LIV Golf Chicago Picks & Odds: Smith Leads Pack Into Chi-Town

Cam Smith has won two of the last three LIV Golf events and also won at Rich Harvest Farms when the event came here last season. Will the Aussie defend his title this weekend? Read our LIV Golf betting preview below to find out.

Last Updated: Sep 21, 2023 10:10 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Cam Smith LIV Golf Chicago
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Cam Smith has won two of the last three LIV Golf events and has separated himself from the rest of the pack for this week's event in Illinois.

LIV Golf Chicago is returning to Rich Harvest Farms where the 2022 edition was played... and coincidentally also won by Smith. Needless to say, he's the clear favorite for good reason.

We break down his chances in our full LIV Golf Chicago betting preview below, including golf odds and free golf picks

Odds to win LIV Golf Chicago

Golfer DraftKings bet365
Cameron Smith +600 +800
Bryson DeChambeau +1,100 +1,200
Dustin Johnson +1,200 +1,400
Talor Gooch +1,400 +1,600
Patrick Reed +1,600 +1,400
Mito Pereira +1,600 +1,400
Brooks Koepka +1,600 +1,600
Joaquin Niemann +2,200 +1,600
Harold Varner III +2,200 +2,500
Dean Burmester +2,200 +2,500
Sergio Garcia +2,500 +2,800
Cameron Tringale +2,500 +2,800
Abraham Ancer +2,500 +2,500

Odds courtesy as of Sept. 20, 2023. 

Best LIV Golf bonuses

BetMGM New Users
Get up to $1,500 bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win! Claim Now

Caesars New Users
Get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win! Claim Now

Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

LIV Golf Chicago field and favorites

As mentioned at the onset, Cam Smith has been playing some stellar golf. He beat out Patrick Reed in London to win by one shot, then won by seven shots behind rounds of 66, 67, and 68 in Bedminster. That moved the Aussie into a tie for first alongside Talor Gooch for the most LIV Golf victories (three).

His first win also came here at Rich Harvest Farms in what was the fifth-ever LIV event. He won by three over Dustin Johnson and returns in even better form this time around — which his +600 odds certainly reflect. 

Bryson DeChambeau sits second on the board at 12/1 after getting his first LIV win in Greenbrier back in August, followed by Dustin Johnson who hasn't won since Tulsa in May but is always a threat to do so.

Three-time winner Talor Gooch is now consistently inside the Top 5 (fourth this week) after winning three times between April and July. Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, and Mito Pereira can all be had in the 16/1 range, with P-Reed still looking for his first victory.

LIV Golf Chicago picks and predictions

Dustin Johnson outright (+1,200 — 0.5 units)

Dustin Johnson was the betting favorite here last year, and I think the market has overadjusted due to Cameron Smith’s recent success. Should Smith be the betting favorite? Absolutely, he is the defending champion here, has won two of the past three LIV events, and is one of the best putters in the world.

However, Smith should not be six dollars shorter in the outright market than DJ. He played almost as well as Smith here last season with his runner-up finish, and even put together the best round of the week with his opening-round 63 on Friday.

He'll have a chip on his shoulder this week after failing to make the Ryder Cup team. He's talked with the media multiple times over the past few weeks and discussed how he does not feel he got “snubbed", but that he knows he needed stronger finishes to make the decision tougher for captain Zach Johnson.

Perhaps that extra motivation will help Johnson at a course where he has prior success and rewards long hitters. On LIV this season, he ranks third in average driving distance.

Pick: Dustin Johnson outright winner (+1,200 at DraftKings)

Patrick Reed outright (+1,600 — 0.5 units)

Setting aside any personal issues you may have towards Patrick Reed, there is no denying he's been a consistent force on the rival circuit. Despite failing to secure a win this season, Reed finds himself in third place in the individual standings behind multiple-time winners Cam Smith and Talor Gooch.

That placement is a product of his consistent play over the past few months with three Top-5 finishes over his past four tournaments. He keeps knocking on the door, and perhaps this is the week when he finally kicks it down for his first LIV victory.

Reed finished T12 here last year after battling back from a difficult opening 74 before rebounding with a 69-68 finish over the weekend. He could find himself towards the top of the leaderboard once again this week, especially considering how hot his putter has been.

At a 1.55 putting average, Reed only trails Smith on the greens this season — which is obviously great company to be in. He's also no slouch in the driving department. Yes, he’s not DJ, but Reed is still averaging just a hair under 300 yards off the tee.

Pick: Patrick Reed outright winner (+1,600 at DraftKings)

Covers golf betting tools

Rich Harvest Farms notes

Rich Harvest Farms in Sugar Grove, Illinois hosts LIV Golf in its 12th event of the season following last month’s tournament in New Jersey. This course is hosting a LIV event for the second time as Cam Smith won last year’s tournament to mark his first of now-three victories on the rival circuit.

A Par-72, 7,735-yard track (yardage subject to change) designed by Jerry Rich, Rich Harvest Farms is an absolute monster of a golf course — although strong putters proved key down the stretch as we saw Smith and Dustin Johnson battle it out on the final day.

Not only will Smith look to repeat in Chicago, but he's also looking to secure back-to-back wins following last month’s victory in Bedminster.

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Bedminster (August 2023) Cameron Smith (3) +1,000
Greenbrier (August 2023) Bryson DeChambeau +1,400
London (July 2023) Cameron Smith (2) +900
Andalucia (July 2023) Talor Gooch (3) +1,600
Washington (May 2023) Harold Varner III +2,000
Tulsa (May 2023) Dustin Johnson (2) +1,200
Singapore (April 2023) Talor Gooch (2) +1,600
Adelaide (April 2023) Talor Gooch +2,500
Orlando (April 2023) Brooks Koepka (2) +4,000
Tucson (March 2023) Danny Lee +8,000
Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) Charles Howell III +4,000
Jeddah (Oct. 2022) Brooks Koepka +2,500
Bangkok (Oct. 2022) Eugenio Chacarra +15,000
Chicago (Sept. 2022) Cameron Smith +600
Boston (Sept. 2022) Dustin Johnson +600
Bedminster (July 2022) Henrik Stenson +6,000
Portland (July 2022) Branden Grace +3,500
London (June 2022) Charl Schwartzel +3,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo