The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am runs Feb. 12-15 at Pebble Beach Golf Links. Below is our full best-bets card for the week (outright + top finish + matchup + prop + FRL).
For odds movement, course breakdown, and round-by-round updates, bookmark our AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting hub.
Best bets card: Our top plays for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
| Bet | Player |  |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outright | Russell Henley | +3250 | 10 straight Top 20s with true strokes gained on approach in each, and T5 here in 2025 |
| Top 20 | Jason Day | +165 | Finished Top 20 in 12 of 16 trips to Pebble |
| Matchup | Jason Day over Harris English | -105 | Day's knowledge of and track record at Pebble give him a huge edge |
| FRL | Scottie Scheffler | +650 | World No. 1 has consecutive Top 10s here with a Friday-low 64 at Pebble in 2024 |
| Sleeper | Sepp Straka | +3250 | Tee-to-green game in top form and T7 here in 2025. |
Odds courtesy of Fanatics as of Tuesday, February 10 at 3:15 p.m. ET.
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Outright winner pick
Russell Henley to win (+3250)
The five-time PGA Tour winner has 10 consecutive Top 20s while gaining true strokes on approach in each.
- Course Fit: Accurate tee-to-green player with an excellent short game
- Recent Form: 10 consecutive Top 20s while gaining true strokes across the board
- Market Value: Priced below top tier despite top-tier statistics and results
Risk: Russell Henley has never won in California.
Top 20 finish pick
Jason Day to finish Top 20 (+165)
Approach game is dialed, and Jason Day has nine Top 10s in 16 trips to Pebble Beach.
- Market Fit: Long odds considering Day’s 12 Top 20s at the track
- Key Stat: 1.72 true strokes gained on the field during career at Pebble
Risk: Short game was uncharacteristically poor in his last event.
Matchup & head-to-head bet
Jason Day over Harris English (-105)
Harris English has topped out with a T40 in this event all the way back in 2012, while Jason Day has been a consistent threat to win here throughout his career.
- Matchup Advantage: Course knowledge and current form both favor Day
- Key Stat: Day has 12 Top 20s at Pebble, and English has none
Risk: English turned heads in three of four 2025 major championships.
First-round leader bet
Scottie Scheffler first-round leader (+650)
World No. 1 has consecutive Top 10s here with a Friday-low 64 at Pebble in 2024.
- Market Fit: Odds are double the price of his outright +300 number
- Key Stat: PGA Tour Round 1 scoring leader annually since 2023
Risk: Dead heat rules cut odds if Scheffler ties for first.
Top sleeper pick
Sepp Straka to win (+6000)
Sepp Straka finished T7 in 2025 and ranks third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green to start 2026.
- Market Fit: Long number for a 2025 two-time winner
- Key Stat: Second in true strokes gained tee-to-green here last year
Risk: Inconsistent putter and has never gained true strokes on the greens at Pebble.
Why these bets fit Pebble Beach Golf Links
- Proven winners in solid form
- Players have elite tee-to-green metrics
- Prior success at Pebble was a handicap priority
- Finishing position and matchup bets complement outright wagers
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am budget watch
- Signature Events have historically been dominated by top-tier players, so chasing too many longshots isn't advised
- I've targeted the second- and third-tier odds range with proven winners and course fits
- Don't ignore the "Without Scottie Scheffler" markets if looking to remove the World No. 1 from the equation
Stake Level: With a long-standing track record of what wins in this event, I'm building a smaller betting card with four outright bets complemented by each-way wagers, finishing-position and head-to-head bets for the 2026 edition.
