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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Top Dog - NHL System

    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
    TheEtrain
    GreenMachine22
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    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 11:07 PM ET #101

    Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:

    11/6 PLAY

    WINNIPEG +160  (3 UNITS) 

    SEASON 14-17
    +15.8 UNITS


    11/7 PLAY

    NYI +170 (4 UNITS)

    SEASON 14-18
    +12.8 UNITS
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:

    11/6 PLAY

    WINNIPEG +160  (3 UNITS) 

    SEASON 14-17
    +15.8 UNITS


    11/7 PLAY

    NYI +170 (4 UNITS)

    SEASON 14-18
    +12.8 UNITS
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2011 - 12:01 AM ET #102

    Another loss only means we are that much closer to another large payday!
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    Another loss only means we are that much closer to another large payday!
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2011 - 11:12 PM ET #103

    NYI +170 (4 UNITS) 

    SEASON 14-19
    +8.8 UNITS
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    NYI +170 (4 UNITS) 

    SEASON 14-19
    +8.8 UNITS
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2011 - 11:20 PM ET #104

    11/8 PLAY

    WIN +179 (8 UNITS)




    ETRAIN - what wagering sequence are you using? ex.

    GM 1:   I UNIT = loss
    GM 2:  2 UNITS = loss
    GM 3:  4 UNITS = loss
    GM 4:  8 UNITS = loss
    GM 5: 16 UNITS = how many games will you chase?

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    11/8 PLAY

    WIN +179 (8 UNITS)




    ETRAIN - what wagering sequence are you using? ex.

    GM 1:   I UNIT = loss
    GM 2:  2 UNITS = loss
    GM 3:  4 UNITS = loss
    GM 4:  8 UNITS = loss
    GM 5: 16 UNITS = how many games will you chase?

     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2011 - 11:22 PM ET #105

    Also COLORADO opened as another heavy favorite 150+...will closing lines be a consideration, or are we rolling with WINNY again?



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    Also COLORADO opened as another heavy favorite 150+...will closing lines be a consideration, or are we rolling with WINNY again?



     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2011 - 11:25 PM ET #106

    Whats up fellas...pretty simple system here
    - I am going to play the biggest dog everyday of all the games
    - Day 1 will be a 1 unit play (to risk) - I only use $5 for units
    - If i lose day 1, then day 2 will be 2 units, lose day 2, then 3 will be 3 units.
    -If I win a day, the next day will start back at 1 unit to risk

    If we can win pretty much 1 out 4-5 games all year and avoid a 10 game losing streak, and win that occasional +240 juice game we will be successful come May.

    2010-11 was +75 units
    2009-10 was +7 units (had that damn 10 game L streak
    2008-09 was +72 units
    2007-08 was + 83 units

    This system won't be for everyone as it is hard to stick to..at some point we WILL be on 6 game losing streak or so and game 7 will be betting on a terrible team (+250ish)...thats why I wouldn't play to high of units





    Never mind, you answered the question in your first post
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    Whats up fellas...pretty simple system here
    - I am going to play the biggest dog everyday of all the games
    - Day 1 will be a 1 unit play (to risk) - I only use $5 for units
    - If i lose day 1, then day 2 will be 2 units, lose day 2, then 3 will be 3 units.
    -If I win a day, the next day will start back at 1 unit to risk

    If we can win pretty much 1 out 4-5 games all year and avoid a 10 game losing streak, and win that occasional +240 juice game we will be successful come May.

    2010-11 was +75 units
    2009-10 was +7 units (had that damn 10 game L streak
    2008-09 was +72 units
    2007-08 was + 83 units

    This system won't be for everyone as it is hard to stick to..at some point we WILL be on 6 game losing streak or so and game 7 will be betting on a terrible team (+250ish)...thats why I wouldn't play to high of units





    Never mind, you answered the question in your first post
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2011 - 8:47 AM ET #107

    @Green Machine...this is what i posted a few weeks ago...

    Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:

    Guys, when Dutch asked about starting at the 3rd game it peaked my interested in looking at the numbers more in depth...This is going to be a long post so bare w me...


    With the way we are currently playing this system, this is how it worked the last 4 years.
    10-11: +75.94 units
    09-10: +6.95 units
    08-09: +73.92 units
    07-08: +82.68 units
    Including the 09-10 season the last 4 years averaged +59.87 units per year..not bad, but I don't like that 09-10 season in there.

