Posted:
#2301
So far in MSG happens what I though will and will next time support my say with +425 bets on Double Result
Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
Posted:
#2304
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I ask because OKC lost, the ND - ALA game is going over, even if ND doesn't score and the BOS - NYK game is also trending over. That's an 0-3 start and based on your track record I don' t see you going 0-5, ergo, I should increase the late bets.
Posted:
#2307
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I ask because OKC lost, the ND - ALA game is going over, even if ND doesn't score and the BOS - NYK game is also trending over. That's an 0-3 start and based on your track record I don' t see you going 0-5, ergo, I should increase the late bets.
That's not how probability works BigTen. The outcome of the Sacramento game isn't correlated with the outcome of the other plays. Don't chase losses and stay steady!
Posted:
#2308
Quote Originally Posted by petertjm:
not good again tonight so far, lost okc, knicks will go over, alabama will go over, and no under not looking good darn
not good again tonight so far, lost okc, knicks will go over, alabama will go over, and no under not looking good darn
New Orleans is currently projected to total 176 points. There has been no score in the 2nd quarter in the BCS Game.
Relax. Let the games play out.
Posted:
#2309
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I ask because OKC lost, the ND - ALA game is going over, even if ND doesn't score and the BOS - NYK game is also trending over. That's an 0-3 start and based on your track record I don' t see you going 0-5, ergo, I should increase the late bets.
sacramento has been a pretty strong play for me lately in general, when demarcus cousins shows up... they are a different team. they also happen to be a better performing home team. tyreke evans is back tonight which made me feel a little better about them. i waited for the points to level at 4 within the last couple hours and went a little higher than standard bet on the whole game spread as well
Posted:
#2310
yep u wud think tyreke increases their chances of winning just due to upgrade in talent,but wen he has played he seems to hav an adverse effect on their winning record.....which is part of reason why he is always mentioned in trade rumours...but i agree completely,if cousins is interested and motivated sacramento is a great chance of competing no doubt...i believed that regardless of wat the line does
Posted:
#2311
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:
yep u wud think tyreke increases their chances of winning just due to upgrade in talent,but wen he has played he seems to hav an adverse effect on their winning record.....which is part of reason why he is always mentioned in trade rumours...but i agree completely,if cousins is interested and motivated sacramento is a great chance of competing no doubt...i believed that regardless of wat the line does
yep u wud think tyreke increases their chances of winning just due to upgrade in talent,but wen he has played he seems to hav an adverse effect on their winning record.....which is part of reason why he is always mentioned in trade rumours...but i agree completely,if cousins is interested and motivated sacramento is a great chance of competing no doubt...i believed that regardless of wat the line does
Today's youth...
Posted:
#2313
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I know money management dictates you never do this but, I am considering increasing the $ on the Sac game. How confident are you in these two plays?
I ask because OKC lost, the ND - ALA game is going over, even if ND doesn't score and the BOS - NYK game is also trending over. That's an 0-3 start and based on your track record I don' t see you going 0-5, ergo, I should increase the late bets.
I was under impression that you read the thread. 1. This thread is not about my picks only but the methodology.
2.Never ever ever ever ever chase!
3.Noone guarantees winning every single day!
4. The goal is creating steady monthly income.
5'We're up!
6. The game is not over until the fat lady sings
Posted:
#2319
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
This thread supports explanations
I can give you the short version here;
you can pick any games yesterday and test it.
example : 1pm game OKL / TORONTO final score 104-92
1) OKL average point of last 4 recent game (away) is 104/97
2) TOR average point of last 4 recent game (home) is 97/93
3) gather data from cover's NBA/score/matchup
OKL power rating : -14 edge : 12345
TOR power rating : -3.3 edge : 67
OKL/TOR difference PR is 14-3.3= 11 round off points.
OKL clearly have edges over TOR in point/game, field goal,free throw,defense and rebound.
since OKL have 11 point favor over TOR , but the line showing OKL only giving 6.5 point to TOR. So clearly OKL will win this game. The LAST 4 recent average point is not a final score , but a number to see which side is winning. Like I said this is only a short version. There are more deeper and more details to the above. Just Try out and see., test all the game yesterday then you will see what i am talking about. the system will be more powerful if combine with Marvin knowledge and other people here. I beleive we can accomplice 80% accuracy. But the most important thing is to achieve "confidence bet ".
Posted:
#2320
Quote Originally Posted by sm1975:
Mavin, you played 5 NBA plays tonight, which seems fairly uncharacteristic for you and for your philosophy. Do you feel like you might be forcing a decision due to public pressure?
Mavin, you played 5 NBA plays tonight, which seems fairly uncharacteristic for you and for your philosophy. Do you feel like you might be forcing a decision due to public pressure?
I appreciate your question but the answer is - absolutely NO. I don't play 5 games everyday but I do sometimes. Besides two plays are on a same game and one play was parlay. But I hear you and understand your concern. I guess if the games were looking better outcome wise - that question would not be raised and understand and appreciate that too.
Posted:
#2321
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
I appreciate your question but the answer is - absolutely NO. I don't play 5 games everyday but I do sometimes. Besides two plays are on a same game and one play was parlay. But I hear you and understand your concern. I guess if the games were looking better outcome wise - that question would not be raised and understand and appreciate that too.
I appreciate your question but the answer is - absolutely NO. I don't play 5 games everyday but I do sometimes. Besides two plays are on a same game and one play was parlay. But I hear you and understand your concern. I guess if the games were looking better outcome wise - that question would not be raised and understand and appreciate that too.
I'm not going anywhere, either. I understand the ebbs and flows of day to day capping. I was just curious.
Posted:
#2322
Quote Originally Posted by eargasm:
I can give you the short version here;
you can pick any games yesterday and test it.
example : 1pm game OKL / TORONTO final score 104-92
1) OKL average point of last 4 recent game (away) is 104/97
2) TOR average point of last 4 recent game (home) is 97/93
3) gather data from cover's NBA/score/matchup
OKL power rating : -14 edge : 12345
TOR power rating : -3.3 edge : 67
OKL/TOR difference PR is 14-3.3= 11 round off points.
OKL clearly have edges over TOR in point/game, field goal,free throw,defense and rebound.
since OKL have 11 point favor over TOR , but the line showing OKL only giving 6.5 point to TOR. So clearly OKL will win this game. The LAST 4 recent average point is not a final score , but a number to see which side is winning. Like I said this is only a short version. There are more deeper and more details to the above. Just Try out and see., test all the game yesterday then you will see what i am talking about. the system will be more powerful if combine with Marvin knowledge and other people here. I beleive we can accomplice 80% accuracy. But the most important thing is to achieve "confidence bet ".
Absolutely agree with that sentence. Except that I am Mavin and not Marvin
Posted:
#2323
Mavin your plays the last few days have been unaccpetable for a capper with your such skill level... i suggest you take some time to study your playbook better and come up with an assortment of better plays in the upcoming days.... Im not bashing you just trying to motivate you to do better.
Posted:
#2324
Quote Originally Posted by VegasCapper25:
Mavin your plays the last few days have been unaccpetable for a capper with your such skill level... i suggest you take some time to study your playbook better and come up with an assortment of better plays in the upcoming days.... Im not bashing you just trying to motivate you to do better.
obviously a throwaway account..
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