- I am going to play the biggest dog everyday of all the games
- Day 1 will be a 1 unit play (to risk) - I only use $5 for units
- If i lose day 1, then day 2 will be 2 units, lose day 2, then 3 will be 3 units.
-If I win a day, the next day will start back at 1 unit to risk
If
we can win pretty much 1 out 4-5 games all year and avoid a 10 game
losing streak, and win that occasional +240 juice game we will be
successful come May.
2010-11 was +75 units
2009-10 was +7 units (had that damn 10 game L streak
2008-09 was +72 units
2007-08 was + 83 units
This
system won't be for everyone as it is hard to stick to..at some point
we WILL be on 6 game losing streak or so and game 7 will be betting on a
terrible team (+250ish)...thats why I wouldn't play to high of units
Never mind, you answered the question in your first post
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Whats up fellas...pretty simple system here
- I am going to play the biggest dog everyday of all the games
- Day 1 will be a 1 unit play (to risk) - I only use $5 for units
- If i lose day 1, then day 2 will be 2 units, lose day 2, then 3 will be 3 units.
-If I win a day, the next day will start back at 1 unit to risk
If
we can win pretty much 1 out 4-5 games all year and avoid a 10 game
losing streak, and win that occasional +240 juice game we will be
successful come May.
2010-11 was +75 units
2009-10 was +7 units (had that damn 10 game L streak
2008-09 was +72 units
2007-08 was + 83 units
This
system won't be for everyone as it is hard to stick to..at some point
we WILL be on 6 game losing streak or so and game 7 will be betting on a
terrible team (+250ish)...thats why I wouldn't play to high of units
Never mind, you answered the question in your first post
@Green Machine...this is what i posted a few weeks ago...
Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:
Guys, when Dutch asked about starting at the 3rd game it peaked my interested in looking at the numbers more in depth...This is going to be a long post so bare w me...
With the way we are currently playing this system, this is how it worked the last 4 years.
10-11: +75.94 units
09-10: +6.95 units
08-09: +73.92 units
07-08: +82.68 units
Including the 09-10 season the last 4 years averaged +59.87 units per year..not bad, but I don't like that 09-10 season in there.
After a couple hours of playing around...I feel like I have found the most effective way to make profit out of this system...
It is a bit more aggressive than I would like, but the results are nice..From now on after our 5th loss in a row, I will be putting 10 units on game 6, 15 units on game 7, 20 units on game 8, etc....again if you like the way it already it is don't change a thing....the following is how this new method has fared in the past 4 years
10-11: +135 units
09-10: +88 units
08-09: +162 units
07-08: +132 units
Of course unless you are some sort of high roller, I would use only $5 units...again this won't be for everyone, but I will take my chances...it is called gambling for a reason
PS ...I will post results to for both ways to see compare down the road...
Thanks to Dutch for giving me ideas to look at the data again
So, today 11/8 Play
Winnipeg +175 (5 units)
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@Green Machine...this is what i posted a few weeks ago...
Quote Originally Posted by TheEtrain:
Guys, when Dutch asked about starting at the 3rd game it peaked my interested in looking at the numbers more in depth...This is going to be a long post so bare w me...
With the way we are currently playing this system, this is how it worked the last 4 years.
10-11: +75.94 units
09-10: +6.95 units
08-09: +73.92 units
07-08: +82.68 units
Including the 09-10 season the last 4 years averaged +59.87 units per year..not bad, but I don't like that 09-10 season in there.
After a couple hours of playing around...I feel like I have found the most effective way to make profit out of this system...
It is a bit more aggressive than I would like, but the results are nice..From now on after our 5th loss in a row, I will be putting 10 units on game 6, 15 units on game 7, 20 units on game 8, etc....again if you like the way it already it is don't change a thing....the following is how this new method has fared in the past 4 years
10-11: +135 units
09-10: +88 units
08-09: +162 units
07-08: +132 units
Of course unless you are some sort of high roller, I would use only $5 units...again this won't be for everyone, but I will take my chances...it is called gambling for a reason
PS ...I will post results to for both ways to see compare down the road...
Thanks to Dutch for giving me ideas to look at the data again
Trying to get a solid understanding of your unit wagering system: GM1: risk 1 unit GM2: risk 2 units GM3: risk 3 units GM4: risk 4 units GM5: risk 5 units GM6: risk 10 units GM7: risk 15 units GM8: risk 20 units GM9: risk 25 units GM10: risk 30 units...total risked 115 units in a 10 game loss
(correct?)
Has the losing streak ever gone beyond 10 games? What sources are you using for researching this system?
I would love to help tweak this thing so it's more predictable/profitable.
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Trying to get a solid understanding of your unit wagering system: GM1: risk 1 unit GM2: risk 2 units GM3: risk 3 units GM4: risk 4 units GM5: risk 5 units GM6: risk 10 units GM7: risk 15 units GM8: risk 20 units GM9: risk 25 units GM10: risk 30 units...total risked 115 units in a 10 game loss
(correct?)
Has the losing streak ever gone beyond 10 games? What sources are you using for researching this system?
I would love to help tweak this thing so it's more predictable/profitable.
NOTE: Current streak 0-5 (-15 UNITS). Putting 10 more units on the line for a possible payout of 11.5 units. If we win game 6, we gain 11.5 of the 15 units we lost during this chase for a net loss of 3.5 units - new chase starts. Risking a total of 25 units for a possible payout of 11.5 units.
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11/9 - GAME SIX (10 units)
Nashville @ +115
NOTE: Current streak 0-5 (-15 UNITS). Putting 10 more units on the line for a possible payout of 11.5 units. If we win game 6, we gain 11.5 of the 15 units we lost during this chase for a net loss of 3.5 units - new chase starts. Risking a total of 25 units for a possible payout of 11.5 units.
10 must be the magic number. That's twice now that we've won a losing chase with a 10 unit bet. Nashville pulled through for us...thank the lord sweet baby JESUS! I did not want to have to lay $750 if they lost (that would have been my 15 unit bet - using $50 units...might be a good time to cut my units in half, down to $25 before this goes any further.
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10 must be the magic number. That's twice now that we've won a losing chase with a 10 unit bet. Nashville pulled through for us...thank the lord sweet baby JESUS! I did not want to have to lay $750 if they lost (that would have been my 15 unit bet - using $50 units...might be a good time to cut my units in half, down to $25 before this goes any further.
Thanks for keeping this thread on track Green...There isn't really a need for me to keep posting the plays daily, since they are obvious, so i will just update the season record after each "series" win...
Thru 11/9
15-20 +14.3 units
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Thanks for keeping this thread on track Green...There isn't really a need for me to keep posting the plays daily, since they are obvious, so i will just update the season record after each "series" win...
It's your thread Etrain...I'm not taking it over - I just thought I'd help when I can and put my two cents to get your opinion/etc. Are you playing both dogs tonight?
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It's your thread Etrain...I'm not taking it over - I just thought I'd help when I can and put my two cents to get your opinion/etc. Are you playing both dogs tonight?