Washington

Time to get back to work. Sure, will be nice to not have to wake up at 3:30 in the morning to watch tennis. We have locked one in early. 

Tallon Griekspoor ML 

We have an all-Italian match which falls in line with the Over. 

Matteo Arnaldi/ Lorenzo Musetti

Tomorrow afternoon, the UPSET SPECIAL. 

Kei Nishikori ML

-133 ml

That is fine but if you are uncomfortable with that price parlay it with Krueger on the women's side. 

@wgomel21

 Good over. I like Musetti to win as well. What do you think? Going to play a small parlay on the (+250)

Lorenzo Musetti has a strong 4-0 H2H so can understand why you like him. The concern is line opened -233 and has since dropped to -147. Due to that line drop personally cannot back a side here. 

Ashlyn Kreuger is a very solid play imo. The price has moved out of the strike zone to play the ML straight up but it definitely makes a nice parlay piece. I don't mind the -2.5 either. 

Also, since these are two pretty good servers if you think both players will hold their opening service games (or both break) on FanDuel you can parlay 'score after 2 games: 1-1' along with Kreuger ML for +164.

Of course if one player slips up to start out your bet is cooked. Before I make plays like this I try to first determine the average hold rate for each player's opening service games which I haven't done yet for these two. Some players are more prone to having the jitters early which can obviously complicate things so you only want to do this with two players who consistently hold right out of the gate.

Musetti hasn't played in months and y'all just jumping right on him lol

Other juicy/parlay type pieces I like

Katie Volynets (-144)

Rebecca Sramkova Set 1 +2.5 (-150)

Anastasia Zakharova (-186)

Talia Gibson (-193)

Kreuger is top though

Another factor to consider in the Stef Demon match is you have one guy coming in right off his honeymoon playing his first match since Wimbledon.

Same for Boulter.

Who is y'all? The only person on Mussetti in this thread is Jose and he has stated it is small parlay.

That is a good point. Line continues to take a dive. During yesterday morning's collaboration line was Stefanos +181 currently +114. 

@wgomel21

 ??

What is your question?

@wgomel21

 Which game is this?

Which game is what? Please be more specific. 

@wgomel21

 Stefanos?

Stefanos is playing Alex De Minaur tomorrow and the line continues to tumble, currently now on DK +106. Their H2H is very lopsided 14-2 in favor of Stefanos.

@wgomel21

@wgomel21

 +150 5 pm today. Any details on him? 

Locked in at +165 line is currently +140 on DK. Kei won this tournament 11 years ago and will be retiring at end of the year. He received a wildcard and will be playing his first match on the ATP tour this season. Shang has not played since February due to ongoing injuries. Both players form is in question, so we are going with experience over youth.

Less go new week!

@bringit

 Great idea  1-1 option, thanks for that info, gonna plug her in as suggested.....