Astros vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Our MLB betting picks will gladly fade both starting pitchers and target the Over when the Astros' Hayden Wesneski toes the rubber opposite the Brewers' Chad Patrick on Tuesday night.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
May 6, 2025 • 09:15 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
MIL
65 %
HOU
35 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o8 (-110)
Read Analysis
Houston Astros MLB Jeremy Pena
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena at the plate.

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Houston Astros in the second matchup of this three-game series at American Family Field. MLB odds list this game as a pick ‘em, while the total sits at 8.

My Astros vs. Brewers prediction targets the total in this interleague matchup. Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, May 6.

Astros vs Brewers prediction

My Astros vs Brewers best bet: Over 8 (-110 at FanDuel)

Right-hander Hayden Wesneski takes the mound for the Houston Astros, and he is a good sell-high candidate. Through five starts this season, Wesneski owns a 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

That said, his underlying metrics suggest regression is likely. Wesneski has a 4.21 expected ERA (xERA) and ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected batting average (xBA), barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers hand the ball to right-handed rookie Chad Patrick. Through seven appearances, Patrick boasts a 2.87 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.

However, like Wesneski, Patrick’s analytics indicate regression may be coming. The rookie ranks in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate, and hard-hit rate.

The good news for Patrick is that Milwaukee does a tremendous job manufacturing runs. Entering this matchup, the Brewers rank 10th in runs scored per game, mainly due to their strong ability to get on base and steal bases.

Furthermore, this current Milwaukee roster boasts a .401 expected slugging percentage (xSLG) and .339 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) through 24 combined plate appearances against Wesneski.

Astros vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 8

Jeremy Pena 1+ hits

Jose Altuve 1+ hits

If we’re backing the Over, then there need to be some hits. There may not be two better candidates to deliver than Jeremy Pena and Jose Altuve.

Altuve doubled in last night’s outing, marking his sixth hit over the past seven games. Meanwhile, Peña has recorded at least one hit in 23 of his past 24 games. Pena boasts a .333 batting average over that stretch.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Astros vs Brewers odds

Astros vs Brewers live odds

Astros vs Brewers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Houston -108 | Milwaukee -108
  • Run line: Houston -1.5 (+162) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-196)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)

Astros vs Brewers trend

There have been nine or more total runs scored in seven of Houston’s past eight games. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Brewers.

How to watch Astros vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Tuesday, 5-6-2025
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV Space City Home Network, FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Astros starting pitcher Hayden Wesneski
(1-2, 3.86 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick
(1-3, 2.87 ERA)

Astros vs Brewers latest injuries

Astros vs Brewers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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