Posted:
#7526
You're a bad capper, but the secret for you to winning a bet on a -1.5 favorite is to only play it if you cap them to win by 7-10.
It's brilliant. 
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Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper
Posted:
#7527
Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:
Of course, you completely ignored the fact that you ADVISED CG to only take MSU at -1.5 team if he capped them to win by 7-10. You even said it was the "secret" to betting those types of games.
Yet you have zero faith in his ability to cap a game as you have said time and time and time again.
You have said he's a bad capper so by definition, every play he makes is a bad one unless it's by pure luck.
But you said the secret to winning a bet FOR HIM on a -1.5 favorite like MSU is capping them to win by 7-10.
It's just brilliant on your part. You've rigged the whole thing to make you look good. I shouldn't be surprised....you're good at that sort of thing.
The kid bets coin flip games and doesn't cap them for more than a minute.
Therefore he will lose some/win others and ultimately get vigged out just like what is occurring, in addition to his losses.
It was a general rule I followed as novice capper (CG is proving himself to be one in the NBA) EXCEPT when there is an opportunity that comes around once in a blue moon. This was one of them. Anyhow, keep talking. You're only bringing more attention to the Harvard win!
Had he 5K'ed my pick, he'd be a holy man right now. I didn't even bother telling him because he'd ignore the pick anyhow.
Lit, no and it wouldn't have mattered in my cap. Interesting nonetheless!
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Posted:
#7528
Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:
*I capped that game up and down
*I wrote it up extensively
*I was commended in the thread by several posters
*I don't have to skip that game
*All of this came true. Not only did it come true, I explained this in detailed fashion in a write-up.
*I have tried to help this kid up and down.
Just look at you. 
Yes look at me...and then....look at you....
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Posted:
#7529
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
The kid bets coin flip games and doesn't cap them for more than a minute.
Therefore he will lose some/win others and ultimately get vigged out just like what is occurring, in addition to his losses.
It was a general rule I followed as novice capper (CG is proving himself to be one in the NBA) EXCEPT when there is an opportunity that comes around once in a blue moon. This was one of them. Anyhow, keep talking. You're only bringing more attention to the Harvard win!
Had he 5K'ed my pick, he'd be a holy man right now. I didn't even bother telling him because he'd ignore the pick anyhow.
Lit, no and it wouldn't have mattered in my cap. Interesting nonetheless!
Once again, it's all about you.
The whole Harvard game speaks for itself. Keep touting your brilliance.
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Posted:
#7531
CollegeG, have you apologized to your Mom yet? If you have, the gambling gods will give you good karma. Also apologize to the person as well. You need good karma if you are going to make it to the NFL. I am just really disappointed in you because you were being so smart and disciplined then you totally fell off the rails. Terribly sad bc you actually are good at picking games when you are deliberate and stable. If you can get back there to that point, you can come back. I just fear you are going to put 10 K on one game and pray for a damn miracle.please don't donthat
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Posted:
#7532
CG, I just looked at your new stats and you just aren't picking at a good enough rate to make it as a pro right now, putting aside your money management issues.
Let's leave the parlay out and you are at 44-38 on hoops. If you were flat betting these games at $550/500 each time you'd be up just $1,100 if my math is right ($22k in on wins, $20,900 out on losses assuming all games at -110).
That would be $1,100 for what, 1.5 months out there? Not nearly enough to live on, you can't even pay your rent with that.
While I formerly thought that your main problem was your bet amount "strategy" issues (going on tilt, etc.), I am now convinced more than ever that you need to give up on basketball, get a job for a few months, and preserve your capital for football season. At your projection of $3,000 in living expenses per month, a measly $700 or so profit per month isn't going to cut it without income from elsewhere.
Good luck.
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Posted:
#7533
Quote Originally Posted by shipitudonk:
If you were such a good capper you would stay away from this game if you capped it so close to the number.
If you so great at capping why not find a better play not so close to the number.
Once again your talking out your a$$ and I am glad everyone is getting to see it now!
It's because Scal is a fraud mush fade machine. Love fading that bafoon. Fade the biitch and get rich
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Posted:
#7535
A. Set a goal (include your 3k a month expenses)
B. Set an expected win %
C. How many games you can bet in that goal timeframe (month)
D. Vig % (1.1)
(C * B) - (C * (1-B) * D) = X
A / X = BET SIZE
All you need to do after following the above formula is concentrate on hitting your win percentage.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Posted:
#7536
Quote Originally Posted by TECSPORTS:
This kid is the king of all Covers attention grabbers. Hard to believe that so many follow and post in his thread ever day. An absolute CHARADE.
