RBC Canadian Open Predictions, Picks & Best Bets 2026: Tommy Fleetwood Headlines Field

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 8, 2026 , 11:58 AM ET • 4 min read

Your one-stop shop for RBC Canadian Open predictions, picks, and analysis.

PGA Tour, Tommy Fleetwood
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tommy Fleetwood at the 2026 Memorial Tournament.

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open returns to TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley’s North Course, and the strong field heading north of the border is headlined by Englishmen Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Fitzpatrick.

With Americans Sam Burns and Collin Morikawa also atop the RBC Canadian Open odds, this national championship is set to deliver again in 2026.

Here’s an early look at my top golf picks and course breakdown of TPC Toronto.

⛳ RBC Canadian Open: Key takeaways

  • Best early bet: Sam Burns to win (+1600) – The elite putter is always a threat to pick up his sixth PGA Tour win when his ball-striking spikes like it has the past eight events

  • Best early value: Alex Fitzpatrick to win (+4000) – Gained true strokes across the board during his T6 in the Memorial to keep his breakout heater going

  • Course: TPC Toronto is a grueling, 7,389-yard Par 70 featuring wide fairways, four 500-yard par 4s, and undulated green complexes featuring steep runoffs

  • Weather: The early weather forecasts call for warm, scorable conditions with the potential for afternoon showers every day except Saturday

  • Expected cut: The 36-hole cut for the 2026 RBC Canadian Open will shorten the field to to the top 65 players and ties following Round 2
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📊 RBC Canadian Open odds

The RBC Canadian Open runs at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley from Thursday, June 11, through Sunday, June 14.

Golfer BetMGM
Tommy Fleetwood +1400
Matt Fitzpatrick +1400
Sam Burns +1600
Collin Morikawa +2500
Brooks Koepka +2500
Wyndham Clark +2500
Robert MacIntyre +2800
Justin Rose +3000
Shane Lowry +3000
Kristoffer Reitan +3000

Odds from BetMGM, one of our best golf betting sites

Check out the full RBC Canadian Open field.


Course breakdown: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley’s North Course proved to be a formidable championship venue last year following an extensive renovation by architect Ian Andrew finalized in 2024. 

It plays as a demanding 7,389-yard Par 70, with a unique opening and closing Par 5 on the card and four of the 12 Par 4s stretching over 500 yards. 

While the wide fairways allow a bombs away approach off the tee, strategically placed greenside bunkers still penalize the wrong angle of attack. And, the sheer length of the track puts long irons in hand into challenging green complexes that feature steep runoffs throughout the round.

The 2025 RBC Canadian Open is the only true reference point, and Ryan Fox won ranking second in true strokes gained tee-to-green, sixth on approaches and 16th in putting. He topped Sam Burns in a playoff, and the American respectively ranked eighth, 12th and ninth in the same metrics. 

So, similar to most weeks, there’s a premium on tee-to-green play with a hot putter being a difference maker.

  • Grueling 7,389-yard Par 70 featuring unique bookended Par 5s
  • Four punishing Par 4s stretching over 500 yards
  • Undulating green complexes featuring steep runoffs
  • TPC Toronto puts a premium on long-iron play

Players to watch

  • Sam Burns: The American is trending, and Burns is always a threat to pick up win No. 6 when his ball-striking spikes because he putts the lights out week in, week out

  • Wyndham Clark: Following up his 2026 win with a solo-third in the Memorial reinforces Clark’s thriving throughout the bag, and I’m particularly encouraged by his approach play

Key stats & player profiles to target

  • True strokes gained tee-to-green
  • True strokes gained approach
  • Adjusted scoring average
  • Bogey avoidance
  • Scrambling and true strokes gained around-the-green

Players to watch

  • Tommy Fleetwood: The betting favorite has gained true strokes across the board and ranks sixth in bogey avoidance and 21st in adjusted scoring average this season

  • Brooks Koepka: Aside from poor Par 4 scoring metrics, Koepka checks the boxes with +1.31 true strokes gained tee-to-green and ranking ninth in adjusted scoring average in 2026

How to watch the RBC Canadian Open & tee times

How to watch:

  • Thursday-Friday: 2-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
  • Saturday: 12:30-2:30 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. ET (CBS)
  • Sunday: 12:30-2:30 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3-6:30 p.m. ET (CBS)

Tee times:

  • Round 1 and 2 tee times will be announced Tuesday, June 9.

RBC Canadian Open betting FAQ

Who is the 2026 RBC Canadian Open favorite?

Tommy Fleetwood is the betting favorite at BetMGM.

When is the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open will be played from Thursday, June 11, to Sunday, June 14.

Where will the 2026 RBC Canadian Open be played?

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open will be played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley in Caledon Village, Ontario.

What are RBC Canadian Open FRL markets?

First Round Leader (FRL) markets center around which golfers will be in the lead following the first 18 holes of the tournament.

How do RBC Canadian Open matchup bets work?

When betting RBC Canadian Open matchups, you're selecting which golfer will score better between the two golfers listed in that specific market. There are 18-hole, single-round matchups, in addition to tournament-long, 72-hole matchups.

What is the RBC Canadian Open cut line?

The RBC Canadian Open features a cut to the Top 65 players and ties after Round 2.

Are RBC Canadian Open odds the same across all sportsbooks?

You'll see slight to significant variations in odds across sportsbooks for the RBC Canadian Open; it's always good practice to check multiple sports betting sites for the best odds.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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