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Top Dog - NHL System

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Participants:

Posts: 343

ERBATIZ

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 11:58 PM ET #226

Mr_Blonde

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2011

Posts: 1807

Posted: Dec. 6, 2011 - 11:41 AM ET #227

I've been liking this system.... granted, I use small units, but it's pretty fun. I'll keep tracking this for the rest of the season

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Dec. 6, 2011 - 2:53 PM ET #228

Thanks Mr_Blonde

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 6, 2011 - 7:51 PM ET #229

I will continue to post the updated records and units after each series win..Not really necessary to post everyday since everyone knows the play...

I ended up taking PHO last night FYI..i try and wait as long as possible to account for line moves....since I can only back test using the closing lines..

Official Season Update - 23-37 +21.55 units

If you don't want to play everyday (its tough to trust it) I suggest playing after 4-5 losses in a row... good luck guys

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 6, 2011 - 8:35 PM ET #230

Also, another tidbit I would like to share is...so far the top dog using the Puck Line is 37-23 this season ironically enough...of course that has high juice with those wagers...

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Dec. 7, 2011 - 1:43 AM ET #231

How does it look if you were to just bet team totals (over) for the dogs? Seems to be a safe angle...

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Dec. 8, 2011 - 2:08 AM ET #232

CAR +140 cashed tonight for +2.8 units as the 2nd chase play. Tomorrow starts a new chase with either FLA or DAL.

I am also playing MCSI's NHL road chase system which had CAR as a "C" play tonight. I love it when systems cross paths

bikemcr

Rookie

Joined: Jun, 2011

Posts: 861

Posted: Dec. 8, 2011 - 6:01 AM ET #233

Glad you are staying with it Green .

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 8, 2011 - 6:45 PM ET #234

Thru 12/7

Season update - 24-38 +23.55 units

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 12, 2011 - 11:52 PM ET #235

After 12/12 win

SEASON UPDATE - 25-42 +19.05 units

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 14, 2011 - 6:13 PM ET #236

After CBJ win last night..

SEASON UPDATE - 26-42 +20.75 units

tidostyles

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 7

Posted: Dec. 15, 2011 - 2:53 AM ET #237

Stumbled upon your blog and I agree with your system and have been using a similar strategy. The only way to make $ betting on the NHL is on the dogs. Hit the big ones - especially home dogs!

BadAzSharpHuntr

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 210

Posted: Dec. 15, 2011 - 6:31 PM ET #238

anybody know the stats on the biggest hm dogs vs biggest rd dogs? thx

Riceboi

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 5372

Posted: Dec. 15, 2011 - 10:01 PM ET #239

carolina won tonight, was a huge ML home dog. but I think colorado was the largest dog overall tonight. I wonder how the system would do if you just bet the top 2 biggest dogs of the night?

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 24, 2011 - 8:22 AM ET #240

Biggest winner of the season cashed last night at +260 (CAL 3 unit wager) Nice hit before Christmas..

SEASON UPDATE - 28-50 +21.55 units

It has been a rough month at 6-17 but only down .25 of a unit..keep grinding

Everyone have a nice Christmas

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Dec. 30, 2011 - 11:09 AM ET #241

SEASON UPDATE

29-54 +20.95 UNITS

Riceboi

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 5372

Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 5:39 PM ET #242

Etrain

I stopped playing this system but I noticed a lot of top dogs winning lately. what is the most profitable time in the past seasons usually? early or later?

TheEtrain

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 116

Posted: Jan. 10, 2012 - 10:06 PM ET #243

SEASON UPDATE THROUGH 1/9 (Columbus pending tonite 1 unit)

34-60 +29.35 UNITS

@riceboi..typically earlier in the season dogs are better in my opinion

sirwinalot

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 123

Posted: Jan. 10, 2012 - 11:47 PM ET #244

This system requires a pretty hefty bank-roll, and timing is critical...

I'm not sure if the risk is worth it .

Air1

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2011

Posts: 909

Posted: Feb. 16, 2012 - 3:22 PM ET #245

today is day #9!!
anyone who was interested in the system, but 10 was tooo much - hop on now!!

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Oct. 3, 2013 - 2:52 PM ET #246

Gonna fire this one back up & start tracking since we're early in the season. Might be a ton of value in the TOP DOG strategy.

Hope you don't mind Etrain.

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Oct. 3, 2013 - 3:24 PM ET #247

2013/2014 NHL TOP DOG system:

Record: 0-0

CAL +197 @ WASHINGTON

1 unit to win 1.97 units

For unit tracking purposes, I will use the same chase wagering structure that Etrain started with...

GAME 1 = WAGER 1 unit to win the plus money.
GAME 2 = WAGER 2 units @ + money
GAME 3 = WAGER 3 units @ + money
...and so on.

I have found that betting a variation of alternate lines (in some instances) will dramatically increase payouts in certain situations. For example, when we're on a 8 game slide and I like the DOG we're getting that day, I will split my 8 unit wager into some or all of the following categories. In my opinion, it helps to offset risk, increase potential payouts, and add to the overall entertainment factor when watching shitty teams slide around on the ice!

***The following example based on today's lines for CALGARY...if they were the GM8 (8 unit wager) of our chase, this might look like my strategy:

4 units...CAL +190 (4 units to win 7.6 units)
2 unit.....CAL -1/2 reg @ +291 (2 units to win 5.82 units)
1 unit.....CAL -1 full game @ +423 (1 unit to win 4.23 units)
1 units...CAL Team Total o/2.5 @ +105 (1 unit to win 1.05 units)

...a total of 8 units wagered...to win 18.7 units

I will try to post when I do...as for now - this is simply for tracking purposes. Besides, I prefer to wait until at least until the 3rd chase game to start my series anyway.

Once again, tonight's wager (tracking only at this point) is 1 unit to win 1.9 units.

GreenMachine22

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 3343

Posted: Oct. 4, 2013 - 11:41 AM ET #248

Day 2 TOP DOG CHASE:

Season Record: 0-1 (-1 unit)

GM2: CAL +163 (2units to win 3.26u's)

I am posting this early because I am leaving town (no internet service) for the weekend. At the moment, CALGARY sits at +163 and NASHVILLE +142. I don't really see the "top dog" changing between the two - but wanted to post because typically I would like to post closer to game time.