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Pythagorean Plays of the Day

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Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #151
8/9/14

Record: 204-196
Bankroll: 1064.78

4:05 PM ET Baltimore (103) Bet 21.30 to win 21.94 
7:10 PM ET Houston (152) Bet 21.30 to win 32.38 
7:10 PM ET Milwaukee (119) Bet 21.30 to win 25.35 
9:10 PM ET Seattle (-183) Bet 21.30 to win 11.64

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
7:10 PM ET LA Dodgers [Z. Greinke] (-129) at Milwaukee [M. Fiers] (119) 7.5 

LAD Pythag: 47.84 | Implied: 56.33 | Diff: -8.49 
MIL Pythag: 52.16 | Implied: 45.66 | Diff: 6.50 

LAD PitchP: 45.66 | Implied: 56.33 | Diff: -10.67 
MIL PitchP: 54.34 | Implied: 45.66 | Diff: 8.68 

Milwaukee (119) Bet 21.30 to win 25.35

------------------------ 
Brewers regaining some of their early season form - nice value play tonight at home.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #152
8/10/14

Record: 207-197
Bankroll: 1123.15

1:05 PM ET Cleveland (136) Bet 22.46 to win 30.55
1:07 PM ET Toronto (142) Bet 22.46 to win 31.89 
2:20 PM ET Chi. Cubs (146) Bet 22.46 to win 32.79 
3:35 PM ET LA Angels (-138) Bet 22.46 to win 16.28
4:10 PM ET Seattle (-150) Bet 22.46 to win 14.97 
4:10 PM ET Arizona (-153) Bet 22.46 to win 14.68 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
1:07 PM ET Detroit [D. Price] (-154) at Toronto [M. Buehrle] (142) 8 

DET Pythag: 47.64 | Implied: 60.63 | Diff: -12.99 
TOR Pythag: 52.36 | Implied: 41.32 | Diff: 11.04 

DET PitchP: 50.12 | Implied: 60.63 | Diff: -10.51 
TOR PitchP: 49.88 | Implied: 41.32 | Diff: 8.56 

Toronto (142) Bet 22.46 to win 31.89 PYT

------------------------ 
Two tight games already in this series, +142 is just too much to pass up on the Jays today.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #153
Record: 211-199
Bankroll: 1188.43
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #154
8/11/14

7:10 PM ET LA Dodgers (147) Bet 23.77 to win 34.94 
8:10 PM ET Oakland (-108) Bet 23.77 to win 22.01 

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #155
8/12/14

Record: 212-200
Bankroll: 1199.60

8:05 PM ET Tampa Bay/Texas Bet 23.99 to win 21.81 on UNDER 9  
10:10 PM ET Seattle (-111) Bet 23.99 to win 21.61 
10:10 PM ET Seattle (-111) Bet 23.99 to win 21.61 
10:15 PM ET San Francisco (104) Bet 23.99 to win 24.95 
10:15 PM ET Chi. White Sox/San Francisco Bet 23.99 to win 21.81 on OVER 6 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
10:10 PM ET Toronto [J. Happ] (103) at Seattle [C. Young] (-111) 7.5 

TOR Pythag: 38.58 | Implied: 49.26 | Diff: -10.68 
SEA Pythag: 61.42 | Implied: 52.61 | Diff: 8.81 

TOR PitchP: 38.22 | Implied: 49.26 | Diff: -11.04 
SEA PitchP: 61.78 | Implied: 52.61 | Diff: 9.17 

Seattle (-111) Bet 23.99 to win 21.61 

------------------------ 

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #156
8/13/14

Record: 214-202
Bankroll: 1195.04

2:10 PM ET Houston (-108) Bet 23.90 to win 22.13 
3:45 PM ET San Francisco (-123) Bet 23.90 to win 19.43 
7:05 PM ET Baltimore (-125) Bet 23.90 to win 19.12
8:05 PM ET Tampa/Texas Bet 23.90 to win 21.73 on UNDER 9 
8:10 PM ET Oakland (-109) Bet 23.90 to win 21.93 
10:10 PM ET Seattle (-161) Bet 23.90 to win 14.84 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
8:10 PM ET Oakland [S. Kazmir] (-109) at Kansas City [J. Vargas] (101) 7 

OAK Pythag: 60.08 | Implied: 52.15 | Diff: 7.93 
KCR Pythag: 39.92 | Implied: 49.75 | Diff: -9.83 

OAK PitchP: 61.40 | Implied: 52.15 | Diff: 9.25 
KCR PitchP: 38.60 | Implied: 49.75 | Diff: -11.15 

Oakland (-109) Bet 23.90 to win 21.93 
------------------------
Great matchup in the AL tonight where the A's are an excellent value at -109.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #157
8/14/14

Record: 217-205
Bankroll: 1176.73

2:10 PM ET Oakland (100) Bet 23.53 to win 23.53 
8:15 PM ET San Diego (149) Bet 23.53 to win 35.06 
8:40 PM ET Cincinnati (109) Bet 23.53 to win 25.65 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
8:40 PM ET Cincinnati [A. Simon] (109) at Colorado [J. De La Rosa] (-118) 9.5 

