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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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SunsDevils

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 1405

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 1:39 AM ET #10626

Quote Originally Posted by MikeTizzy:

SORRY for ur team total wager, a moose is a moose. on a side note thats completely relevant to ur targeted scenario. Kings dont care to play much D, or any at that. Check out what they allow and what they score since the break, u will see, another angle is that last matchup was another shootfest. So its not like u can jus bank on both teams being b2b and suns scoring under 101 is so great afterall.

The play with highest odds of favorable outcome was OVER 206. Thats the lesson.

I watch a lot of Suns games (unfortunately). And they have a huge problem scoring, especially with no Dragic. Just like somebody here said the Suns scored over 101 in only 1 out 9 games. I understand that the Kings allow a bunch, but Suns don't even come close to that most nights, even against some bad defensive teams. In retrospective, Kings Over 106 made more sense as the Suns play no D and Kings scored over 100, i think in 23 out 26 games or something like that.Sucks to lose like that, but I still think it wasn't such a bad bet.

Eryximaque

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 209

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:12 AM ET #10627

Erxyimaque 35-31-1

Under 203.5 MIN Twolves - OKC Thunder

In before line decrease, it seems really high, Thunder has really improve their defense, many trends on under,

Last 4 games opponent PPG below 91

Rest for both,

Line opened at 203.5 and is already 203 despite 67% on over

BigUnit

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 19509

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 8:30 AM ET #10628

Laid off yesterday, today I have 2 bets involving the same game. Im gonna roll with Boston. They still havent clinched a playoff berth, the Hawks already have. Hawks on thier 4th road game in a row. also taking the over in this game. Its been 5-2 ats the last 7 meetings between these 2. No KG and a tired Atlanta D with Bostons playoff hopes on the line should give enough points for the over.

36-29

BOS Celtics -1.5

Over 194.5 BOS Celtics-ATL Hawks

BOL!

BatBatman

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 88

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 1:54 PM ET #10629

batbatman 1-0

knicks -14

hornets +5.5

knicks should dominate at home. i see a 20+ victory. i hate novak but the kid can shoot and he'll make it rain tnite. as long as his 3s go in(which they should since he plays better wen knicks r up) i see a 20 point win.

rlm with the hornets..let down spot...etc etc. plus 71-72 lakers lost next 4 games after their streak ended. miami is also looking at spurs..which they know is one of the teams they should look out for, so they'll prob ease up with the hornets...i dont see any extra motivation to win here besides bouncing back and gaining confidence wen they play the spurs. miami makes it close..play good def..but hornets cover.

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 2:32 PM ET #10630

isn't miami close with the western conference for home court advantage throughout the playoffs? that'd be the only reason they're playing in my opinion.. because i know they want home court in the finals.

jackson0780

Rookie

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 611

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 2:41 PM ET #10631

It seems like that Casper sucked the life out this thread ?? Where is everyone ? Did you give up action on Fridays ? Where is that loser anyways, he was bugging me like 36 hours before that final display he put on, I came to read off after the buzzers and all I see is him acting like his tablet is his girlfriend. hope everyone can come back.. it's Friday!!

Chapter13

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 263

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 2:45 PM ET #10632

We're here. Let's just all try to forget that happened with that guy. Fairly big NBA card tonight, so hopefully some picks and discussion of tonight's games will start soon.

greengiants

Rookie

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 526

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 2:53 PM ET #10633

greengiants 31-37

Under 203.5 DEN Nuggets - BKN Nets

Key component to both offenses will be missing tonight with Lawson and Johnson out, a little fatigue factor for Brooklyn who will be on the 6th game of their 7 game trip.Brooklyn's last ten games have averaged 196.5 pts and denver has averaged 202.5 in the last ten.There has been RLM with this game also.

-Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games

-Under is 6-0-1 in Nuggets last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game

best of luck tonight everyone!

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 3:42 PM ET #10634

college picks for today:

Louisville-10: this is a lot of points.. but i feel lousiville press should get to dominic artis as he is still very young.. and louisville is just too strong and too fast.. they won't allow oregon to break the press and find open shots.. feel a big game from gorgui dieng down low and way russ smith is playing.. lotta points but Louisville clicking on all cylinders.. and they saw what happened to Indiana..

Kansas-2: kansas has 4 seniors and Ben Mclemore.. they're just the bigger stronger older team in this matchup.. i'll take experienced 22 year olds over 18-20 year old everyday.. feel withey will be too much for mitch mcgary down low and he will have big game.. only chance i see Mich having is if they drain from 3 pt land which they are capable of, but i feel kansas is ready for this matchup, and have better coach in my opinion.

duke-2: mich st is the garbage! don't get me wrong, but i feel duke will be able to spread the ball well and hit their shots.. and when that happens that will open plumlee down low.. this game should come down to the wire, but i expect duke to come thru clutch tonight.

Florida-13: I Initially leaned gulf coast +13.. BUT as week went on i felt how much Florida is game filming for gulf coast and won't take them lightly.. i won't forget the stretch earlier in season when FLA was beating SEC opponents by an average of 20+ppg.. they dominate teams that are better than gulf coast on the regular.. and feel they will want to shut up ESPN and Tom Rinaldi for all the press gulf coast is getting.. plus see some RLM as public on gulf coast and line trending up to 13.5 some books.. if Florida show up tonight and takes care of the ball.. they should win this one easily.

good luck guys thanks for reading!! where majority of my $$ is today.. some NBA today will post picks after some research..