    After a couple hours of playing around...I feel like I have found the most effective way to make profit out of this system...

    It is a bit more aggressive than I would like, but the results are nice..From now on after our 5th loss in a row, I will be putting 10 units on game 6, 15 units on game 7, 20 units on game 8, etc....again if you like the way it already it is don't change a thing....the following is how this new method has fared in the past 4 years

    10-11: +135 units
    09-10: +88 units
    08-09: +162 units
    07-08: +132 units

    Of course unless you are some sort of high roller, I would use only $5 units...again this won't be for everyone, but I will take my chances...it is called gambling for a reason

    PS ...I will post results to for both ways to see compare down the road...

    Thanks to Dutch for giving me ideas to look at the data again

    So, today 11/8 Play

    Winnipeg +175 (5 units)

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    @Green Machine...this is what i posted a few weeks ago...

    Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:

    Guys, when Dutch asked about starting at the 3rd game it peaked my interested in looking at the numbers more in depth...This is going to be a long post so bare w me...


    With the way we are currently playing this system, this is how it worked the last 4 years.
    10-11: +75.94 units
    09-10: +6.95 units
    08-09: +73.92 units
    07-08: +82.68 units
    Including the 09-10 season the last 4 years averaged +59.87 units per year..not bad, but I don't like that 09-10 season in there.

    After a couple hours of playing around...I feel like I have found the most effective way to make profit out of this system...

    It is a bit more aggressive than I would like, but the results are nice..From now on after our 5th loss in a row, I will be putting 10 units on game 6, 15 units on game 7, 20 units on game 8, etc....again if you like the way it already it is don't change a thing....the following is how this new method has fared in the past 4 years

    10-11: +135 units
    09-10: +88 units
    08-09: +162 units
    07-08: +132 units

    Of course unless you are some sort of high roller, I would use only $5 units...again this won't be for everyone, but I will take my chances...it is called gambling for a reason

    PS ...I will post results to for both ways to see compare down the road...

    Thanks to Dutch for giving me ideas to look at the data again

    So, today 11/8 Play

    Winnipeg +175 (5 units)

     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2011 - 10:28 PM ET #108

    Trying to get a solid understanding of your unit wagering system:

    GM1: risk 1 unit
    GM2: risk 2 units
    GM3: risk 3 units
    GM4: risk 4 units
    GM5: risk 5 units
    GM6: risk 10 units
    GM7: risk 15 units
    GM8: risk 20 units
    GM9: risk 25 units
    GM10: risk 30 units...total risked 115 units in a 10 game loss

    (correct?)

    Has the losing streak ever gone beyond 10 games?
    What sources are you using for researching this system?






    I would love to help tweak this thing so it's more predictable/profitable. 
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    Trying to get a solid understanding of your unit wagering system:

    GM1: risk 1 unit
    GM2: risk 2 units
    GM3: risk 3 units
    GM4: risk 4 units
    GM5: risk 5 units
    GM6: risk 10 units
    GM7: risk 15 units
    GM8: risk 20 units
    GM9: risk 25 units
    GM10: risk 30 units...total risked 115 units in a 10 game loss

    (correct?)

    Has the losing streak ever gone beyond 10 games?
    What sources are you using for researching this system?






    I would love to help tweak this thing so it's more predictable/profitable. 
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2011 - 10:29 PM ET #109

    WINN +175 (5 UNITS) 















    that was a close one!
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    WINN +175 (5 UNITS) 















    that was a close one!
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2011 - 10:48 PM ET #110

    11/9 - GAME SIX (10 units)

    Nashville @ +115






    NOTE:  Current streak 0-5 (-15 UNITS).  Putting 10 more units on the line for a possible payout of 11.5 units.  If we win game 6, we gain 11.5 of the 15 units we lost during this chase for a net loss of 3.5 units - new chase starts.  Risking a total of 25 units for a possible payout of 11.5 units.
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    11/9 - GAME SIX (10 units)

    Nashville @ +115






    NOTE:  Current streak 0-5 (-15 UNITS).  Putting 10 more units on the line for a possible payout of 11.5 units.  If we win game 6, we gain 11.5 of the 15 units we lost during this chase for a net loss of 3.5 units - new chase starts.  Risking a total of 25 units for a possible payout of 11.5 units.
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 6:33 AM ET #111

    Been following for about 10 days now . Good stuff . I have the Flyers as Top Dog at this time though .
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    Been following for about 10 days now . Good stuff . I have the Flyers as Top Dog at this time though .
     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 9:24 AM ET #112

    Opps now its  Nashville . Actually in all three games the top dog is a close call .
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    Opps now its  Nashville . Actually in all three games the top dog is a close call .
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 12:02 PM ET #113

    That's exactly what I like about it...it's so easy to track.  You just play the best payout of the day, every day.
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    That's exactly what I like about it...it's so easy to track.  You just play the best payout of the day, every day.
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 1:36 PM ET #114

    days like today aren't ideal, with few games and all pretty much even odds...

