Today's spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree most (start times UTC, prices from last night):
- Borges vs Struff (Basel, 18:10): model gives Borges 59.3%, market 44.2%. Biggest gap on the card at (2.23).
- Vacherot vs Rune (Basel, 13:00): Vacherot 56.5% vs 44.0% at (2.28).
- Fils vs Fritz (Basel, 14:10): Fils 59.6% vs 52.1% at (1.85). Market leans Fils slightly, model more so.
- Fery vs Zverev (Vienna, 16:30): Fery 21.0% vs 15.1% at (7.00). Small stake territory.
- Alcaraz vs Paul (Vienna, 14:00): Paul 27.9% vs 23.5% at (4.30).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 112-137 for +14.78u at flat stakes (ROI +5.9%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 35-38, -1.52u. Anyone else on Borges today?
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Today's spots where my tennis model and the no-vig market disagree most (start times UTC, prices from last night):
- Borges vs Struff (Basel, 18:10): model gives Borges 59.3%, market 44.2%. Biggest gap on the card at (2.23).
- Vacherot vs Rune (Basel, 13:00): Vacherot 56.5% vs 44.0% at (2.28).
- Fils vs Fritz (Basel, 14:10): Fils 59.6% vs 52.1% at (1.85). Market leans Fils slightly, model more so.
- Fery vs Zverev (Vienna, 16:30): Fery 21.0% vs 15.1% at (7.00). Small stake territory.
- Alcaraz vs Paul (Vienna, 14:00): Paul 27.9% vs 23.5% at (4.30).
Since Oct 7 these model sides are 112-137 for +14.78u at flat stakes (ROI +5.9%, longshots above (8.00) excluded); last 7 days 35-38, -1.52u. Anyone else on Borges today?