Roland Garros - WTA picks and open discussion

5/29

Veronika Kudermetova -3.5 (-110)

Lois Boisson ML (-130)

Ruse v. Badosa o20.5 (-110)

@Subito

@JoseAlonso787

@Bjorn_Borg

 You aren't allowed to tail unless you start dropping some  soon. It's RG, where ya at man? As the draws start dwindling down I'm gonna need some insight on the men's side.

And even more importantly insight on the MAIN EVENT (mixed doubles, obviously).

Pavic going for the career mixed slam.

I don't know anything about Townsend's partner.

Siniakova paired with Ram. Didn't expect that and was hoping for a reunion with Machac but injuries would've prevented that anyways. But I'll never forget how romantic it was that she let him wear her shorts at the Olympics 

And the Italians.... They're only -160 in their first match. Across USO, United Cup, AO, and Indian Wells they have won 12 of their last 13 matches. Errani was out there straight killing it again yesterday. The past few weeks I've been riding Errani, Paolini, and especially Errani/Paolini HARD. Not looking jump off the Errani doubles train anytime soon, at least until they run into Siniakova but I have a feeling the Italians might avenge their defeat to Kat from last year. They certainly looked like the better team yesterday. Italians 2-0 was +110 which was just a gift honestly.

Veronika Kudermetova -3.5 (-110) 

Always nice starting the day with a bagel for breakfast

Ruse v. Badosa o20.5 (-110) 

You’re crushing it! Eyeing at anything else today?

@JoseAlonso787

 At this moment I'm eyeing Ruse

Maybe Kenin 

5/29 Live

Ruse (+150)

Lois Boisson ML (-130) 

All good things must come to an end... 8 in a row, not bad but was hoping to beat the 9 in a row I had in Doha

5/29

Sofia Kenin -3.5 (-105)

5/29: 3-2

Total: 10-5

Played these three thx bro 

There wasn't a single WTA underdog that won straight up today. Zero. Out of 16 matches. Zero. 

The books had to have gotten killed on ML parlays from WTA only bettors.

5/30

Victoria Mboko +4.5 (+110)

Amanda Anisimova -2.5 (-135)

Olga Danilovic +6.5 (-132)

Errani/Vavassori ML (-155)

I was busy this morning and unable to watch and only placed a couple small wagers.  But damn that's crazy especially with some of the big upsets in rounds 1 and 2.  4/8 of the next games are huge favorites, do any of them even drop a set?  

Doubles is such a goldmine in Slams, espically on Clay. In slams they don't have 3rd set TB or break on duce, so there is less surprises. You have players in the top #10 that only play doubles agianst single players that never played eachother and you get 1.50 in odds for 2-0. Crazy compared to the odds you get in single, you can have on WTA a #20 ranked agianst a #60 ranked and get 1.10 in odds. It's crazy to me, this first week had been such a great week only playing doubles, mixed not to sure about quite random. 

Heliovaara H. / Patten H paid 1.90 last round and 1.56 today 2-0.. so crazy to me

you have some pairs that only play double wait the whole year for a slam and play against some random WC french pair with 0 double wins and it still pays good. 

Siniakova K. / Townsend T #1 in the world payed 1.40 2-0 in set early agianst two players that never play double..

It's like playing sinner 2-0 in set agianst a #240 ranked and get 1.40 in odds


Heliovaara H. / Patten H. who won Australia and was 21-3 on clay last year (6 titles) ranked #3 payed 1.56 against Diallo G. / Fearnley J in DOUBLE 

Rybakina/Ostapenko OVER 20’ games (-135) < 1 unit

OVER 21’ games (-110) < .5 unit

I'll ride 

@Bjorn_Borg

Yeah I agree. And mixed definitely still has the high variance (even more than non slam doubles) which is the only reason I didn't take the Italians 2-0. But the ML was a gift. No way they were going to lose that match. So now they have won 13 of last 14 matches together. 

What about this for some live betting earlier.... The Russian silver medalist dream team.. First set they win 6-0. Opponents win 33% of total points in the set and are only able to make it to deuce in one of their service games. Then Russians are serving to start the second set. The odds for under 6.5 games was +850 and under 7.5 was +225  (I played both). Of course they win again 6-0 with their opponents only winning 2 points on serve the whole set.

You could say that the under 6.5 was somewhat of a bold bet but the under 7.5 @ +225 was practically a gift. No way they're not winning that second set by at least a double break. I don't know what the prematch odds were but when I saw that available live I had to take it.