NFL Bettors Go Heavy on Favorites, Produce One-Sided Action for Week 3

Brad Senkiw - Contributor at Covers.com
Brad Senkiw • News Editor 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 25, 2026 , 05:53 PM ET • 4 min read

All but three games are seeing one-way traffic from public bettors at major sportsbooks. Bettors are laying the points with the Bills, Seahawks, and Chiefs.

Photo By - Reuters Connect. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs to score a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the second half at New Highmark Stadium. Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

NFL bettors head into Week 3 with fairly clear intentions: back favorites. 

Key Takeaways

  • Most of this week’s NFL games are seeing one-sided spread action. 

  • Favored Bengals, Bills, and Seahawks are unsurprisingly heavily backed by bettors. 

  • Could Jameis Winston find the end zone this week? Some bettors like the long odds.  

From the betting insights provided by BetMGM and DraftKings, spread ticket and handle percentages are split on just three Sunday games. 

The Tennessee Titans are getting 51% of the bets as a 2.5-point underdog at BetMGM, while the New York Giants have seen 57% of the handle. DraftKings reports that the slightly favored Minnesota Vikings have received 63% of the tickets, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are getting 55% of the money as the home team. 

The only other game involving a bet-handle split is Cardinals-49ers. San Francisco, an 8.5-point favorite, is getting 72% of the tickets, while Arizona has seen a more favorable 55% of the money. 

Week 3 Games DraftKings Splits BetMGM Splits
Chargers-Bills (-7)


BUF 83% bets
BUF 93% handle


BUF 84% bets
BUF 84% handle

Seahawks-Commanders (+7.5)


SEA 78% bets
SEA 74% handle


SEA 81% bets
SEA 74% handle

Patriots-Jaguars (-3)


NE 68% bets
NE 66% handle


JAX 57% bets
JAX 56% handle

Chiefs-Dolphins (-10.5)


KC 82% bets
KC 67% handle


KC 67% bets
KC 65% handle

Jets-Lions (-6.5)


DET 68% bets
DET 77% handle


DET 69% bets
DET 75% handle

Bengals-Steelers (+3.5)


CIN 79% bets
CIN 92% handle


CIN 81% bets
CIN 61% handle

Texans-Colts (+1.5)


HOU 52% bets
HOU 79% handle


HOU 60% bets
HOU 67% handle

Titans-Giants (-2.5)


TEN 57% bets
TEN 81% handle


TEN 51% bets
NYG 57% handle

Cardinals-49ers (-8.5)


SF 70% bets
SF 85% handle


SF 72% bets
ARI 55% handle

Vikings-Buccaneers (+1.5)


MIN 63% bets
TB 55% handle


TB 54% bets
TB 53% handle

Raiders-Saints (-3)


NO 60% bets
NO 80% handle


NO 59% bets
NO 64% handle

Ravens-Cowboys (+3.5)


DAL 53% bets
DAL 60% handle


DAL 56% bets
DAL 53% handle

Rams-Broncos (+2.5)


LAR 73% bets
LAR 73% handle


LAR 58% bets
LAR 63% handle

Eagles-Bears (+4.5)


PHI 69% bets
PHI 61% handle


PHI 69% bets
PHI 78% handle

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Laying the points

That means teams laying the points are getting a ton of action, and both operators have reported fairly similar splits the rest of the way. 

BetMGM’s most-bet game of the week so far is between the 0-2 Los Angeles Chargers and the 2-0 Buffalo Bills, who are a touchdown favorite and getting 84% of the tickets and money. DraftKings reported an even higher 93% of the handle coming in on the popular home team. 

The Bills are also the second most-bet team by wagers and money at BetMGM, behind only the Cincinnati Bengals, a 3.5-point favorite at Pittsburgh. The Steelers are only getting 8% of the handle at DraftKings, but a more reasonable 39% at BetMGM.

Bettors are also locked in on the Seattle Seahawks (-7.5 at Washington), who expect to get quarterback Sam Darnold back from injury this week. Seattle is the third most-bet team for Sunday and is getting 74% of the money at both sportsbooks. 

The Carolina Panthers (-2.5 at Cleveland) and Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5 at Chicago on Monday night) round out BetMGM’s most popular spread favorites this week by ticket percentage. The Detroit Lions (-6.5 vs. Jets) are a heavily bet team by handle as well, and they’re getting more than 70% of the money.   

Taking chances

The only spread underdogs getting the majority of tickets and money at DraftKings are the New England Patriots (+3 at Jacksonville) and Dallas Cowboys (+3.5 vs. Baltimore in Brazil). The New Orleans Saints, fresh off an upset of the Ravens, are getting respect from oddsmakers as a 3-point favorite and DraftKings bettors, with 80% of the handle backing the home team against the Las Vegas Raiders. 

The Kansas City Chiefs are this week’s largest favorite with a spread of -10.5 at 0-2 Miami, and Kansas City is getting 82% of the bets and 67% of the handle at DraftKings. At +450 on the moneyline, though, the Dolphins are the most popular outright underdog this week at BetMGM. 

The Cardinals (+310) and Chargers (+250) are also popular moneyline underdog bets on Sunday. 

Totals and props

Panthers-Browns over 42 is the most-bet total this week at BetMGM, followed by Bengals-Steelers under 42.5, and Titans-Giants under 38.5. Ravens-Cowboys over the big number of 53 is getting action, as well as Pats-Jags over 45.5. 

Detroit receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (-125) is the most popular anytime touchdown scorer so far, with Seattle’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba (-105) and Cincinnati’s Ja’Marr Chase (+130) right behind him. BetMGM customers are also taking a shot on Giants quarterback Jameis Winston finding the end zone with odds of +600. 

Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs leads betting in the first touchdown scorer market, while Jets WR Garrett Wilson’s over 65.5 receiving yards (-125) is the most-bet player prop by tickets. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson over 38.5 rushing yards (-125) is also a popular wager at BetMGM. 

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Brad Senkiw - Covers
News Editor

Brad has been covering sports betting and iGaming industry news for Covers since 2023. He writes about a wide range of topics, including sportsbook insights, proposed legislation, regulator decision-making, state revenue reports, and online sports betting launches. Brad reported heavily on North Carolina’s legal push for and creation of online sportsbooks, appearing on numerous Tar Heel State radio and TV news shows for his insights.

Before joining Covers, Brad spent over 15 years as a reporter and editor, covering college sports for newspapers and websites while also hosting a radio show for seven years.

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