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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Score in 1st inning 3 game series chase

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    The_Extremist
    Irish7878
    therealdutch
    SBT
    leo81
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    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2017 - 7:35 PM ET #1

    This system is based on SDQL query of teams that have had at least 1 game where there was Score in the 1st inning. It's a 3 game series chases. Very effective. The top 2 teams with 0 losses are the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays. the secondary teams with just 1 loss this season are Giants, Marlins, Nationals, Padres, Pirates, & Yankees. Today's' plays are

    Diamondbacks (2nd game Chase) Win 
    Blue Jays Win 
    Pirates (2nd game ) Win 
    Marlins Win 
    Yankees Win 
    Giants (2nd game) pending 
    Nationals pending
    Padres pending

    when they win, that's it for the series. We wait for the next series. BOL



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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    This system is based on SDQL query of teams that have had at least 1 game where there was Score in the 1st inning. It's a 3 game series chases. Very effective. The top 2 teams with 0 losses are the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays. the secondary teams with just 1 loss this season are Giants, Marlins, Nationals, Padres, Pirates, & Yankees. Today's' plays are

    Diamondbacks (2nd game Chase) Win 
    Blue Jays Win 
    Pirates (2nd game ) Win 
    Marlins Win 
    Yankees Win 
    Giants (2nd game) pending 
    Nationals pending
    Padres pending

    when they win, that's it for the series. We wait for the next series. BOL



     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2017 - 11:03 PM ET #2


    Diamondbacks (2nd game Chase) Win 
    Blue Jays Win 
    Pirates (2nd game chase ) Win 
    Marlins Win 
    Yankees Win 
    Giants (2nd game) on to 3rd game tomorrow
    Nationals  
    Padres on to 2nd game tomorrow


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    Diamondbacks (2nd game Chase) Win 
    Blue Jays Win 
    Pirates (2nd game chase ) Win 
    Marlins Win 
    Yankees Win 
    Giants (2nd game) on to 3rd game tomorrow
    Nationals  
    Padres on to 2nd game tomorrow


     
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2017 - 12:40 AM ET #3

    A "series" is at least 3 games vs. the same opponent?
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    A "series" is at least 3 games vs. the same opponent?
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2017 - 12:43 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by Irish7878:

    A "series" is at least 3 games vs. the same opponent?

    yes. that's correct
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    Quote Originally Posted by Irish7878:

    A "series" is at least 3 games vs. the same opponent?

    yes. that's correct
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2017 - 8:31 PM ET #5

    Padres 
    GIants 

    8-0 sweep.. see you on Friday when new series start
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    Padres 
    GIants 

    8-0 sweep.. see you on Friday when new series start
     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 1:07 PM ET #6

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    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 3:53 PM ET #7

    extremist, i'm just diving into SDQL so i'm not to where i can figure this out yet.  how many series did these teams win (the 1 loss teams).  i.e. what's the record over the season if you back track it?
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    extremist, i'm just diving into SDQL so i'm not to where i can figure this out yet.  how many series did these teams win (the 1 loss teams).  i.e. what's the record over the season if you back track it?
     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 4:01 PM ET #8

    also, any rec's for SDQL sites?  killersports or sportsdatabase look to be owned by the same group.  are there other options and if so what is easiest to use
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    also, any rec's for SDQL sites?  killersports or sportsdatabase look to be owned by the same group.  are there other options and if so what is easiest to use
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 5:25 PM ET #9

    between 26-28  three game series depending on the team this season so far

    I use killersports it's the same thing
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    between 26-28  three game series depending on the team this season so far

    I use killersports it's the same thing
     
    SBT
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 10:54 PM ET #10

    Curious what SDQL query you used to determine the best teams to play with but wouldn't choosing the team with the most games where they scored or gave up a run in the 1st inning work also?

     R1+o:R1>0 and team and season = 2017

    I assume this would only work after the All Star break? Nice find BTW. Cheers!
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    Curious what SDQL query you used to determine the best teams to play with but wouldn't choosing the team with the most games where they scored or gave up a run in the 1st inning work also?

     R1+o:R1>0 and team and season = 2017

    I assume this would only work after the All Star break? Nice find BTW. Cheers!
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 11:10 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by SBT:

    Curious what SDQL query you used to determine the best teams to play with but wouldn't choosing the team with the most games where they scored or gave up a run in the 1st inning work also?

