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    All Forums | The Archives

    Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper

    «First Previous 666768 ... 567568569 Next Last»
    rangerz2478
    collegegambler
    earthWake
    ILPRATO
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    rangerz2478
    rangerz2478
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 1:46 AM ET #1626

    Quote Originally Posted by tdog25:

    i'm serious college, 550 a game is TOO MUCH...go down to 330 mine dear friend....It's too much...right now, especially before baseball, you have to get off this basketball crap..it's a crap sport..

    Wait...what?

    Were you not the guy who said he needs to RAISE his bet size substantially?
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    Quote Originally Posted by tdog25:

    i'm serious college, 550 a game is TOO MUCH...go down to 330 mine dear friend....It's too much...right now, especially before baseball, you have to get off this basketball crap..it's a crap sport..

    Wait...what?

    Were you not the guy who said he needs to RAISE his bet size substantially?
     
    rangerz2478
    rangerz2478
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 1:48 AM ET #1627

    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    CG, why are you telling me to F-- off? I apologized to you about my behavior earlier and said I was wrong. I have only been trying to lift you up and keep the betting gods on your side. That was pretty uncool my young grasshopper. I thought we were ok but i guess not. Oh well you talked crap to me for no reason and then went 1-3 and scarred some poor 3 year old for life. You are real impressive . . .

    Wow, I did not see how this started and I'm too lazy to find it, but I'd say you got what you deserved. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    CG, why are you telling me to F-- off? I apologized to you about my behavior earlier and said I was wrong. I have only been trying to lift you up and keep the betting gods on your side. That was pretty uncool my young grasshopper. I thought we were ok but i guess not. Oh well you talked crap to me for no reason and then went 1-3 and scarred some poor 3 year old for life. You are real impressive . . .

    Wow, I did not see how this started and I'm too lazy to find it, but I'd say you got what you deserved. 
     
    collegegambler
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 1:50 AM ET #1628

    Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website
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    Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website
     
    collegegambler
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 1:54 AM ET #1629

    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off
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    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off
     
    rangerz2478
    rangerz2478
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:01 AM ET #1630

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off

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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off

     
    rangerz2478
    rangerz2478
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:06 AM ET #1631

    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    I will enjoy watching you lose. As soon as you hit your cold streak, you will start doubling up and then you will be done. Great 1-3 day today. You had a lucky start and will be home my March Madness because you are a alcoholic loser who bangs ugly person and ruins poor little kid's lives. You are the typical 20 something who isn't worth a garbage.

    You are the definition of pathetic and it scares me that I walk the same streets as someone like you. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    I will enjoy watching you lose. As soon as you hit your cold streak, you will start doubling up and then you will be done. Great 1-3 day today. You had a lucky start and will be home my March Madness because you are a alcoholic loser who bangs ugly person and ruins poor little kid's lives. You are the typical 20 something who isn't worth a garbage.

    You are the definition of pathetic and it scares me that I walk the same streets as someone like you. 
     
    earthWake
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:18 AM ET #1632

    My best friend got a job at the SLS casino in Vegas about 3 months ago. He says they have a sports betting app out there where you deposit and cashout at the casino, but place bets through the app. I'm sure its true because he has no reason to lie to me. Do you do this ever?

    Sorry if you mentioned this already, I only read 4-5 pages of this thread.

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    My best friend got a job at the SLS casino in Vegas about 3 months ago. He says they have a sports betting app out there where you deposit and cashout at the casino, but place bets through the app. I'm sure its true because he has no reason to lie to me. Do you do this ever?

    Sorry if you mentioned this already, I only read 4-5 pages of this thread.

     
    ILPRATO
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 3:11 AM ET #1633

    Hey CG ,

    This is truly a game of inches shopping for lines and proper money management is the key in the long run.

    Good luck

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    Hey CG ,

    This is truly a game of inches shopping for lines and proper money management is the key in the long run.

    Good luck

     
    Ballerholic
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 4:10 AM ET #1634

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off

    hahahahhah, CG is too funny. Yea get out of here Brady, you definitely have some kind of issues.
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Brady ur constant banter of being cool with me when I win and then a clown when I lose is pathetic. Look at ur comments the few times I went against the pats and lost this year. As recently as the superbowl u made some bogus final post to my season long nfl thread in which I had an incredible season regardless of the Seattle SB loss, then u said I was the worst nba capper ever making fun of any losing pick, then u said I'll be home by April and now ur acting like ur my best friend and saying how great I am and want to bankroll me. So ur apology is declined and once again Fuckk off

    hahahahhah, CG is too funny. Yea get out of here Brady, you definitely have some kind of issues.
     
