Posted:
#301
GM6 (Sunday) EDM +228 LOSS
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Top Dog - NHL System
Posted:
#302
Hey GreenMachine and others.
I built an automated spreadsheet to track this system from the begining of the season. Due to my lack of time during the day, I make my investments on the opening lines, or at least the early morning lines with minimal movement. As you can see there is a few games that are different from your record which luckily broke some of the longer losing streaks. Playing it this way actually shows a profit of +4.63 units after last night.
For all the spreadsheet can be downloaded at:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9UBaNk9s7UjQmNxTklPTkZTV3c/edit?usp=sharing
It's by no means perfect and as you will be able to tell it is built off the great tool that Degen provided for the MLB RPI Chase by B2W, so huge props to him for development of a great tool that allowed us all to build off of. There is still some bugs I am trying to fix, but somewhat struggling for time and excel knowledge. Each day you can hit "update" and stats and history is downloaded. Odds are downloaded from vegas insider and I use pinnacle so those are the odds that are displayed. There is a bug and if the odds do not display properly on the summary tab beside the game, go to the odds tab and copy the formula in column N row 3 down to the bottom of the displayed teams. I find I have to do this every second day or so. As you can see, I have Wash as the dog for tonight in the Dog tracking sheet not Carolina as it crosses another system I play where Pitt starts a 4 game chase and is the pick tonight. You can add the dog bets to bet tracker and change any odds and track you w/l's as the season goes on.
This can also help in creating filters going forward; maybe top dog that has win % greater than 0.400 ? or top dog that has an RPI within 100 of opponent? etc etc. lots of data that you can chose from. All the brainiacs with the ability to back test may be able to help.
hope this can help.......GL 2 all
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Posted:
#308
GM9 DET +136 
The Red Wings clear this series...on to the next! This year has been the worst Top Dog year I can remember. One 11 game losing streak followed by a 9 gamer...ouch! I will keep tracking this system here and there but it's not predictable, at least not this year.
If anyone has time to research bottom dog...that might be worth a shot.
The Red Wings clear this series...on to the next! This year has been the worst Top Dog year I can remember. One 11 game losing streak followed by a 9 gamer...ouch! I will keep tracking this system here and there but it's not predictable, at least not this year.
If anyone has time to research bottom dog...that might be worth a shot.
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Posted:
#309
Quote Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:
GM9 DET +136
The Red Wings clear this series...on to the next! This year has been the worst Top Dog year I can remember. One 11 game losing streak followed by a 9 gamer...ouch! I will keep tracking this system here and there but it's not predictable, at least not this year.
If anyone has time to research bottom dog...that might be worth a shot.
GM9 DET +136
The Red Wings clear this series...on to the next! This year has been the worst Top Dog year I can remember. One 11 game losing streak followed by a 9 gamer...ouch! I will keep tracking this system here and there but it's not predictable, at least not this year.
If anyone has time to research bottom dog...that might be worth a shot.
I think you might be better off playing the top fave on a labby line. From my records, top fave in 2011-2012 was 112-56 with two 4 game losing streaks as the longest. Last season, 65-29 when I stopped on 4/21 (again two 4 game losing streaks). This year, you have already seen how well the top fave is doing. Keep units low for the 4 game strak that will happen and you'll be fine.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#313
I added one filter to this system, taking the top dog with a win%(OT incl) greater than 0.420. This eliminates the bottom ~10 teams or so from qualifying each night. If OK with you green machine I may chime in every week or so just to compare results and hopefully profitability of the 2 methods. With this filter Calgary would be top dog tonight at +182
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Posted:
#314
BUF closed at +355 and cleared the chase on GM1. WOW 
Anyone who has anything different they'd like to try to improve this system, please do! In order to not clutter up the thread with too many variations, just post weekly results until we get this thing on track. In the mean time, I will continue tracking as much as I can with the basic version.
JENJAY - just a point of clarification: the system was set up to be used with COVERS CLOSING lines...not lines from your bookie. If you use lines from your bookie, make sure you post that info as it will be relevant to your particular set of results.
Anyone who has anything different they'd like to try to improve this system, please do! In order to not clutter up the thread with too many variations, just post weekly results until we get this thing on track. In the mean time, I will continue tracking as much as I can with the basic version.
JENJAY - just a point of clarification: the system was set up to be used with COVERS CLOSING lines...not lines from your bookie. If you use lines from your bookie, make sure you post that info as it will be relevant to your particular set of results.
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