     R1+o:R1>0 and team and season = 2017

    I assume this would only work after the All Star break? Nice find BTW. Cheers!

    team and SGS=3=SG and R1+o:R1=0 and p:R1+op:R1=0 and pp:R1+opp:R1=0 and season=2017 

    This will show which teams have had the 3 game series losses. you'll see only 2 team are not on the list which have 0 losses and the other 5 have only 1 loss. Yes AASB would be ideal but as long as there are decent amounts of series played would work. You have to be very picky because a single loss will cost you 10-13 units on a 3 game chase.. That's why the list is small and will continue to shrink if any teams take any losses. I will remove them. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBT:

    Curious what SDQL query you used to determine the best teams to play with but wouldn't choosing the team with the most games where they scored or gave up a run in the 1st inning work also?

     R1+o:R1>0 and team and season = 2017

    I assume this would only work after the All Star break? Nice find BTW. Cheers!

    team and SGS=3=SG and R1+o:R1=0 and p:R1+op:R1=0 and pp:R1+opp:R1=0 and season=2017 

    This will show which teams have had the 3 game series losses. you'll see only 2 team are not on the list which have 0 losses and the other 5 have only 1 loss. Yes AASB would be ideal but as long as there are decent amounts of series played would work. You have to be very picky because a single loss will cost you 10-13 units on a 3 game chase.. That's why the list is small and will continue to shrink if any teams take any losses. I will remove them. 
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2017 - 11:23 PM ET #12

    tomorrow Friday 8/25 Chases will be:

    BLUE JAYS 
    DIAMONDBACKS
    MARLINS
    NATIONALS
    PIRATES

    (the other 2 teams Giants and Padres are playing teams on the list, Also removing Yankees. I noticed that they had taken a loss last week before I started betting on this system so they have 2 losses now as of sunday)

    I'm staring my bets with $200 a play and maybe a little more on Diamondback and Blue Jays since they are our top 2 teams. Your unit is all up to you what you feel comfortable with.

    BOL
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    tomorrow Friday 8/25 Chases will be:

    BLUE JAYS 
    DIAMONDBACKS
    MARLINS
    NATIONALS
    PIRATES

    (the other 2 teams Giants and Padres are playing teams on the list, Also removing Yankees. I noticed that they had taken a loss last week before I started betting on this system so they have 2 losses now as of sunday)

    I'm staring my bets with $200 a play and maybe a little more on Diamondback and Blue Jays since they are our top 2 teams. Your unit is all up to you what you feel comfortable with.

    BOL
     
    leo81
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 12:26 PM ET #13

    5Dimes hasn't listed the wash. nym yet   my local has----any news?
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    5Dimes hasn't listed the wash. nym yet   my local has----any news?
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 1:05 PM ET #14

    I got mine from local at +110 for the Nationals. All locked in..

    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200


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    I got mine from local at +110 for the Nationals. All locked in..

    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200


     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 1:05 PM ET #15

    oh, i thought of a couple other questions.  did you query 4 game split H/A split series?  or 4 game series in general?  i run a few other chases and we include the 4 game home, but not the split (because of home field adv).  it would seem in this system, the location is irrelevant.  
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    oh, i thought of a couple other questions.  did you query 4 game split H/A split series?  or 4 game series in general?  i run a few other chases and we include the 4 game home, but not the split (because of home field adv).  it would seem in this system, the location is irrelevant.  
     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 1:07 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    I got mine from local at +110 for the Nationals. All locked in..

    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200




    I got it at -110.  -130 on the rest.  to win 1/2u on all while i test this out.
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    I got mine from local at +110 for the Nationals. All locked in..

    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200




    I got it at -110.  -130 on the rest.  to win 1/2u on all while i test this out.
     
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 1:21 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    5Dimes hasn't listed the wash. nym yet   my local has----any news?

    its up on 5D
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    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    5Dimes hasn't listed the wash. nym yet   my local has----any news?

    its up on 5D
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 1:33 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    oh, i thought of a couple other questions.  did you query 4 game split H/A split series?  or 4 game series in general?  i run a few other chases and we include the 4 game home, but not the split (because of home field adv).  it would seem in this system, the location is irrelevant.  

    yeah H/A doesn't matter. I run it on 3 game series to keep everything on the same level but if a team does that in 3 games than doing it 4 games is even easier. 