    Laroja
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 5:32 AM ET #1635

    Some of the comments are hilarious. The guy has been in Vegas for like 2 weeks, he's doing fine and when he loses a couple of games for a couple of standard unit plays people go off on him. It's not like he lost 2k playing blackjack or went crazy on the poker table.
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    Some of the comments are hilarious. The guy has been in Vegas for like 2 weeks, he's doing fine and when he loses a couple of games for a couple of standard unit plays people go off on him. It's not like he lost 2k playing blackjack or went crazy on the poker table.
     
    golfing123
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 6:30 AM ET #1636

    [Quote: Originally Posted by collegegambler] Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website [/Quote)

    This  CG its what internet kids do when bored and lonely.

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by collegegambler] Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website [/Quote)

    This  CG its what internet kids do when bored and lonely.

     
    pjrez
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:27 AM ET #1637

    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    I will enjoy watching you lose. As soon as you hit your cold streak, you will start doubling up and then you will be done. Great 1-3 day today. You had a lucky start and will be home my March Madness because you are a alcoholic loser who bangs ugly person and ruins poor little kid's lives. You are the typical 20 something who isn't worth a garbage.
    You are a douche
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bradyisgreat:

    I will enjoy watching you lose. As soon as you hit your cold streak, you will start doubling up and then you will be done. Great 1-3 day today. You had a lucky start and will be home my March Madness because you are a alcoholic loser who bangs ugly person and ruins poor little kid's lives. You are the typical 20 something who isn't worth a garbage.
    You are a douche
     
    TheGoldenGoose
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:53 AM ET #1638

    Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

    . Thanks for the comment Goose. 

    Every one wants to tell this guy how to wager. Let him live and learn the way all professional gamblers have had to do. Sure he is going to make mistakes who doesn't. At least he had the guts to give it a try and I applaud him for that.




    cjm:
      I'm sorry.  I apologize.

    Sometimes I bark at the moon, know what I mean? 




    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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    Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

    . Thanks for the comment Goose. 

    Every one wants to tell this guy how to wager. Let him live and learn the way all professional gamblers have had to do. Sure he is going to make mistakes who doesn't. At least he had the guts to give it a try and I applaud him for that.




    cjm:
      I'm sorry.  I apologize.

    Sometimes I bark at the moon, know what I mean? 




     
    TheGoldenGoose
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 8:24 AM ET #1639

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Adding Illinois is what angered me. Anytime I add a bet I don't truly love it loses. I said 3 plays today... Oregon, Milwaukee bucks and zona state. Would have been fine with that 1-2 because really liked all three but added Illinois like a jerkoffff




    I don't know who gets credit for this quote about Sports Wagering but it is 100% truth...

    "The bets you DON'T make are just as important as the ones you DO"


    ~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Adding Illinois is what angered me. Anytime I add a bet I don't truly love it loses. I said 3 plays today... Oregon, Milwaukee bucks and zona state. Would have been fine with that 1-2 because really liked all three but added Illinois like a jerkoffff




    I don't know who gets credit for this quote about Sports Wagering but it is 100% truth...

    "The bets you DON'T make are just as important as the ones you DO"


     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 8:37 AM ET #1640

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website

    You don't even know how to properly analyze a futures bet. If I have to explain that Cavs future again my head is going to explode.

    The thread, for the ten-thousandth time, was about Cleveland winning it all.

    If they win a game, they've won the championship? They could win the next 20 and I would stand by my statement.

    They are 35-21. They won't even reach the over number on their O/U total for the year, yet... they will now win the championship. Impressive! And you chime in during the 'happens ALL the time in the NBA during the season or in a game' hot streak.

    Do you even know what you are talking about? The bet will pay $0, I've never backed off that and I've explained in detail how the average joe bettor will have trouble hedging effectively, if at all. That is...THE POINT. People have debated me on that and I've yet to see a single dollar made off hedging them and until they win it all, the bet is worthless, despite the $100 bettors who danced the jitterbug when the Cavs got Lebron and Love...like the ticket already cashed...before a basket was even sunk.

    From a macro-perspective if you said the Cavs would be 35-21 after 56 games and 4th in the East, most, if not all would say that would be poor from a championship perspective.