This kid is the king of all Covers attention grabbers. Hard to believe that so many follow and post in his thread ever day. An absolute CHARADE.
It is really hard to believe that you are following and posting in this thread considering your feelings towards it.
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Posted:
#7538
Since this is a down time in the on-going soap opera thread on Covers.com. we will just have to chat among ourselves until Thursday.
I just keep noticing that more then a dozen posters want to give cg the benifit of their capping/money management skills and even go so far to tell him how he should plan his life's work.With all due respect this is cg's gig and scalabrine and vanzak and others weren't there when cg went off on the football season last year and if cg started betting the games that scal/van/trolls were pitching this thread would go nowhere.I think the first thing cg should of said when scalabrine ragged him was bl*w me and get out of my thread which I think he did. Breaking Bad wasn't the greatest TV series because Vince Gilligan started taking scripts from viewers after season 2.This is cg's storyand vanzackand scalabrine have already said he can't do it so sit back and watch or get out of the way but no need to stick your person where it wasn't invited.
0
Posted:
#7539
Quote Originally Posted by KennyWoo:
CG, I just looked at your new stats and you just aren't picking at a good enough rate to make it as a pro right now, putting aside your money management issues.
CG, I just looked at your new stats and you just aren't picking at a good enough rate to make it as a pro right now, putting aside your money management issues.
Let's leave the parlay out and you are at 44-38 on hoops. If you were flat betting these games at $550/500 each time you'd be up just $1,100 if my math is right ($22k in on wins, $20,900 out on losses assuming all games at -110).
That would be $1,100 for what, 1.5 months out there? Not nearly enough to live on, you can't even pay your rent with that.
While I formerly thought that your main problem was your bet amount "strategy" issues (going on tilt, etc.), I am now convinced more than ever that you need to give up on basketball, get a job for a few months, and preserve your capital for football season. At your projection of $3,000 in living expenses per month, a measly $700 or so profit per month isn't going to cut it without income from elsewhere.
Good luck.
BINGO
For some reason CG and some of his followers think because he picked some winners in football this year, that suddenly makes him a good capper in all the other sports. That couldnt be further from the truth. Its toughen enough to try and become good at one sport, but to think you can just go bet all the sports and do this for a living, is foolish thinking, which we all know CG does0
Posted:
#7540
Quote Originally Posted by 666LES:
Since this is a down time in the on-going soap opera thread on Covers.com. we will just have to chat among ourselves until Thursday.
I just keep noticing that more then a dozen posters want to give cg the benifit of their capping/money management skills and even go so far to tell him how he should plan his life's work.With all due respect this is cg's gig and scalabrine and vanzak and others weren't there when cg went off on the football season last year and if cg started betting the games that scal/van/trolls were pitching this thread would go nowhere.I think the first thing cg should of said when scalabrine ragged him was bl*w me and get out of my thread which I think he did. Breaking Bad wasn't the greatest TV series because Vince Gilligan started taking scripts from viewers after season 2.This is cg's storyand vanzackand scalabrine have already said he can't do it so sit back and watch or get out of the way but no need to stick your person where it wasn't invited.
CG going off and having a good football season doesnt mean he can suddenly do this for a living and on top of that beat all the other sports everyday. Boy if doing this for a living was so easy, we would all be doing and the books would all be out of business.
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Posted:
#7541
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
A. Set a goal (include your 3k a month expenses)
B. Set an expected win %
C. How many games you can bet in that goal timeframe (month)
D. Vig % (1.1)
(C * B) - (C * (1-B) * D) = X
A / X = BET SIZE
All you need to do after following the above formula is concentrate on hitting your win percentage.
This further reinforces what I'm saying about CG's basketball plays: if you use his 53.7% win percentage on basketball bets (leaving out the parlay), if you assume he wants to profit $5k a month and make 60 bets per month, he has to bet $3k per game. On this small bankroll, of course, he can't do that or he risks gambler's ruin.
Said another way, for every 36 bets he makes he'll win one unit at his current win percentage. That means he either needs to bet huge units or lots of games to try to keep feeding the monkey. And it's been a huge monkey lately w/ all the "social outings."
0
Posted:
#7542
Quote Originally Posted by cd329:
CG going off and having a good football season doesnt mean he can suddenly do this for a living and on top of that beat all the other sports everyday. Boy if doing this for a living was so easy, we would all be doing and the books would all be out of business.
CG going off and having a good football season doesnt mean he can suddenly do this for a living and on top of that beat all the other sports everyday. Boy if doing this for a living was so easy, we would all be doing and the books would all be out of business.
