My dying days

Shapo/Nanda U 21.5 @ -125

6-2, 6-2 Shapo… as long as he keeps his head on straight.

Dude you were way off. 6-1 6-2 lol

Apologies to anyone who wagered on exact score at 32:1.

@AverageAllstar

 Are you fixing any matches in Mexico tonight? Asking for a friend...

Haha… I missed this.

I’m working on fixing the Over on Walton/Shapo though tonight.

Duckworth -2.5 Games -110

Shang hasn’t played since Jan. While I’m sure he’s recovered from his surgery, with the humidity the way it is in Toronto and playing against a grinder, I think his conditioning might prove to be taxing as the match goes on. If he makes it to 3 sets, I think Duckworth breaks twice in the third.

@AverageAllstar

 Nice call on duckworth 

Live match to watch - Norrie/Vukic

Norrie has issues under extreme heat. I coach outside all day about 40 minutes from the rogers centre and it’s even hotter there and it sucks right now. If Norrie shows signs of fatigue it might be worth a fade especially if his Aussie counterpart is keeping the ball in play.

GL all

@AverageAllstar

 Such a relief to see you posting again. I've been worried sick. When a full week passed without a peep of course we all assumed the feds were waterboarding you in a dark basement somewhere. 

On a lighter note, do you mess with the women's game much? I can't remember and I'm way too tired to go back through all the plays from your 74-2 run last year.

@bringit

Those bastards haven’t found me yet…

 I don’t bet much on womens. If I do, it’s usually Unders 19-21.5 on favs/mis matches. But I don’t follow womens enough to feel like I can find an edge.

I'm going to be with you soon...caesers has now limited me to $50 max bets...lol

My unit size is typically $100/unit and betting up to 5 units per bet.  With all the regulations in the states it is crazy they are allowed to do this stuff

@Betfusion

 Daaaaamn…

we gonna have to go rogue and wager on unregulated books.

@AverageAllstar

 Back to bookies lol

Curious what makes you prefer unders rather than spreads or sets? Or do you parlay favorite+under?

This is exactly why I stick with the ladies. I enjoy watching the marquee men's matches but I purposefully avoid following ATP too closely for this reason. Plus there is a huge difference when it comes to gambling on WTA vs ATP. Not so much moneylines but definitely spreads/totals. I see it like an NBA sharp trying to bet WNBA games without adjusting his methods. And I'm not going to try to get good at ATP because my WTA plays would suffer as a result.

@AverageAllstar

 Nice call on the Aussie

@bringit

 The number of tiebreaks in ladies is significantly lower than mens. In mens I like the O21.5 ladies under. Usually when its a fav and yea, short parlays. This is also why I like the 1st set win by a break in ladies. 

I didn’t have a chance to tune in so I couldn’t play it live. I had Vukic on the game spread in a parlay. 

Unsexy parlay

Michelsen/Tien

Khachanov/Ruud

Popyrin/Rune

Zverev/Cerundolo

All matches 1st set O8.5 Games @ -120

@AverageAllstar

 This is so unsexy that if you squint your eyes a bit it's actually somehow kind of sexy.

So I'll ride. 

Yeah I remember that you used to post first set game spreads quite a bit and I was jealous cause none of my books offered them at the time. But now I have a couple books that do offer them though. And although they are a bit juicy I often find value on the -1.5 favorites priced in the -150 to -175ish range.

Yea. These are a great spread to play live.

Two more 

If Tiafoe holds his first service game, taking DeMinaur -1.5 Games 1st set. Should be around -120 or better.