    But you prove yourself to be another idiot in that, like when I post an NBA game of any kind, if my team trails AT ANY POINT, fools like you raid the thread and start squawking.

    And to the OSU/Indiana game: OSU won the game by fifteen That's 40% the number. You try to make it out sound like the team lost outright.

    And again you prove yourself a fool. It's ONE GAME. You went

    1-3 last night and you are complaining about one of my losses?

    I EXPECT to lose you idiot and every win or loss will come with a LONG write-up. The goal is to win more than you lose over the break-even percentage. Or do you not even know what that is?

    Do you relish in the fact that you leave an apartment pulling your pants up, cap 3 games in 45 minutes and offer the thread three paragraphs of 'cap'?

    Then you go 1-3 and your attitude is "at least my 3 loses didn't have a long write-up like Scal!"  Wow, you must be doing something right with that attitude.

    You are an amateur kid, plain and simple and prove yourself to be no different than the delusion fanboys who massage your ego here.

    I came here with one point. To tell you that your comments on the Clippers were ridiculously off point. Not ONE person refuted my comments. Because they were correct.

    If a child sees a manatee at Sea World and says, "Look mommy, it's a hamster?" does mommy pat little Johnny on the head and say "That's right, now let's go get some cotton candy."

    Your ONE statement about the Clippers bench being deep and your attempts to then rationalize your bet with the line movement about Blake (also, completely false) was FAR more embarrassing than any 10 page write-up I could or will ever write and lose with.

    Then I prodded you about what your actually doing there and in your first response, YOU AGREED WITH ME.

    You just happen to be in Vegas telling a story while the delusional fanboys sit at home watching you like you're on the Truman Show in their boxers.

    Now, onto today. Let's hear your picks. We are all on pins an needles waiting for you Steven Hawking-esque selections and analysis.

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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website

    You don't even know how to properly analyze a futures bet. If I have to explain that Cavs future again my head is going to explode.

    The thread, for the ten-thousandth time, was about Cleveland winning it all.

    If they win a game, they've won the championship? They could win the next 20 and I would stand by my statement.

    They are 35-21. They won't even reach the over number on their O/U total for the year, yet... they will now win the championship. Impressive! And you chime in during the 'happens ALL the time in the NBA during the season or in a game' hot streak.

    Do you even know what you are talking about? The bet will pay $0, I've never backed off that and I've explained in detail how the average joe bettor will have trouble hedging effectively, if at all. That is...THE POINT. People have debated me on that and I've yet to see a single dollar made off hedging them and until they win it all, the bet is worthless, despite the $100 bettors who danced the jitterbug when the Cavs got Lebron and Love...like the ticket already cashed...before a basket was even sunk.

    From a macro-perspective if you said the Cavs would be 35-21 after 56 games and 4th in the East, most, if not all would say that would be poor from a championship perspective.

    But you prove yourself to be another idiot in that, like when I post an NBA game of any kind, if my team trails AT ANY POINT, fools like you raid the thread and start squawking.

    And to the OSU/Indiana game: OSU won the game by fifteen That's 40% the number. You try to make it out sound like the team lost outright.

    And again you prove yourself a fool. It's ONE GAME. You went

    1-3 last night and you are complaining about one of my losses?

    I EXPECT to lose you idiot and every win or loss will come with a LONG write-up. The goal is to win more than you lose over the break-even percentage. Or do you not even know what that is?

    Do you relish in the fact that you leave an apartment pulling your pants up, cap 3 games in 45 minutes and offer the thread three paragraphs of 'cap'?

    Then you go 1-3 and your attitude is "at least my 3 loses didn't have a long write-up like Scal!"  Wow, you must be doing something right with that attitude.

    You are an amateur kid, plain and simple and prove yourself to be no different than the delusion fanboys who massage your ego here.

    I came here with one point. To tell you that your comments on the Clippers were ridiculously off point. Not ONE person refuted my comments. Because they were correct.

    If a child sees a manatee at Sea World and says, "Look mommy, it's a hamster?" does mommy pat little Johnny on the head and say "That's right, now let's go get some cotton candy."

    Your ONE statement about the Clippers bench being deep and your attempts to then rationalize your bet with the line movement about Blake (also, completely false) was FAR more embarrassing than any 10 page write-up I could or will ever write and lose with.

    Then I prodded you about what your actually doing there and in your first response, YOU AGREED WITH ME.

    You just happen to be in Vegas telling a story while the delusional fanboys sit at home watching you like you're on the Truman Show in their boxers.

