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Ridiculously absurd chase system

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JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 25, 2014 - 4:05 PM ET #1

I post on the systems forum side but a lot of people aren't aware it exists.

This system is a 4 game chase taking the first game on the rotation that is a dog and beting the +1.5 goals.

A) 71

B) 15

C) 3

D) 1

That's hitting at a 95.5% rate on first 2 games which is ridiculous even by my standards.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 25, 2014 - 11:25 PM ET #2

Sunday take NJ +1.5 (A) game

pinballwizard

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 3:46 AM ET #3

Are you on NJ because they are involved in 1st game of the day? Secondly, you take the dog at +1.5 and chase for 4 games or until the team covers the +1.5? Is this correct?

Systemtrend

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Posts: 336

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 5:28 AM ET #4

-300

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 11:35 AM ET #5

I've been in the systems forum for 2 years I'm not going anywhere. Thought I would bring a interesting tidbit to your side of the woods!

The Hat

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 11:37 AM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

That's gonna kill you in JOOS.

Yes it has that chance, but since 95.5% win on the first 2 games not worried. This worked the previous 2 years also.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 11:38 AM ET #7

Quote Originally Posted by pinballwizard:

Are you on NJ because they are involved in 1st game of the day? Secondly, you take the dog at +1.5 and chase for 4 games or until the team covers the +1.5? Is this correct?

The first game # wise in the rotation, not the first game played. When the dog in that situation covers the +1.5 you are done.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 1:23 PM ET #8

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

How do you figure out the first game in the NHL rotation?

I use SBRodds and the first # is the play, not necessarily the first game played.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 2:08 PM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

Ok....so let's talk about Saturday (yesterday): how would you have bet your NHL system with the following sched based on rotation numbers:

Not EST:

11am Ott / carolina
12pm st loo / isles
12 pm boston / philly
6pm wash / mont
6pm colo / tb
6pm buffal / colum
6pm toro / winn
7pm pitts/ dallas
830pm anah / la
930pm minny / SJ

So you say take the dog and it was Ottawa +1.5, you lose that game, how would you choose between the next games in the rotation? Both the St. loo game AND the Boston game started at the same time? What game would you have picked to double down on the dog?

Your clearly not understanding what I'm saying, yesterday's play was NYI a WIN! It's rotation# was 051/052 Ottawa was last with 069/070. If you lose you carry over to next day. It's only happened 19 times out of 90 this year.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 2:11 PM ET #10

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

Thanks, that's why I asked. I couldn't find a place that gave the rotation numbers.

SBR , Covers , any offshore book because that's number ou give when wagering.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 2:13 PM ET #11

There is only ONE play a day! The only play yesterday was NYI!

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 2:32 PM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

Does this also work in the NBA?

Read all my threads in the systems and strategies forum. I have systems for everything including my "Best System Ever" which is

3065-0 for the past 4 years haven't checked further back yet.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 2:34 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Read all my threads in the systems and strategies forum. I have systems for everything including my "Best System Ever" which is

3065-0 for the past 4 years haven't checked further back yet.

The "Best System Ever" is for MLB which starts May 2

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 3:09 PM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by t_vigilante:

If you can post a link for this, I have not been able to find this "Best System EVER" in the Systems and Strategies section....Thanks.

There is no link, I came up with it this off season and backchecked it 4 years so far. I will never post the rules. This system averaged 769 units a season. I will post starting May 2

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #15

I'm sorry YES! Lol, wow I'll give 1 word responses fom now on!

wheaty

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Posts: 13947

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 3:50 PM ET #16

So if this devils play loses the next play would be devils +1.5.on Tuesday vs the blues??

wheaty

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Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 3:56 PM ET #17

Nvm, i got what you mean now

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 9:51 AM ET #18

Columbus +1.5 (B)

Puckline79

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2013

Posts: 162

Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 10:30 AM ET #19

With the way things have been going you guys are better off using the flip coin system, trends are not doing well lately there are so many factors that come into play with these games, it happened in baseball this last season too, things get really screwy when it gets close to playoffs, one thing for sure many overs are being hit, first period totals, TT and game totals

GL with your systems tho

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posts: 3843

Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 11:34 AM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by Puckline79:

GL with your systems tho

Thx, it worked the previous 2 seasons also, thats as far as I checked.

sports_Network

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Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 11:52 AM ET #21

Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Columbus +1.5 (B)

okay, your NJ+1.5 (-300) lost yesterday, now your saying to play Columbus+1.5 (-300) today, how much are you betting? does this include recovering the 3u you have already lost? if so your bet today is a minimum of 6u to win one unit for the last two games bet in your system? where is the rationality to equative value? I agree with your assessment "this is a ridiculously absurd chase system" only someone with a brainless approach to the NHL would even consider. try handicapping, the NHL is not designed to chase games, it's a sport, not a roulette table.

VegasDave80

Prospect

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Posts: 274

Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 11:54 AM ET #22

Just my thoughts. I thought the whole point of a chase was to chase plus money value teams. Either chase teams who are always dogs ,,to win especially on road. Or chase teams that are always favored ,,to lose esp at home. Chasing with juice is pointless. U should know which teams are always favorites Pitt chi sj at home. Etc. dogs buff edm Calgary on road etc. ya taking 1.5 goals you will hit more often but in long run which pays more. Chase a bad team on a road trip

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 12:04 PM ET #23

All I can say is 95.5% win on its first 2 games is better than anything on the planet this year. If it fails it was good while it lasted which has been 3 years so far at least. Chase systems work just just fine with favorites at least mine do! Thx for your thoughts, I will continue on with making

Good luck with your style capping.

JEFFTHEHAT

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Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 12:24 PM ET #24

Sports, I'm thoroughly convinced that handicapping is a waste of time. The amount made (usually lost) by 95% of cappers isn't worth the time. I've been a handicapper for 30 years and since I have come up with numerous chase systems I don't need to cap anymore. Pretty much a no brainer, make a lot no cap, or lose with cap! The few that actually do turn a profit capping don't make remotely close to what they could with a solid chase system.

The Hat

wheaty

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Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 8:00 PM ET #25

I think you guys who are criticizing/pointing out flaws are missing the point. It's a system. Like Jeff said, it takes handicapping completely out of it. So if it looks like there is "zero value" in his play, it doesn't matter because it's hitting at a 95% clip in the first two selections. Which is more than enough.to be successful. Not all systems work. But if you find one or more that do, you have to trust that they'll continue working and follow them. And this seems to be one of those.systems.

Keep up.the good work Jeff

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Ridiculously absurd chase system

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