The Houston Astros will look to avoid the series broom when they face the Boston Red Sox on Sunday.
Houston starter Framber Valdez has been dealing, and my Astros vs. Red Sox predictions expect Houston to avoid the sweep.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Sunday, August 3.
Astros vs Red Sox prediction
My Astros vs Red Sox best bet: Astros moneyline (-115 at Caesars)
Houston Astros starter Framber Valdez has allowed only two earned runs across his last three starts.
His recent form, paired with his strong history of success against this Boston Red Sox lineup (.598 OPS, 5 Ks in 28 at-bats), gives Valdez and the Astros an edge. The Astros southpaw boasts solid command and should benefit from Boston’s 24% strikeout rate against LHP.
Meanwhile, Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito has surrendered 11 earned runs across his past 29 frames. The right-hander's 4.12 xFIP and .934 OPS against this current Astros lineup also give Houston another edge to exploit.
Both bullpens have been lights out this season, so I’m betting Houston strikes early against Giolito and never looks back.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Astros vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
Astros moneyline
Astros team total Over 3.5
Under 8
The Astros boast a 5th-best .302 BABIP against righties and will reach four runs against Giolito.
However, Valdez’s strong track record against this Boston lineup, combined with two of the best bullpens in baseball, points to the full game Under ultimately cashing.
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Astros vs Red Sox odds
Astros vs Red Sox live odds
Astros vs Red Sox opening odds
- Moneyline: Houston -115 | Boston -105
- Run line: Houston -1.5 (+143) | Boston +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-120) | Under 8 (+100)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Astros vs Red Sox trend
May 2 marks the last time Framber Valdez was tagged with a loss. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Astros vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Sunday, 8-3-2025 |
| First pitch | 11:35 a.m. ET |
| TV | Roku |
| Astros starting pitcher | Framber Valdez (11-4, 2.62 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Lucas Giolito (7-2, 3.80 ERA) |
Astros vs Red Sox latest injuries
Astros vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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