    Now, onto today. Let's hear your picks. We are all on pins an needles waiting for you Steven Hawking-esque selections and analysis.

     
    Francoliah
    Francoliah
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    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 169
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 8:45 AM ET #1641

    Jeez, few guys on here just wreck the whole thread. Hoping your streaks are more hot than cold CG. Seriously entertaining to follow this thread and your videos, I've seen them all. If this thread gets pulled, at least keep the videos coming man! Be out there in 16 days for conference tourneys. Hit gym this morning, go beastmode in there man, it will do wonders for your mind, body spirit. Franco
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    Jeez, few guys on here just wreck the whole thread. Hoping your streaks are more hot than cold CG. Seriously entertaining to follow this thread and your videos, I've seen them all. If this thread gets pulled, at least keep the videos coming man! Be out there in 16 days for conference tourneys. Hit gym this morning, go beastmode in there man, it will do wonders for your mind, body spirit. Franco
     
    jperuski
    jperuski
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 52
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 8:54 AM ET #1642

    Look at me and my picks.... Anyone who needs this kind of attention is not a professional. Your focus shouldn't be on how many people are watching your picks. There are all kinds of people in Vegas trying to make it sports betting who you never hear about. Scal has been a good capper for years even though most don't like him because of his beliefs. This website is about people's picks...and whether you want to ride with them.
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    Look at me and my picks.... Anyone who needs this kind of attention is not a professional. Your focus shouldn't be on how many people are watching your picks. There are all kinds of people in Vegas trying to make it sports betting who you never hear about. Scal has been a good capper for years even though most don't like him because of his beliefs. This website is about people's picks...and whether you want to ride with them.
     
    golfing123
    golfing123
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 612
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:05 AM ET #1643

    Quote Originally Posted by jperuski:

    Look at me and my picks.... Anyone who needs this kind of attention is not a professional. Your focus shouldn't be on how many people are watching your picks. There are all kinds of people in Vegas trying to make it sports betting who you never hear about. Scal has been a good capper for years even though most don't like him because of his beliefs. This website is about people's picks...and whether you want to ride with them.
        Hi SCAL. Not a coincidence that your JOINED date is the same. Only 3 posts for your alias? Nothing lower than this. You've been exposed.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jperuski:

    Look at me and my picks.... Anyone who needs this kind of attention is not a professional. Your focus shouldn't be on how many people are watching your picks. There are all kinds of people in Vegas trying to make it sports betting who you never hear about. Scal has been a good capper for years even though most don't like him because of his beliefs. This website is about people's picks...and whether you want to ride with them.
        Hi SCAL. Not a coincidence that your JOINED date is the same. Only 3 posts for your alias? Nothing lower than this. You've been exposed.
     
    vanzack
    vanzack
    Legend
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    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:11 AM ET #1644

    The whole amount per bet discussion if funny.  Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.

    It is simple math, once again.

    All you need is the monthly goal.  You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:

    Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on. 
    Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
    And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)

    (80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
    5000 / 12.8 = 390

    He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month.  Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.

    Simple.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    The whole amount per bet discussion if funny.  Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.

    It is simple math, once again.

    All you need is the monthly goal.  You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:

    Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on. 
    Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
    And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)

    (80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
    5000 / 12.8 = 390

    He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month.  Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.

    Simple.

     
    EuroPro
    EuroPro
    Banned
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    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 5110
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:23 AM ET #1645

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    What's backhanded? 

    Did he not agree with me because well, it makes sense? 

    If I were doing what he is trying to do, MILF's would be a complete nonissue for me because they wouldn't exist. The next day's games would exist. My 'fun' would be capping...period.

    Las Vegas, and everything that surrounds it, will swallow you up and spit you out curbside with lint in your pockets.

    There are very thin profit margins here, and although 1-3 will happen from time to time, they are simply unacceptable as a result of reckless behavior the night before a quartet of bets. 

    the kid needs to live too. needs some sort of life in vegas. good for him he needs to meet people and not be surrounded by gambling 24/7. stfu scal, youre so miserable its hilarious 
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    What's backhanded? 

    Did he not agree with me because well, it makes sense? 

    If I were doing what he is trying to do, MILF's would be a complete nonissue for me because they wouldn't exist. The next day's games would exist. My 'fun' would be capping...period.

    Las Vegas, and everything that surrounds it, will swallow you up and spit you out curbside with lint in your pockets.

