy.
COVERS INTEL: The Blue Jays have plated 15 runs in just three starts against Simeon Woods-Richardson.
Blue Jays vs Twins same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue to fade Woods Richardson by taking Under 14.5 outs tonight. He’s never made it out of the fifth inning against the Blue Jays, averaging just 12 outs in those three outings.
Kazuma Okamoto should also take advantage of this matchup against SWR, who leans heavily on his four-seam fastball — a pitch Okamoto owns a .340 batting average against.
Blue Jays vs Twins SGP
- Simeon Woods Richardson Over 2.5 earned runs
- Simeon Woods Richardson Under 14.5 recorded outs
- Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits
Blue Jays vs Twins home run pick: Kazuka Okamoto (+450)
Woods-Richardson throws a heavy dose of the four-seam fastball, which Okamoto has handled well this season.
Along with boasting a .340 BA against the pitch, the Japanese third baseman has posted a .638 slugging rate, with four of his five home runs coming off the four-seamer.
- Best bets: 10-20, -6.80 units
- SGPs: 4-26, -10.25 units
- HR picks: 5-24, -1.4 units
Blue Jays vs Twins odds
- Moneyline: Blue Jays -110 | Twins -110
- Run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)
Blue Jays vs Twins trend
Toronto has covered the run line in seven of its last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Twins.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Twins and game info
| Location | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, May 1, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN1, MNNT |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Patrick Corbin (0-0, 3.72 ERA) |
| Twins starting pitcher | Simeon Woods Richardson (0-4, 6.30 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Twins latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Twins weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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