EXACTLY but that's the DRAMA,the pull, the HOOK!!!! Maybe he can,maybe he can't but he's doing it right in front of everyone and he NEVER asked for your $.02 and it's a deadend thread if he starts asking.This is cg making cg's plays and if he starts making scalabrine plays I'll stop reading cg's post just like I stopped reading scalabrine posts for which I'm enjoying Covers.com more and I reccomend it.
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Posted:
#7543
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
A. Set a goal (include your 3k a month expenses)
B. Set an expected win %
C. How many games you can bet in that goal timeframe (month)
D. Vig % (1.1)
(C * B) - (C * (1-B) * D) = X
A / X = BET SIZE
All you need to do after following the above formula is concentrate on hitting your win percentage.
Would have layed juice you'd be back. No self control Van.
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Posted:
#7544
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Quite the daunting task it seemed, but as I kept reading I saw the golden nuggets of information that were being dropped. I copied and pasted them into files for future reference and study. The reason I read every page and waded through so much of the worthless fodder that was also in here, is because every now and then some true jewels were found. I did not keep reading because of CG.
Those jewels are still in this thread. Waiting for you and any others to go back and pick them off the ground...like 100 dollar bills just lying in the street. I encourage you to do so when you have time. You will not be wasting your time.
Been keeping up this thread since January. Agree with your post on every level. The only thing that kept me pressing next page after next page was the valuable info from Vanzack and others. Some really good stuff in here, outside the majority of garbage that was posted in here. My only regret, was not doing what you did by copying and pasting some of good info and advice.
Sent you a FR and hate to ask you this, but do you mind sending me some the stuff you copied and pasted? I Really don't have the time or energy to through 300 pages again lol. Correct me if i'm wrong but I believe most the nuggets were in page 40-70 range?
Thanks.
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Posted:
#7545
I'm not here to stick up for any capper. But, Ask "Scal" this . Why have you stopped with your 3 page write ups and picks? He got killed by certain posters and lost a lot. He thought he was better at capping games than he auctually was. Go ahead Scal-
Give the people what they want . I'll be waiting.
0
Posted:
#7546
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
Let's get some positive energy in here. I realize a lot of ppl don't like me but to get pleasure in seeing me lose is just sick. Think about how u all were at 28 years old. I am taking a shot at my dream which many ppl don't do. Lets get some positive energy in here fellas
Let's get some positive energy in here. I realize a lot of ppl don't like me but to get pleasure in seeing me lose is just sick. Think about how u all were at 28 years old. I am taking a shot at my dream which many ppl don't do. Lets get some positive energy in here fellas
People that were once rooting for you, arent gonna root for you anymore. We have all come to see what a fruit cake you truly are. Maybe after you go get some mental help, people might start liking you again, until then i doubt it.
As far as age goes, you arent even acting like a 28 year old, more like a 15 year old spoiled kid
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Posted:
#7547
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
The bad part is how football I have an unreal read on games and am such a solid football capper. And baskets now is milking the bankroll one bet at a time. I won't be afraid to drop a career saving or career ending type play tho soon. Grind tonight if I take Byu but possibly bomb in the right spot soon
The bad part is how football I have an unreal read on games and am such a solid football capper. And baskets now is milking the bankroll one bet at a time. I won't be afraid to drop a career saving or career ending type play tho soon. Grind tonight if I take Byu but possibly bomb in the right spot soon
You really are thick headed and still dont get it. Just because you had a good football season, that doesnt mean you will have a good season in the other sports. Tons of people have a good season in one sport, but then get blown out when they try to do other sports. You are no different. All kidding a side, you really arent a good basketball capper, even if you dont want to believe that. Until you develop your own numbers for baskets, you will never earn a living betting games.
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Posted:
#7549
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
How am I spoiled? Because I worked 5 years at a garbage job I hated and dominated football to give me this shot? I took all my money I earned and am living out my dream
How am I spoiled? Because I worked 5 years at a garbage job I hated and dominated football to give me this shot? I took all my money I earned and am living out my dream
maybe you should go back and read all your posts and watch all your videos. Then you will see the whiny little spoiled child you are.
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Posted:
#7550
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:
The bad part is how football I have an unreal read on games and am such a solid football capper. And baskets now is milking the bankroll one bet at a time. I won't be afraid to drop a career saving or career ending type play tho soon. Grind tonight if I take Byu but possibly bomb in the right spot soon
The bad part is how football I have an unreal read on games and am such a solid football capper. And baskets now is milking the bankroll one bet at a time. I won't be afraid to drop a career saving or career ending type play tho soon. Grind tonight if I take Byu but possibly bomb in the right spot soon
This is what I've been saying - stop betting basketball and keep your powder dry for football season.
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