Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper
Try that cut and paste again:
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
62% 309
61% 345
60% 390
59% 450
58% 530
57% 644
56% 822
55% 1,136
54% 1,838
53% 4,807
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
Try that cut and paste again:
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
62% 309
61% 345
60% 390
59% 450
58% 530
57% 644
56% 822
55% 1,136
54% 1,838
53% 4,807
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
I don't even know scal. It's not like I am against cg... I just feel that if you are a true professional, you don't worry about posting to a board, you just do your business. You have enough to worry abt.
Jper (Scal)...Why does it matter to you? Hes been at it for 2 weeks...I think posting picks helps for structure and discipline in his situation for now...hes putting his azz on the line every time he post his picks...up 4 dimes, so far so good...doesn't matter how he gets there...its up to the individual...there is no pamphlet on how to do it!
I don't even know scal. It's not like I am against cg... I just feel that if you are a true professional, you don't worry about posting to a board, you just do your business. You have enough to worry abt.
Jper (Scal)...Why does it matter to you? Hes been at it for 2 weeks...I think posting picks helps for structure and discipline in his situation for now...hes putting his azz on the line every time he post his picks...up 4 dimes, so far so good...doesn't matter how he gets there...its up to the individual...there is no pamphlet on how to do it!
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
Streaks - in and of themselves - are useless to a gambler.
They only provide a story to tell after the fact. There is zero value in using streaks as a predictor - unless of course there is causation in the way you are handicapping to cause the streak.
But "luck" and "bad luck" streaks - only value is to provide a gambler with a convenient explanation. They do nothing to improve your money management or overall expected value.
And as far as flat betting goes... I just used it as an example because that seems to be what CG is doing. And if you flat bet, you can easily come to a bet size.
![]()
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
Streaks - in and of themselves - are useless to a gambler.
They only provide a story to tell after the fact. There is zero value in using streaks as a predictor - unless of course there is causation in the way you are handicapping to cause the streak.
But "luck" and "bad luck" streaks - only value is to provide a gambler with a convenient explanation. They do nothing to improve your money management or overall expected value.
And as far as flat betting goes... I just used it as an example because that seems to be what CG is doing. And if you flat bet, you can easily come to a bet size.
![]()
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
I don't believe in Flat Betting. Never have. Maybe my view would change if I was a Pro instead of a Recreational gambler. Maybe. Based on the numbers above a Flat Bettor at $390 is risking 1.3% of a $30K bankroll. Who the fukk bets only 1.3%? Maybe if I had an $80K bankroll that luxury would be an option.
And you can't say Streaks (both Good & Bad) are BS because they are a FACT of any form of gambling including Sports Wagering. If you are not fluctuating your Bankroll percentage between at least 2% and 5% then you are forcing yourself to produce at 60% based on the numbers above. Too much pressure to produce at 60% when fluctuating wagers can allow you to survive Streaks at a more reasonable 55%.
Not trying to be argumentative, JMHO.
cjm: I'm sorry. I apologize.
Sometimes I bark at the moon, know what I mean?
cjm: I'm sorry. I apologize.
Sometimes I bark at the moon, know what I mean?
Baronman, not trying to be a jerk, but your grammar and sentence structure is APPALLING. Your posts are a plethora of run-on sentences, and cannot be taken seriously.
Two spaces after a sentence is pathetic. Do better.
Baronman, not trying to be a jerk, but your grammar and sentence structure is APPALLING. Your posts are a plethora of run-on sentences, and cannot be taken seriously.
Two spaces after a sentence is pathetic. Do better.
Regardless how this endeavor turns out, Collegegambler is giving Scalabrine a run for his money, on the number of people who view their particular threads.
Regardless how this endeavor turns out, Collegegambler is giving Scalabrine a run for his money, on the number of people who view their particular threads.
Shout out to Wizard & others . If you read my threads I am at work most the time bartending hundred people at time This thread is about College & dream going pro I don't care about Your negative comments about my English or punctuation . Let's see some good picks today , so we all can make some $$!. Ok . How's today's thread guys . I'm not working til Saturday . I'm waiting for your picks . Which I doubt I will see any , because you guys don't ever post . I will have some later today ok . Looking forward to see Scals picks today also. So I can keep track of his 65% winning plays Seriously good luck to all. Out
Shout out to Wizard & others . If you read my threads I am at work most the time bartending hundred people at time This thread is about College & dream going pro I don't care about Your negative comments about my English or punctuation . Let's see some good picks today , so we all can make some $$!. Ok . How's today's thread guys . I'm not working til Saturday . I'm waiting for your picks . Which I doubt I will see any , because you guys don't ever post . I will have some later today ok . Looking forward to see Scals picks today also. So I can keep track of his 65% winning plays Seriously good luck to all. Out
Two spaces after a sentence is pathetic. Do better.
Two spaces after a sentence is pathetic. Do better.
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