What a difference a week makes.
The New York Giants are still -3.5 home favorites despite losing No. 1 quarterback Jaxson Dart ahead of their Week 3 game against the Tennessee Titans at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 27.
My early Titans vs. Giants predictions and NFL picks expect Tennessee to cover the number in a low-scoring bout.
Titans vs Giants predictions
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Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Early Titans vs Giants spread pick: Titans +3.5
I value the gap between New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (knee) and backup Jameis Winston as 2.5 points, and for this particular matchup against the Tennessee Titans it could be closer to 3.
Tennessee offensive coordinator Brian Daboll spent the past four seasons as the New York head coach, so he drafted, developed, and coached a massive chunk of the current Giants roster, including Winston.
This familiarity gives head coach Robert Saleh and defensive coordinator Gus Bradley an immense analytical intel edge, which carries even more weight with New York playing on a short week.
There hasn't been enough of a market adjustment to reflect the loss of Dart, so I lean to taking the points with Tennessee.
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Early Titans vs Giants total pick: Under 40.5
While the Giants haven’t been efficient on defense and have major question marks in the secondary, after facing the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams the past two weeks, the Titans and QB Cam Ward are a massive downtick in class for New York.
Additionally, the New York front seven is formidable and will give the Tennessee offensive line, Ward and the rushing attack trouble.
Similarly, I’m anticipating Saleh and Bradley to prepare the rebuilt Tennessee defense to stall enough New York drives to keep this total Under the number.
There's a clear recipe for a field-position battle at MetLife Stadium, especially if both offenses play conservatively in an attempt to protect the football.
Titans vs Giants odds
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Titans vs Giants spread: Giants -3.5
- Titans vs Giants moneyline: Titans 40%, Giants 60%
- Titans vs Giants Over/Under: 40.5
How to watch Titans vs Giants
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026, 1 p.m. ET
- City: East Rutherford, NJ
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- TV: CBS
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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