Houston Open Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Lowry Goes Low in Lone Star State

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 24, 2026 , 01:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Parker's prediction: Shane Lowry returns to top form at Memorial Park.

Shane Lowry Houston OpenPGA Tour golfer and major champion
Photo By - Reuters Connect. PGA Tour golfer and major champion Shane Lowry.

There are several proven PGA Tour winners down the Houston Open odds board ahead of the Texas Children's Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course, and I’ve got a trio of them rounding out my golf picks this week.

Irishman Shane Lowry headlines my top sleepers and longshots for the Houston Open.

Houston Open sleeper picks

Picks were made on March 24 at 10:10 a.m. ET.

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Houston Open sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Shane Lowry
+4500 at BetMGM

Rewind three weeks, and Shane Lowry was two holes from winning the Cognizant Classic, which resulted in his seventh Top-25 finish across eight events, including three Top 5s.

Consecutive missed cuts have the Irishman well down the odds board, and he finished T11 here in 2021 while ranking fourth in true strokes gained tee-to-green and sixth on approach. 

Sleeper pick to win: Tony Finau
+6000 at BetMGM

The 2023 Houston Open winner finished T18 and sixth in true strokes gained tee-to-green last week in the Valspar, and there’s no questioning whether Tony Finau has the distance to take advantage of Memorial Park.

He also finished T2 in this event in 2024, and five of Finau’s six PGA Tour wins have come in weaker-field events.

Sleeper pick to win: Wyndham Clark
+6000 at BetMGM

Wyndham Clark gained true strokes across the board during his T5 in this event last season, and he’s gained true strokes putting in all five trips to Memorial Park.

He has the distance to bomb and gauge his way around this track, and he’s gained true strokes on approach in each of his past five events to rank sixth in this field in the metric, in addition to ranking sixth in true strokes gained tee-to-green.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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