BNP Paribas Open

I like Andreeva and am currently leaning towards Keys but still working that match.

 I like the revenge from Sabalenka. I think she might be more motivated after Keys took AO.

Mirra should try to take the longest bathroom break ever here. Beat Iga at her own game lol

@Jaritx

 I'm rolling with Keys. Hard to pass on backing a player as an underdog in the form she's in, no matter who she's playing against. Similar to the Andreeva play really.

Thanks btw for recommending that double match with Siniakova that seemed pretty freaking epic (could only find a 10 min. Highlight video of it :( - but it did feature most of the match tiebreak )

@bringit

 Strong start from Sabalenka. We’ll see how the match goes.

Call me crazy, but I'm starting to think maybe I was wrong about Keys lol

That was the worst wager I’ve ever made. Didn’t stand a chance . Fck

@bringit

 Double bageled? That would be crazy

Sabs with the hammer. I think nobody thought about 6-0 6-1 result.

@Jbff88

 Good stuff man. You're obviously right. I won't post anymore, just gonna tail your plays.

I really don’t understand the hate (granted I dont follow any “tipsters” at all) but there are only two kind of tipsters that deserve hate:

1) Tipsters that sell picks for money and lose over time (while pretending they don’t)

2) Tipsters that go like “this bet is 100% sure” or “put your house on this” etc

those are the only two and as far as I can tell you don’t fall in either of those

and losing shouldnt be a foundation for hate - we would be a whole lot richer if we could win every single bet - and the entire industry is build on people losing money

@Calde13

And I would have found it pretty funny if I had followed that bet, that he would at least joke that it might not be the right choice - come on :) It is a 1000 times better than people trying to defend the pick that it was due to bad luck, or because the player had stayed up too long day before or whatever when everyone with two eyes can see it wasn’t (I fucking hate that personally - when tipsters treat their “audience” like they are fucking retarded) -  But I was also starting to suspect that he could see the future - so I am kind of relieved that he is just a mere mortal like the rest of us, to be honest.

@Calde13

 Keys lost because earlier in the day she learned that her cousin's ex-boyfriend has a new baby momma who used to date a guy with a criminal record. I don't have a direct source for this info, but I used my next-level intuition to obtain it during the match. Keys would have obviously dominated if not for this. How is that my fault.

There's a guy I see posting on Twitter sometimes who will post a play like this: 

Player +4.5 (-110)

Chances of winning: 95%

I'm like seriously dude, you're saying a play with standard juice has a 95% chance of winning? Please take my credit card and charge me daily for whatever VIP service you have lol.

The thing about yesterday was that I was pretty clear that I liked Andreeva, and have been clear about that for days now. I was leaning towards Keys and after Mirra win I pulled the trigger. Even if someone played the same amount on both matches you'd be looking at one unit lost on Keys, 1.5 units won on Mirra for a profit of a half unit. Nothing to throw a party about but think about where most gamblers would be if they simply finished every day up a half unit.

The ignorance shown around here daily makes it useless to post plays anymore (as you already know) but yesterday I was trying to get some conversation going. I am not the bookie and you are not the bookie. So we should all want to collaborate against a common enemy but most people are instead more concerned and hopeful that another poster loses to the bookie. Like today, I only cap WTA so I rarely make ATP plays without significant input from other people I trust. And one piece of input I'll consider is your opinion on Rune. You may have bias, and that has to be taken into account, but I seriously doubt there's anyone else here who knows more about the guy than you. 

Finally, if there's someone out there who thinks they have this all figured out and has turned a good profit at Indian Wells, post screenshots of all your bets throughout the tournament and then I'll post mine so we can compare results.

Hehe :) I can easily understand - I have actually mad respect that you guys use time and energy on this when the “reward” is so miniscule - but I don’t hope you stop coming in here as you do seem very knowledgeable (there are maybe 5-6 of you in here) - and even though I don’t follow people it is always nice to atleast have a conversation with someone that know what they are talking about  Hehe I don’t normally - give out tips :) but what the hell :) the market has Rune at +163 - I have it around a fair odds of +140 - so I am betting 0,5 Unit on Rune but it isn’t like I think the market has totally mispriced it  - I think there is more value in Draper +3,5 at +103 - even though I actually is at 100% winrate in Indian wells so far - it is at your risk <3 (as I also mostly bet WTA)

i personally always check your input. i don’t want to be on the other side of the net because chances are it’s a loser for me.

Regardless of outcome, it should be an environment of collaboration where as you said, the goal is to beat the bookies.

More nonsense as usual, in a thread where someone is actually trying to help. 

I don't understand why they don't run a 125 or 250 this week. Leaves us with too much time on our hands. 

Amen, I am personally paying the price for being a one trick pony atm :( - on another note -  I actually envy you guys every year at this time of the year - I really want to participate in that March Madness thing where you have to predict every game and win like a bazillion dollars :( - I wish we had something similar over here - that seems so freaking cool - I know you got the short end of the stick with how good odds you are offered - but I am very jelous of the promotions they run over there - they seem way cooler - and also in here I can only participate in one of the competitions :( - I am competition junkie - and we don’t have any :(

So covers admins if you follow along - help a brother out and - fix that, *kiss kiss*

Omg I might need to cut down on WTA watching though - I just realised I actually watched all of these live :(

:(

@Calde13

 That's funny, I randomly came across that same video a couple weeks ago. It's funny, a lot of it I had forgotten but then watching that it's like oh yeah I remember that it was crazy. That account had a few other good videos I watched too. 

As for March Madness, you are correct to be jealous. There's really nothing like it. You can join the fun too. Go on ESPN and enter a free bracket after they come out tomorrow. Maybe we should do a small bracket pool for everyone here just for fun.

Ohh cool thank you :) I would be a big fan of that