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 3:44 PM ET #10635

duke-2: mich st is the garbage! ?

haha! i guess when i say S..H..I........T it corrects it with garbage.. hilarious.. that part of post just sounds lame now.. sorry!

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 3:49 PM ET #10636

So, after everyone had his say about casper - can we please focus on what we're here for. I suggest instead of complaining about the lack of input by other - to make your own input

washhead

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 510

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 4:28 PM ET #10637

washhead 2-0

MEM Grizzlies -4.5

Houston (14-21) is not a good road team, and Memphis (28-8) is excellent at home. Houston is in a tough spot here -- after playing the last SEVEN games at home, they have this odd roadie before heading back to Houston tomorrow for two more at home. Playing 9 out of 10 at home, I don't expect much from the lone road test, especially against a team fighting for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Memphis has won their last 10 home games, 8 of them by 6 points or more. I realize this pick goes against some slight RLM, but as we saw earlier this week RLM doesn't always mean much.

SunsDevils

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 1405

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:07 PM ET #10638

Why is everyone so heavy on BOS? I hate betting on ATL, but they have been super hot lately. Boston finally by some miracle comes back and beat CLE after losing 5 in a row and all of a sudden public is on them. What am I missing?

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:12 PM ET #10639

my guess is people are just siding with the home team on a low line.. one of those"boston's at home so they SHOULD win." lol, i don't know.. not on that game tonight, just guessing

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:25 PM ET #10640

i'm waiting to post my picks lol.. i'm taking all underdogs tonight and feel line will move up in my favor..do like the picks so far.. especially yours batman! agree with both.

Heads2134

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 116

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:28 PM ET #10641

Heads2134 20-18

Under 197.5 SAS Spurs - LAC Clippers

Under 195 MEM Grizzlies - HOU Rockets

BOS Celtics -3

Under Spurs because a playoffs environment, plus both teams play to the under at home and on the road respectively and the refs statistics support the under.

Under Rockets, Houston playing defense lately and i expect that after the bad defense performance the Grizzlies showed in NY they will come out and play defense tonight, also Memphis has a pretty good Under record at home.

Celtics, lot of injuries on both sides but i feel the most important is Al Horford for the Hawks, Boston have a really good home record and Jeff Green is playing really good since Garnett get injured.

MoreGeezer

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 1062

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 5:47 PM ET #10642

Guys,just a thing...Dont you find the spread in Grizz game a bit too low?Could be a trap?

MoreGeezer

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 1062

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:24 PM ET #10643

Pls stop making comments in this thread.

Kohler

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 88

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:24 PM ET #10644

Monkey,

Like you show any intelligence. Good thing you posted since you are such a voice of reason...

Kohler

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 88

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:24 PM ET #10645

Monkey,

Like you show any intelligence. Good thing you posted since you are such a voice of reason...

KingMidasTouch

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 432

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:28 PM ET #10646

Miami has just got off the streak and will be facing a feisty Hornets in NO where they have given lots of hard times to many top teams.

NO Hornets +5.5

The Grizzlies won't allow the Rockets free views.

Under 194.5 MEM Grizzlies - HOU Rockets

Under 202.5 DEN Nuggets - BKN Nets

Not much points are expected in that game as Brooklyn's only chance is through defense

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:36 PM ET #10647

AshyLarryMP 49-44-2:

NO Hornets +6.5

NY Knicks - 14

MIN Timberwolves +8.5

agree with midas here in the fact that you can hear it in the heats voice.. they were tired and ready to rest up.. even if they win i like taking home dogs and will take 6 points.

Knicks have impressed me lately with basically killing the grizzlies and the celtics.. they should kill the bobcats here.. believing the knicks train keeps rolling...

timberwolves simply a gut play, taking a chance.. just like home dogs.. and believe that timberwolves have been playing well lately and will score enough points to keep it within DD..

good luck everyone.. and don't worry bout the troll! i'm sure he'll get banned eventually.. doing everything i can to make sure he does! people like him don't deserve a voice.

sonictrip-1980

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 13

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:39 PM ET #10648

kurwa !!
ale ty jestes zjebany !!

Musicmatt1

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 442

Posted: Mar. 29, 2013 - 6:40 PM ET #10649

Musicmatt1 45-51-1

NY Knicks -14

Over 186.5 NO Hornets - MIA Heat

MIN Timberwolves +8

Knicks have gone 2-0 at home versus non playoff teams, beating the Magic by 12 and most recently the Raptors by 26. In general home teams that have clinched playoff berths versus non playoff teams have covered in 11 of 16 contests. In 2 of the 5 games that didn't cover, the home team lost and I don't see the Knicks losing here.

It has gone Over in 13 of 21 contests between teams that have clinched playoff berths and non playoff bound teams. 5 of the games that have gone Under, the non playoff team won straight up. Since I think the Miami Heat will win, the over is 13 of 16 in those situations. I also think King James gets more fouls called this game, since he voiced his complaints.

Western Conference teams that have clinched playoff berths are 0-5 versus Non Playoff teams on the road. I'll take my chance riding with the Timberwolves +8 tonight. Hoping the Thunder rest their players late thinking towards their trip to Milwaukee tomorrow (not looking ahead to the Bucks, but looking ahead to being fresh for the playoffs).

All of my statistics start from March 18, 2013.

Business as usual.