Posted:
#451
Knapp 
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My tennis strategy THE ZONE.
Posted:
#452
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
Knapp
Lol! Yeah its a good job I never watch matches. Shes a good player but often makes hard work of mathes she should breeeze. Right will.take her over to the parlay thread and see if Friedsam can do her job.Knapp
Overhere watch how I drop down.
what its all about is rising at the right TIME. Not chasing. Like Clooney said in the first oceans movie play at the same level the house eventually takes you. Play big at the right time and you take the house. Thats how I play...
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Posted:
#454
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
Friedsam looks too good to be true, does she have a bad history in quarters and beyond?
My god youre starting to think like me.Friedsam looks too good to be true, does she have a bad history in quarters and beyond?
Im checking her out right now to see how confident I feel for the parlay. Thats what it about gauging if they are due a semi final place.
shes played very well the last couple of matches
And her price is handsome. Will let you know my confidence level soon. Regardless.she will be a five unit bet here. Ive had my big win. Now you go easy and defend those units.
I have layed 111 picks on this thread. And my longest losing streak is 4. When I bet too many HIGHER LEVEL players. Thats what often takes me beyond two losses in a row. The most common losing streak is TWO MATCHES. Thats something to bare in mind.
You master the losing streaks you own it always...
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Posted:
#455
Okay Calvone. Ive got missed feelings on this match. Friedsam has a better record indoors this season winning 8--1 against Voegeles 2--1. So thats a positive for Friedsam. But Voegele beat her at the French open. But that was on clay.
So Im going to play her. But not too crazy on either thread. Therell be plenty of winners coming up. Im in no rush.
So Im going to play her. But not too crazy on either thread. Therell be plenty of winners coming up. Im in no rush.
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Posted:
#460
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
Another win, another nail-biter!
Lol did you watch it Calvone? Yes good day two out of two. Im tempted to push for one of the later macthes with Aussie player J.Millman in the Tiburon challenger. He is in pretty good form and the price is inviting ive got about 30 mins to decide.Another win, another nail-biter!
Cheers.
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Posted:
#462
I checked the scores periodically, after a while I stopped because it was getting too close. I agree with Millman, I think Smyczek opened as a fav and the line has been moving steadily towards Millman. Smyczek had a tough match yesterday, I was sure he was done for, but he managed to come through with the win. I'm not sure what to make of that though.
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Posted:
#463
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
I checked the scores periodically, after a while I stopped because it was getting too close. I agree with Millman, I think Smyczek opened as a fav and the line has been moving steadily towards Millman. Smyczek had a tough match yesterday, I was sure he was done for, but he managed to come through with the win. I'm not sure what to make of that though.
It could go either way to be honest. But theres something about Millman I like. I woulnt bet him beyond the qtrs. But with most of the Aussie players out. I think he has a good chance...I checked the scores periodically, after a while I stopped because it was getting too close. I agree with Millman, I think Smyczek opened as a fav and the line has been moving steadily towards Millman. Smyczek had a tough match yesterday, I was sure he was done for, but he managed to come through with the win. I'm not sure what to make of that though.
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Posted:
#469
So you've hit 4 in a row nice! So if I understand correctly, you are at your lowest stake since you have a streak of 3 or greater in progress, this pick would be the first leg in a new parlay if it's a winner, and you are still putting 1u on the opposite side, or is it something like 10% of stake?
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Posted:
#470
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
So you've hit 4 in a row nice! So if I understand correctly, you are at your lowest stake since you have a streak of 3 or greater in progress, this pick would be the first leg in a new parlay if it's a winner, and you are still putting 1u on the opposite side, or is it something like 10% of stake?
20% insurance Calvone. So when I have a 10 unit bet on a parlay. I have 2 units on the dog.So you've hit 4 in a row nice! So if I understand correctly, you are at your lowest stake since you have a streak of 3 or greater in progress, this pick would be the first leg in a new parlay if it's a winner, and you are still putting 1u on the opposite side, or is it something like 10% of stake?
4 in a row is correct so Ive enjoyed two parlays in row now. Would love a third. When a run gets going I could get 3 or 4 parlays in a row. Dont know if you remember when l had that ridiculous 18 streak. Well I pulled 7 parlays out of that. But that was a one off freak run.
my winning streaks rarely go to double figures.
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Posted:
#471
I didn't discover the thread until after that crazy streak. I'm sure another one will come eventually, maybe not 18 but double digits for sure!
Thanks for clarifying the 20%.
How do you come across matches to look into for the day? Do you simply check all the lines out for the day and look into each one falling into the zone?
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Posted:
#472
Quote Originally Posted by Calvone:
I didn't discover the thread until after that crazy streak. I'm sure another one will come eventually, maybe not 18 but double digits for sure! Thanks for clarifying the 20%. How do you come across matches to look into for the day? Do you simply check all the lines out for the day and look into each one falling into the zone?
The first thing is the price must be 1.40--1.80.I didn't discover the thread until after that crazy streak. I'm sure another one will come eventually, maybe not 18 but double digits for sure! Thanks for clarifying the 20%. How do you come across matches to look into for the day? Do you simply check all the lines out for the day and look into each one falling into the zone?
This acts like a filter as ive already cut the market in half. Then I scrutinize the players record on the surface. Then I compare that record to Their opponent. Then look to see if they have any H2H record, though that isnt a crucial factor as we saw with Voegele Friedsam.
Then the final.consideration is their current form. How strong theyre looking at the moment. If I feel enough confidence after all this the play is on.
I try to stay away from top 20 players as much as possible as many of my losses come from betting on them. Their consistency within the zone is less consistent than the lower level players overall...
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