A's vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 , 11:43 AM ET • 4 min read

The Toronto Blue Jays have unfinished business after falling excruciatingly short of a World Series title. Andrew Caley's predictions explain why their relentless bats will pick up where they left off in tonight's matchup against Luis Severino.

MLB

Mar 27 • 7:07 PM ET
ATH
33 %
TOR
67 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Luis Severino o5.5  Hits Allowed (-105) Luis Severino o5.5 Hits Allowed (-105)
See Today's Picks
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. celebrates a home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Toronto Blue Jays return to the field for the first time since coming as close as a team can to winning the World Series without doing it.

Tonight, they begin their quest for unfinished business when they open the 2026 MLB season at home against the Athletics.

My Blue Jays vs. Athletics predictions and MLB picks are backing the Toronto sticks to pick up right where they left off last season by jumping all over starter Luis Severino. 

A's vs Blue Jays predictions

A's vs Blue Jays best bet: Luis Severino Over 5.5 hits allowed (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays' lineup became famous during their World Series run for their relentless ability to make contact and frustrate opposing pitchers, and that won’t change on Opening Night.

The Blue Jays led the majors in batting average and were fifth in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers last season, with the only big change being Kazuma Okamoto replacing Bo Bichette.

The Athletics hand the ball to right-hander Luis Severino on Friday night. Despite looking good in the WBC, Severino ranked in the 14th percentile in expected batting average. 

The Jays will rack up the hits on Opening Day.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Severino allowed seven hits in just 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Blue Jays last season.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

A's vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays batter who’s arguably had the most success against Severino is catcher Alejandro Kirk

Kirk just sees the ball extremely well out of Severino’s hand. He’s 4-for-6 with six walks in 12 career plate appearances against Severino. That’s good for a .341 expected batting average.

Then let’s look at the newest Blue Jay in Okamoto. The Japanese star was a production monster in the NBP, racking up 827 RBIs. 

He’s projected to be hitting in the six spot in the Jays lineup and should have plenty of opportunities to drive in runs tonight, meaning this price on his RBI is a steal.

A's vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Luis Severino Over 5.5 hits allowed
  • Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 total bases
  • Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 RBIs

A's vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+425)

While people were wondering about his power during the regular season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. made everyone forget about that with one of the great postseason runs of all time. 

Vladdy hit eight home runs during the Blue Jays' run to the World Series with a 1.289 OPS.

Guerrero is also a solid 5-for-14 in his career vs. Severino with one home run, good for a .437 expected slugging. So, while it may seem a little on the nose to take Vladdy to go deep in Game 1, I love the value with him in this spot.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 1-0, +1.36 units
  • SGPs: 0-1, -1 units
  • HR picks: 0-1, -1 units

A's vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: A's +150 | Toronto -175
  • Run line: A's +1.5 (-135) | Toronto -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

A's vs Blue Jays trend

The Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 76 of their last 125 games for +21.35 Units and a 15% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for A's vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch A's vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Friday, March 27, 2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports California, Sportsnet
A's starting pitcher Luis Severino
(2025: 8-11, 4.54 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
(2025: 10-11, 3.59 ERA)

A's vs Blue Jays latest injuries

A's vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo