Posted:
#176
WTF happened to Opelka?? Lost in 3 straight!
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US Open Thread
Posted:
#177
Locked in:
Simon +5.5 games (-125)…4u
Simon ML +240...1u
Osaka -3.5 games (-138)...2u
Osaka Under 21.5 games (-125)...2u
Osaka to win 2-0 sets (+100)...1u
Bencic -3.5 games (-138)...2u
Bencic to win 2-0 sets (+100)...1u
Kanepi +3.5 games (-110)...2u
Babos +2.5 games (-120)...2u
Kalinskaya -2.5 games (-125)...7u
Wozniacki -2.5 games (-120)...2u
to anyone with similar educated guesses
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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...i see him beating Shapo, then Kyrgios to get to the semis
Posted:
#181
Quote Originally Posted by Vladv26:
Any thoughts on Fabbiano match today? He looked good against Thiem and he had some good matches also at Australian Open and Wimbledon this year. Still, his at - 200 and those are usually the kind of odds where most bettors fall in the trap
this one tempted me to consider the Over 37.5 games option, however I didn't like it enough to proceed with a wager...I am not too familiar with Bublik's game
Any thoughts on Fabbiano match today? He looked good against Thiem and he had some good matches also at Australian Open and Wimbledon this year. Still, his at - 200 and those are usually the kind of odds where most bettors fall in the trap
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Posted:
#182
Question re your 7 Unit play. How come you don’t sprinkle some ML action as well. ? Is it strictly to save Vig ? I don’t ever bet tennis but With that level of confidence on the game wins I’d feel compelled to have a ML wager
2025 Circa Grandissomo Champion, Circa Survivor 2024 Top 50
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Posted:
#184
Quote Originally Posted by dogball:
Question re your 7 Unit play. How come you don’t sprinkle some ML action as well. ? Is it strictly to save Vig ? I don’t ever bet tennis but With that level of confidence on the game wins I’d feel compelled to have a ML wager
Question re your 7 Unit play. How come you don’t sprinkle some ML action as well. ? Is it strictly to save Vig ? I don’t ever bet tennis but With that level of confidence on the game wins I’d feel compelled to have a ML wager
indeed it's a saving in juice...just the way I tend to look at it...this wager is heavily scewed to fading Ahn, who beat Kuzy who I strongly feel was "on the take" and nicely compensated by the USTA for taking a dive...Kalinskaya should win this one rather comfortably...hopefully 
Glad we were on the correct side with Svit yesterday 
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Posted:
#185
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Quote Originally Posted by dogball:
Question re your 7 Unit play. How come you don’t sprinkle some ML action as well. ? Is it strictly to save Vig ? I don’t ever bet tennis but With that level of confidence on the game wins I’d feel compelled to have a ML wager
indeed it's a saving in juice...just the way I tend to look at it...this wager is heavily scewed to fading Ahn, who beat Kuzy who I strongly feel was "on the take" and nicely compensated by the USTA for taking a dive...Kalinskaya should win this one rather comfortably...hopefully Glad we were on the correct side with Svit yesterdayQuestion re your 7 Unit play. How come you don’t sprinkle some ML action as well. ? Is it strictly to save Vig ? I don’t ever bet tennis but With that level of confidence on the game wins I’d feel compelled to have a ML wager
i got lucky down 3-0 In second set but I’m learning about the ebb and flow of tennis matches.
Anyway , gonna follow you on this also.
Theoretically, when you use games as the spread , a 6-1 losing set with 6-3/6-4 winning set can mess a winning player bet up. How often does that occur ?
on the take ? Wow. You like a comfortable win than so do I GL
2025 Circa Grandissomo Champion, Circa Survivor 2024 Top 50
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Posted:
#191
Neah, this wasn't about Townsend, Simona was in choke mode, granted Townsend made some nice shots and all, but Simona is too skilled to miss that many passings, also she was 3-0 against her, on clay and hard, so she knew what to expect, game wise.
I dunno why Simona struggles in the USO, she has 1 win in her last 3 appearances here, she clearly can play better than this and given her improvements in the mental aspect of her game, one wouldn't expect for her to lose against a volley serve player, but it is what is, another horrific display for Simona at the USO...
Sorana banana will avenge Simona in the next round, if not her then Andreescu for sure, Townsend can't defeat 3 Romanian girls in a row! 
Accomplished time-waster
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Posted:
#192
I don't think Halep expected this. I've watched Townsend a few times and don't remember her serve and volleying. I'm honestly surprised she has the fitness to go to net 100 times in a match. Did Halep even try to lob her once? I watched some of the 3rd set and don't remember seeing it. You're right about the mental aspect, I think Halep just wanted a break from tennis.
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Posted:
#193
It's all in her head with Simona, at 6-5 in the 3rd, when Townsend was serving, after 30-0 she was hitting her head saying something to her coach, then she made 3 points in a row and wasted that MP. This was classic Simona, I've been following her for years, when she gets insider her own head it's kinda over, because when you're fighting yourself, more than you should be fighting your opponent, your chance of winning are slim to none.
Imo the volleying triggered Simona, especially in the 3rd set, otherwise she would've at least tried to lob her, but she was fixated on making poor choices passing wise. Townsend thanked her coach for the sprints, so i guess that payed out for her, that was not easy to do, especially when you look like the lovechild of KFC and McDonalds...
Accomplished time-waster
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