Golf Picks, Best Bets & PGA WM Phoenix Open Predictions at TPC Scottsdale

Our WM Phoenix Open picks target Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns, Si Woo Kim, and more at TPC Scottsdale.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Feb 4, 2026 • 09:06 ET • 4 min read
Jordan Spieth WM Phoenix Open PGA Tour
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jordan Spieth lines up a putt on the 18th green during his first round of the Wyndham Championship.

The PGA Tour touches down at TPC Scottsdale for the beloved WM Phoenix Open, and two-time champion Scottie Scheffler headlines the field.

While the World No. 1 is the runaway betting favorite in the WM Phoenix Open odds, I’m looking past him when filling out my top golf picks for this week’s betting card.

Golf picks for the WM Phoenix Open 2026

  • Burns to win outright (+2800)
  • Kim to win outright (+2800)
  • McNealy Top 20 (+130)
  • Spieth Top 20 (+210)
  • Kim Round 1 score Under 68.5 (-105)
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WM Phoenix Open outright picks

Outright pick: Sam Burns
+2800 at Fanatics

This will be the eighth trip to TPC Scottsdale for Sam Burns, and he carded a T3-T6 run before dipping to T49 last season. His game is trending back in the right direction with true strokes gained off-the-tee and on approach in consecutive events.

Of course, he’s also an all-world putter and ranks fifth in this field in true strokes gained on the greens across his past five tournaments.

Outright pick: Si Woo Kim
+2800 at Fanatics

The three-time PGA Tour winner is on a prolonged heater and has played the weekend in 10 consecutive events with four Top 5s, including his T2 at the Farmers last week.

Si Woo Kim is also pacing this field in driving accuracy and true strokes gained on approach, while ranking second in tee-to-green play across his past five tournaments. Add three straight Top 25s here, and he’s positioned for his best finish at the event.

WM Phoenix Open prop picks

Finishing position pick: Maverick McNealy
+130 at Fanatics

Maverick McNealy finished solo 10th at the Farmers last week, and it was his second consecutive event gaining true strokes across the board. He’s also carded consecutive Top 10s in the WM Phoenix Open, including shooting a Saturday-low 63 last year and finishing third in true strokes gained putting for the event. 

Finishing position pick: Jordan Spieth
+210 at Fanatics

Jordan Spieth gained true strokes across the board during his solid T24 start to the season at the Sony Open, and his track record at TPC Scottsdale pops. In addition to his T4-T6-T6 run across his past three trips to the Waste Management, Speith has added three more Top 10s across his nine total appearances in this event. 

WM Phoenix Open first-round pick

Round 1 pick: Si Woo Kim Under 68.5
-105 at Fanatics

In addition to the aforementioned Si Woo Kim praise, he’s also carded 68 or lower in seven of his past eight rounds at TPC Scottsdale, and his two best finishes at the event have come in the past two years.

Look for a hot start on Thursday.

WM Phoenix Open odds

  • Scottie Scheffler: +230
  • Xander Schauffele: +1800
  • Cameron Young: +2200
  • Si Woo Kim: +2500
  • Hideki Matsuyama: +2800

Odds courtesy of Fanatics.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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