Roland Garros - WTA picks and open discussion

Victoria Mboko +4.5 (+110) 

Amanda Anisimova -2.5 (-135) 

Olga Danilovic +6.5 (-132) 

Errani/Vavassori ML (-155) 

5/30: 2-2

Total: 12-7

All 8 WTA favorites won straight up again today so they are now 24-0 over the past two days.

@bringit

 It’s a joke ain’t even worth betting no 

value 

@bringit

 On God man

5/31

Lois Boisson -2.5 (-132)

Veronika Kudermetova ML (+168)

Parlay: Errani/Paolini 2-0 + Kudermetova/Mertens ML (+126)

 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro ML (+100)

When it rains it pours 

5ga Swiatek -3.5 (-120)

Did you come here just to say this? 

@YELAWOLF

 Real classy of you. 

Where you hiding ? It's time. 

Let's talk about Stinky and her chances against Gauff. Early on in clay season she was one of a handful of players that myself and another forum member had discussed as potential players who could overperform during the clay swing. So it is tragically ironic that I have had very limited exposure in her big upset matches here at RG.

She started last year's euro clay swing on fire at the ITF and Challenger level, going 23-1 and winning 4 titles in less than 60 days. All of that earned her a wildcard to last years French Open and plenty of buzz heading into her tour-level debut. She had said that her dream was to play in the French Open one day, she earns the wildcard, then she tears her ACL a couple weeks before the tournament. Pretty unbelievable to think about that now, how she had come so close to achieving her dream but the injury suddenly derails everything.

She started picking up some momentum again after coming back from injury a few months ago and I took her against Harriet Dart in her tour debut in Rouen. To summarize that match, Boisson dominated while Dart seemed more focused on making sure the umpire knew that her opponent was 'Stinky' and should be forced to apply deodorant. I came away from that match impressed and took her again in her next match against Uchi. In that match she goes up 6-1, 5-1 before managing to blow the second set and then the match.

My opinion of her soured after that debacle and I had pretty much written her off until watching her against Mertens. I took her ML next round then she disappointed me again when she barely squeezed by Elsa and didn't cover the spread.

Her last two matches have obviously been impressive. It's hard to say how her game will translate to other surfaces since 75+% of her matches the past few years have been on the dirt. But her clay court game is legit and she is no fluke here. Pretty sure people would have been talking about her rise months ago if not for the injury.

I've watched every Gauff match this tournament and I was feeling pretty strongly that she would beat Mirra in the semis if that's how it worked out. But Gauff playing Boisson instead, and seeing how things transpired with Mirra and the crowd today, changes the dynamic completely.
It is very similar to the last time I bet against Gauff in Rome against Paolini in front of a rowdy Italian crowd. She definitely seemed a bit rattled in that match and there is a distinct possibility that the atmosphere plays a factor here.

Boisson's inexperience at this level could actually make her a bit looser since even if she goes out there and gets double bageled she'll still leave RG a hero. And the gravity of the moment hasn't seemed to get to her too much in this tournament other than maybe getting a little tight at the end of the French matchup with Elsa which is understandable.

Gauff's athleticism is a concern but there are too many variables that could swing the match in Stinky's favor. Her fairytale run might end here but I think there's too much value on the Boisson ML to pass up.

@bringit

French fan writing about Boisson (from another site), very insightful:

Boisson is such a conundrum.

What's clear is that she watched a lot of tennis when she was out for so long recovering from her ACL injury, because she has borrowed from so many players, which is why her opponents, who have never seen her before, never mind faced her, are completely bamboozled.

- A consistently powerful serve like Osaka/Sabalenka/Keys fastest serves
- A serve placement like Osaka/Serena
- She is faster than all her opponents when moving sideways on the court, even having the time to do a large final steadying step as she arrives to hit the ball
- A looping forehand à la Swiatek when she wants to loop, which is often
- Long sliced backhands à la Krejcíková
- And, uniquely to her, searing flat forehands or backhands bazookas when she wants to do those

In short, she's totally unreadable. She can look like an amateur when merely doing a backhand push/block, and then bamboozle or hit past you on the next four points.

She is here to stay : she is our first woman player we have had in a long time who looks like she plays a modern tennis game. I didn't know her until she beat Jacquemot in the second round, one of our other young players, but I have watched all her games since, stunned. After she beat Pegula I knew she'd beat Andreeva as, unfortunately for her, Andreeva is too much of a hot head still and our supporters were bound to get to her, and they did. And, after her horror show of nerves in the Rome final against Paolini, and in the first two sets today against Maddison Keys, I believe Coco Gauff will go the same way as Andreeva. And Boisson can definitely beat either Iga or Aryna, so, unbelievably, we are looking at a potential French Grand Slam winner on Saturday, 25 years after our last win with Mary Pierce : Lois Boisson doing an Emma Raducanu.

I first watched boisson last year and saw her talent and saw then she was winning matches easily, but I also noticed with her style she plays with her food a bit where she could finish points sooner and win them she doesnt and hits more balls than needed, players like that frustrate me katsakina, putintseva, jabeur, andreeva, avanesyan somewhat, baptiste even. all have great hands and all like show it in their play style. also saw the same thing you did and that choke against uchijima which totally seemed fishy even, didnt seem like that needed to happen at all and it soured me on her a bit. I bet her to beat dart and lost with her against uchi, I think I bet on her in the next match against jeanjean too and lost. 

@bringit

 So you going Boisson ml?

Most matches can be determined by two statistics: 1st serve in play % and 2nd serve  points won %

Iga is at 47 & 11 currently

?

@sandique

 Thanks for sharing that. That's a good analysis of her game for sure.

My favourite sports   to watch, I never bet on this sport but I never miss watching Men's & especially Women's  grand slam events

The Boisson / Gauff should be interesting after that exciting upset match w/ Andreeva / Boisson.

Both Musetti / Alcatraz &  Djokivic / Sinner match tomorrow should be exciting too, I'm looking forward to both as well 

Congrats to Sabalenka . . .  helluva game 

When Sabalenka goes into 'Tiger' beast mode like she did in that third set she's practically untouchable. 

Hopefully Iga can turn her season around though because the sport is better when they are both at their best. Right now there's no longer a big 3 or big 2, it's just the big 1.

WTA DOUBLES SEMIFINALS

ITALIANS (-130)

Wow, coming into this match the Russians had won 8 straight sets with an insane 4 of them being bagels.

Now the Italians serve up the bagel for them. 

Forza!