    There are very thin profit margins here, and although 1-3 will happen from time to time, they are simply unacceptable as a result of reckless behavior the night before a quartet of bets. 

    the kid needs to live too. needs some sort of life in vegas. good for him he needs to meet people and not be surrounded by gambling 24/7. stfu scal, youre so miserable its hilarious 
     
    jperuski
    jperuski
    Prospect
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    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 52
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:24 AM ET #1646

    I don't even know scal. It's not like I am against cg... I just feel that if you are a true professional, you don't worry about posting to a board, you just do your business. You have enough to worry abt.
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    I don't even know scal. It's not like I am against cg... I just feel that if you are a true professional, you don't worry about posting to a board, you just do your business. You have enough to worry abt.
     
    vanzack
    vanzack
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:32 AM ET #1647

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    The whole amount per bet discussion if funny.  Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.

    It is simple math, once again.

    All you need is the monthly goal.  You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:

    Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on. 
    Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
    And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)

    (80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
    5000 / 12.8 = 390

    He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month.  Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.

    Simple.

    To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal:  Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.

    62%61%60%59%58%57%56%55%54%53%
                309
                345
                390
                450
                530
                644
                822
             1,136
             1,838
             4,807

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    The whole amount per bet discussion if funny.  Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.

    It is simple math, once again.

    All you need is the monthly goal.  You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:

    Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on. 
    Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
    And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)

    (80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
    5000 / 12.8 = 390

    He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month.  Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.

    Simple.

    To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal:  Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.

    62%61%60%59%58%57%56%55%54%53%
                309
                345
                390
                450
                530
                644
                822
             1,136
             1,838
             4,807

     
    vanzack
    vanzack
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:34 AM ET #1648

    Try that cut and paste again: 

    To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal:  Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.

    62%  309
    61%  345
    60%  390
    59%  450
    58%  530
    57%  644
    56%  822
    55%  1,136
    54%  1,838
    53%  4,807

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Try that cut and paste again: 

    To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal:  Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.

    62%  309
    61%  345
    60%  390
    59%  450
    58%  530
    57%  644
    56%  822
    55%  1,136
    54%  1,838
    53%  4,807

     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 28221
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:35 AM ET #1649

    Quote Originally Posted by golfing123:

        Hi SCAL. Not a coincidence that your JOINED date is the same. Only 3 posts for your alias? Nothing lower than this. You've been exposed.


    Oooh boy! The same join dates!?!? You're a regular Benedict Cumberbatch aren't you!

    Go ask the mods if that is me.


    Yes, yes! Let's create an alias almost a decade ago to break out in threads about vegas and MILF's. Those two other posts I made in 9 years have served me well! I mean, I've already demonstrated I'm incapable of defending my stance. My alias and the two other posts I've made have really protected my reputation around here! I just knew this was time for a third!

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    Quote Originally Posted by golfing123:

        Hi SCAL. Not a coincidence that your JOINED date is the same. Only 3 posts for your alias? Nothing lower than this. You've been exposed.


    Oooh boy! The same join dates!?!? You're a regular Benedict Cumberbatch aren't you!

    Go ask the mods if that is me.


    Yes, yes! Let's create an alias almost a decade ago to break out in threads about vegas and MILF's. Those two other posts I made in 9 years have served me well! I mean, I've already demonstrated I'm incapable of defending my stance. My alias and the two other posts I've made have really protected my reputation around here! I just knew this was time for a third!

     
     
    golfing123
    golfing123
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 612
    Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 9:42 AM ET #1650

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



    Oooh boy! The same join dates!?!? You're a regular Benedict Cumberbatch aren't you!

    Go ask the mods if that is me.


    Yes, yes! Let's create an alias almost a decade ago to break out in threads about vegas and MILF's. Those two other posts I made in 9 years have served me well! I mean, I've already demonstrated I'm incapable of defending my stance. My alias and the two other posts I've made have really protected my reputation around here! I just knew this was time for a third! 

      Please stop your making me pee.
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



    Oooh boy! The same join dates!?!? You're a regular Benedict Cumberbatch aren't you!

    Go ask the mods if that is me.


    Yes, yes! Let's create an alias almost a decade ago to break out in threads about vegas and MILF's. Those two other posts I made in 9 years have served me well! I mean, I've already demonstrated I'm incapable of defending my stance. My alias and the two other posts I've made have really protected my reputation around here! I just knew this was time for a third! 

      Please stop your making me pee.
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