    I  am going with NAS +105 (10 units)
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    days like today aren't ideal, with few games and all pretty much even odds...

    I  am going with NAS +105 (10 units)
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 4:58 PM ET #115

    Hopefully Legwand comes through for us this time around.
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    Hopefully Legwand comes through for us this time around.
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2011 - 6:49 PM ET #116

    Fuck it, I'm taking the puck line (-1) for 1/3 of my 10 units to increase potential gains while riding this flat dog.


    NAS -1
    +207 (3.3 units to win 8.83 units)
    NAS +100 (6.6 units to win 6.6 units)


    RISK 10 units for a potential payout of 15.43...instead of 10 = 10



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    Fuck it, I'm taking the puck line (-1) for 1/3 of my 10 units to increase potential gains while riding this flat dog.


    NAS -1
    +207 (3.3 units to win 8.83 units)
    NAS +100 (6.6 units to win 6.6 units)


    RISK 10 units for a potential payout of 15.43...instead of 10 = 10



     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 5:26 AM ET #117

     
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    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 12:34 PM ET #118








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    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 12:38 PM ET #119

    10 must be the magic number.  That's twice now that we've won a losing chase with a 10 unit bet.  Nashville pulled through for us...thank the lord sweet baby JESUS!  I did not want to have to lay $750 if they lost (that would have been my 15 unit bet - using $50 units...might be a good time to cut my units in half, down to $25 before this goes any further.


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    10 must be the magic number.  That's twice now that we've won a losing chase with a 10 unit bet.  Nashville pulled through for us...thank the lord sweet baby JESUS!  I did not want to have to lay $750 if they lost (that would have been my 15 unit bet - using $50 units...might be a good time to cut my units in half, down to $25 before this goes any further.


     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 12:49 PM ET #120

    11/10

    TWO teams tied for top dog today...I am taking both:

    EDM +164 (1 UNIT)
    MIN +164 (1 UNIT)



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    11/10

    TWO teams tied for top dog today...I am taking both:

    EDM +164 (1 UNIT)
    MIN +164 (1 UNIT)



     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 1:34 PM ET #121

    Thanks for keeping this thread on track Green...There isn't really a need for me to keep posting the plays daily, since they are obvious, so i will just update the season record after each "series" win...

    Thru 11/9

    15-20 +14.3 units

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    Thanks for keeping this thread on track Green...There isn't really a need for me to keep posting the plays daily, since they are obvious, so i will just update the season record after each "series" win...

    Thru 11/9

    15-20 +14.3 units

     
    GreenMachine22
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 2:45 PM ET #122

    It's your thread Etrain...I'm not taking it over - I just thought I'd help when I can and put my two cents to get your opinion/etc.  Are you playing both dogs tonight? 



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    It's your thread Etrain...I'm not taking it over - I just thought I'd help when I can and put my two cents to get your opinion/etc.  Are you playing both dogs tonight? 



     
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 6:06 PM ET #123

    I`m on them both Green . Wish I would have had the balls to bet as much as you on Nashville .
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    I`m on them both Green . Wish I would have had the balls to bet as much as you on Nashville .
     
    bikemcr
    bikemcr
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2011 - 6:09 PM ET #124

    Thanks ETrain for sharing your system .

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    Thanks ETrain for sharing your system .

     
     
    GreenMachine22
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2011 - 5:47 PM ET #125

    11/10

    TWO teams tied for top dog today...I am taking both:

    EDM +164 (1 UNIT)
    MIN +164 (1 UNIT)





    11/11

    OTT +160 (2 UNITS)
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    11/10

    TWO teams tied for top dog today...I am taking both:

    EDM +164 (1 UNIT)
    MIN +164 (1 UNIT)





    11/11

    OTT +160 (2 UNITS)
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