Today's Paris first-round spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree (start times UTC, prices from this morning):
- Van De Zandschulp vs Humbert (19:30): model gives Botic 53.2%, market 39.9%. Biggest gap on today's card at (2.50).
- Machac vs Jacquet (14:30): Machac 72.0% vs 63.3% at (1.57).
- Khachanov vs Shapovalov (18:00): Shapovalov 46.1% vs 38.7% at (2.66).
- Droguet vs Molcan (15:40): Droguet 52.6% vs 45.9% at (2.18).
- Blockx vs Merida Aguilar (14:00): Merida Aguilar 48.4% vs 41.9% at (2.35).
- Sonego vs Bellucci (13:30): Sonego 48.0% vs 42.2% at (2.36).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 119-146 for +13.63u at flat stakes (ROI +5.1%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 37-45, -4.13u, but Saturday went 4-0. Anyone else on Botic against Humbert indoors?
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Today's Paris first-round spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree (start times UTC, prices from this morning):
- Van De Zandschulp vs Humbert (19:30): model gives Botic 53.2%, market 39.9%. Biggest gap on today's card at (2.50).
- Machac vs Jacquet (14:30): Machac 72.0% vs 63.3% at (1.57).
- Khachanov vs Shapovalov (18:00): Shapovalov 46.1% vs 38.7% at (2.66).
- Droguet vs Molcan (15:40): Droguet 52.6% vs 45.9% at (2.18).
- Blockx vs Merida Aguilar (14:00): Merida Aguilar 48.4% vs 41.9% at (2.35).
- Sonego vs Bellucci (13:30): Sonego 48.0% vs 42.2% at (2.36).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 119-146 for +13.63u at flat stakes (ROI +5.1%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 37-45, -4.13u, but Saturday went 4-0. Anyone else on Botic against Humbert indoors?
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