Semifinals

Thoughts

We have our four horses playing tomorrow. You can come up with a plausible argument for any player to advance. No way are we investing any money against these studs. Let's play Overs tomorrow and hope we have two great matches and be ok with a 1-1 day no big deal, of course our greedy selves want 2-0.  Lord B will swing by with his tidbits to help with your decision. Random thought. Lod Borg get a babysitter grass season is around the corner, going to need your value. 

Playing in the dirt has been fun but the players along with us have to make a quick transition. It could be turbulent, so keep expectations low until we get in the groove.

I really like both overs with slightly higher confidence in the first match.

Spurs this postseason when trailing in the series:

Game 2 against Wolves: Won by 38

Game 4 against OKC: Won by 21

Game 6 against OKC: Won by 27

Thanks, I will play a double on the alternative line over 19.50 + 18.50 small.

Thanks for the baseball yesterday, was late so went in after the first inning so got under 12, so felt really confident with that wage.

I do like Bolt and McDonald on grass today, and over between Bu/Harris

I think Mirra gets it done and wins the title, +210 

The overs are the best bets tomorrow but I do think both favorites advance and Tank wins the title either way whether it's against Marta or Mirra.

In Birmingham Krueger, Sawa, and Maria are all worth a look.

Also that Kabbaj girl from Rabat is playing tomorrow in Croatia. She was impressive but not sure if that was just playing up for the home crowd or what. But she is an underdog against a girl on a 4 match losing streak so maybe just something to keep an eye on.

The market has overreacted on Shnaider winning over Sabalenka - the value is 100% on Chwalinska today if you go ML

- Kostyuk is winning French open versus Chwalinska in the finale 

It would be one of my personal best this year if these goes home ! Then I have only lost 2 bets in French open and none since 4th round - betting all games in every format ! I normally only do that as some YOLO fun - as I am not long term winner in all formats - far from it 

I hope kostyuk win the french open, I had her start of the tournament 50-1  ??

As Bring has it with Shnaider - I have it with Kostyuk - I can’t see any of the remaining players being much of an obstacle for her (unless she mentally check out) - if anything it would be Mirra

Bol w/the Overs guys 

Ok odds 50-1 was insane if you got that -I had her top 3 of winning before the tournament - I never check outright markets though :( - but wp sir 

@Calde13

 I got 50 to 1 on kostyuk before she won Madrid and 67 to 1 on Shnaider before the keys match, and 40 to 1 before Saba. she must have been more than 100 or 150 to 1 pre tournament.

What you think of Mirra? I saw her last match and she looks pretty locked and calmed when she plays. I believe she will play the final

Does it mean anything that Marta leads the h2h against Mira 2-0? Marta is so focused I can't go against her.

Do you normally bet outright markets and are they easy to beat? I have come to the conclusion long ago that I couldn’t beat GS prematch markets (I only bet those for fun to see how many I can hit each season) - so I basically only bet live markets for a living - but I must admit I have never given outright markets much of a thought 

The winner is found in that semi finale - if you want to bet Mirra - bet her on the outright market I would say 

Possibly you are right, they are the best players right now.

The market continues to climb in Marta's favor, now currently -142 on DK. Bigger discrepancy on the matchup, than the future which makes no sense. If you like Marta pass on the matchup and bet the future.  

I see the thread is pretty mixed on WTA winners today, personally I think Chwalinska has some shots for the ML

Kostyuk ML

gotta go with the veteran player on a heater.

Own a 2-0 H2H and just beat Andreeva in Madrid

College bases tomorrow 

UNC

*Juicy so you might want to consider applying to a leg of a parlay.

I

I really hope marta kostyuk will beat mirra andreeva today, If she did, I will expect her to be the favorite in the finals, so I can bet insurance  

As far as futures go I think you are often better off doing sort of a running parlay where you just roll over money on the player's moneyline every round. However this is probably one of the exceptions to that at this tournament with all the upsets to the top seeds.