    I have 4 other chases that I'm working on right now as well. Tweaking them as we speak.
    1) 3 Full game Over Chase
    2) 3 Full game Under Chase
    3) 3 game 1st 5 Over Chasse
    4) 3 game 1st 5 ML/RL Chase

    it's just overwhelming. I like the ones above because the juice is low (no more than -115, Except the 1st 5 ML) I have the teams narrowed down but only playing them with the top teams for now. Will maybe post those this week and we track them as well. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    oh, i thought of a couple other questions.  did you query 4 game split H/A split series?  or 4 game series in general?  i run a few other chases and we include the 4 game home, but not the split (because of home field adv).  it would seem in this system, the location is irrelevant.  

    yeah H/A doesn't matter. I run it on 3 game series to keep everything on the same level but if a team does that in 3 games than doing it 4 games is even easier. 

    I have 4 other chases that I'm working on right now as well. Tweaking them as we speak.
    1) 3 Full game Over Chase
    2) 3 Full game Under Chase
    3) 3 game 1st 5 Over Chasse
    4) 3 game 1st 5 ML/RL Chase

    it's just overwhelming. I like the ones above because the juice is low (no more than -115, Except the 1st 5 ML) I have the teams narrowed down but only playing them with the top teams for now. Will maybe post those this week and we track them as well. 
     
    brandone
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 7:32 PM ET #19

    Hey X, read the thread and gonna get my feet wet. Good Stuff!  All the Best!
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    Hey X, read the thread and gonna get my feet wet. Good Stuff!  All the Best!
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2017 - 9:59 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by brandone:

    Hey X, read the thread and gonna get my feet wet. Good Stuff!  All the Best!

    thanks man.. good luck..

    so clear 2 today.. 3 going into tomorrow


    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250 
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250 
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200 
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220 
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200 
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    Quote Originally Posted by brandone:

    Hey X, read the thread and gonna get my feet wet. Good Stuff!  All the Best!

    thanks man.. good luck..

    so clear 2 today.. 3 going into tomorrow


    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250 
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250 
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200 
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220 
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200 
     
    LuckysDad713
    LuckysDad713
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    Posts: 77
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 4:03 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:


    thanks man.. good luck..

    so clear 2 today.. 3 going into tomorrow


    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250 
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250 
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200 
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220 
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200 
    So the ones with the fire are the ones to play on Saturday?  So if it doesn't hit day 1, then do you do what your loss plus what you want to win on day 2 and so on?
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:


    thanks man.. good luck..

    so clear 2 today.. 3 going into tomorrow


    DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250 
    BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250 
    MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200 
    NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220 
    PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200 
    So the ones with the fire are the ones to play on Saturday?  So if it doesn't hit day 1, then do you do what your loss plus what you want to win on day 2 and so on?
     
    The_Extremist
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 12:25 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:

    So the ones with the fire are the ones to play on Saturday?  So if it doesn't hit day 1, then do you do what your loss plus what you want to win on day 2 and so on?

    yes that correct so we have:

    DIAMONDBACKS $630 TO WIN $550
    BLUE JAYS $647 TO WIN $550
    PIRATES $537 TO WIN $460

    Most books will limit to $500 a bet on this prop wager so I split mine between 2 different books. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:

    So the ones with the fire are the ones to play on Saturday?  So if it doesn't hit day 1, then do you do what your loss plus what you want to win on day 2 and so on?

    yes that correct so we have:

    DIAMONDBACKS $630 TO WIN $550
    BLUE JAYS $647 TO WIN $550
    PIRATES $537 TO WIN $460

    Most books will limit to $500 a bet on this prop wager so I split mine between 2 different books. 
     
    The_Extremist
    The_Extremist
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    Posts: 1199
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 8:24 PM ET #23

    DIAMONDBACKS $630 TO WIN $550 
    BLUE JAYS $647 TO WIN $550 
    PIRATES $537 TO WIN $460 

    Cleared 1 more.. chasing 2 to tomorrow for the final game of series.
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    DIAMONDBACKS $630 TO WIN $550 
    BLUE JAYS $647 TO WIN $550 
    PIRATES $537 TO WIN $460 

    Cleared 1 more.. chasing 2 to tomorrow for the final game of series.
     
    PickleRick
    PickleRick
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    Posts: 64
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2017 - 12:08 PM ET #24

    Do you like this chase better or the score in 1st inning series chase?
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    Do you like this chase better or the score in 1st inning series chase?
     
     
    PickleRick
    PickleRick
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    Posts: 64
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2017 - 12:09 PM ET #25

    Oops nvm this is the 1st inn chase, BOL buddy!
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    Oops nvm this is the 1st inn chase, BOL buddy!
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