Today's spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree most (start times UTC, prices from last night):
- Musetti vs Fery (Vienna, 16:00): model gives Fery 43.8%, market 28.8%. Biggest gap on the card at (3.60).
- Berrettini vs Cobolli (Vienna, 19:00): Cobolli 63.0% vs 50.3% at (1.97). Market has it a coin flip, model doesn't.
- Kym vs Shelton (Basel, 18:10): Shelton 85.5% vs 73.7% at (1.33).
- Shnaider vs Eala (Tokyo, Oct 30 04:00): Eala 52.6% vs 40.9% at (2.37).
- Lehecka vs Altmaier (Basel, 15:00): Altmaier 26.0% vs 17.9% at (6.00). Small stake territory.
- Joint vs Rakhimova (Tokyo, Oct 30 04:00): Rakhimova 53.5% vs 46.0% at (2.18).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 101-124 for +15.32u at flat stakes (ROI +6.8%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 27-28, +3.16u. Anyone siding with Cobolli tonight?
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Today's spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree most (start times UTC, prices from last night):
- Musetti vs Fery (Vienna, 16:00): model gives Fery 43.8%, market 28.8%. Biggest gap on the card at (3.60).
- Berrettini vs Cobolli (Vienna, 19:00): Cobolli 63.0% vs 50.3% at (1.97). Market has it a coin flip, model doesn't.
- Kym vs Shelton (Basel, 18:10): Shelton 85.5% vs 73.7% at (1.33).
- Shnaider vs Eala (Tokyo, Oct 30 04:00): Eala 52.6% vs 40.9% at (2.37).
- Lehecka vs Altmaier (Basel, 15:00): Altmaier 26.0% vs 17.9% at (6.00). Small stake territory.
- Joint vs Rakhimova (Tokyo, Oct 30 04:00): Rakhimova 53.5% vs 46.0% at (2.18).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 101-124 for +15.32u at flat stakes (ROI +6.8%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 27-28, +3.16u. Anyone siding with Cobolli tonight?
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