CIN Pythag: 54.83 | Implied: 47.85 | Diff: 6.98 
COL Pythag: 45.17 | Implied: 54.13 | Diff: -8.96 

CIN PitchP: 55.14 | Implied: 47.85 | Diff: 7.29 
COL PitchP: 44.86 | Implied: 54.13 | Diff: -9.27 

Cincinnati (109) Bet 23.53 to win 25.65 PYT
------------------------
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #158
8/15/14

Record: 217-208
Bankroll: 1106.14

7:08 PM ET Seattle (120) Bet 22.12 to win 26.54 
10:15 PM ET Philadelphia/San Francisco Bet 22.12 to win 20.11 on OVER 6 



 
Banned
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Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #159

2-0

solid call on the PHI-vs-SFG  OVER 6  WIN

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #160
8/16/14

Record: 219-208
Bankroll: 1152.79

7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox (124) Bet 23.06 to win 28.59 
7:10 PM ET Oakland (100) Bet 23.06 to win 23.06 
8:10 PM ET Cincinnati (127) Bet 23.06 to win 29.29 
8:10 PM ET Cincinnati/Colorado Bet 23.06 to win 20.96 on UNDER 10 
9:10 PM ET Milwaukee/LA Dodgers Bet 23.06 to win 20.96 on OVER 6 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
7:10 PM ET Oakland [S. Gray] (100) at Atlanta [J. Teheran] (-108) 6.5 

OAK Pythag: 60.26 | Implied: 50.00 | Diff: 10.26 
ATL Pythag: 39.74 | Implied: 51.92 | Diff: -12.18 

OAK PitchP: 60.32 | Implied: 50.00 | Diff: 10.32 
ATL PitchP: 39.68 | Implied: 51.92 | Diff: -12.24 

Oakland (100) Bet 23.06 to win 23.06 
------------------------
Outside of the shelling TB gave him, Sonny has been metronomicly consistent.

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #161
8/17/14

Record: 219-211
Bankroll: 1083.61

1:35 PM ET Boston (-125) Bet 21.67 to win 17.34 
1:40 PM ET Tampa Bay (-108) Bet 21.67 to win 20.06
2:15 PM ET San Diego (174) Bet 21.67 to win 37.71 
3:05 PM ET LA Angels (-139) Bet 21.67 to win 15.59
3:05 PM ET LA Angels/Texas Bet 21.67 to win 19.70 on UNDER 9.5 
9:10 PM ET Cincinnati (109) Bet 21.67 to win 23.62 

Spotlight Play:
------------------------ 
1:40 PM ET NY Yankees [H. Kuroda] (100) at Tampa Bay [J. Hellickson] (-108) 7 

NYY Pythag: 40.04 | Implied: 50.00 | Diff: -9.96 
TBR Pythag: 59.96 | Implied: 51.92 | Diff: 8.04 

NYY PitchP: 34.08 | Implied: 50.00 | Diff: -15.92 
TBR PitchP: 65.92 | Implied: 51.92 | Diff: 14.00 

Tampa Bay (-108) Bet 21.67 to win 20.06 
------------------------ 
Rays should be a big favorite at home today as they hit Kuroda much better than the Yanks hit Hellickson.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #162
8/18/14

Record: 220-216
Bankroll: 994.96

No plays this evening.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #163
8/19/14

Record: 220-216
Bankroll: 994.96

8:15 PM ET Cincinnati (152) Bet 19.90 to win 30.25 
10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers (-110) Bet 19.90 to win 18.09 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #164
8/20/14

Record: 221-217
Bankroll: 993.15

2:10 PM ET Milwaukee (-120) Bet 19.86 to win 16.55 
7:05 PM ET Washington (-190) Bet 19.86 to win 10.45
7:05 PM ET Atlanta (105) Bet 19.86 to win 20.85  
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #165
8/21/14

Record: 222-219
Bankroll: 963.88

4:05 PM ET Washington (-180) Bet 19.28 to win 10.71
 
Banned
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Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #166

ARI-0 -vs- WAS-1

heavy juice on this WIN  add another unit to the BR (regardless, this was the strongest lean on last nights limited card)

 
Veteran
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Posts: 1097
Posted: #167
8/22/14

Record: 223-219
Bankroll: 974.59

8:10 PM ET Detroit/Minnesota Bet 19.49 to win 17.72 on UNDER 9 
7:10 PM ET Atlanta (-102) Bet 19.49 to win 19.11  

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #168
8/23/14

Record: 224-220
Bankroll: 974.21

1:07 PM ET Tampa Bay (-101) Bet 19.48 to win 19.29  
1:35 PM ET Seattle (111) Bet 19.48 to win 21.62 
7:10 PM ET Cincinnati (117) Bet 19.48 to win 22.79 

 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #169
8/24/14

Record: 226-221
Bankroll: 999.14

1:07 PM ET Tampa Bay (100) Bet 19.98 to win 19.98  
2:10 PM ET Minnesota (131) Bet 19.98 to win 26.17 
2:10 PM ET Detroit/Minnesota Bet 19.98 to win 18.16 on OVER 8 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #170
8/25/14

Record: 228-222
Bankroll: 1017.17

7:07 PM ET Toronto (-117) Bet 20.34 to win 17.38 
10:10 PM ET Seattle (-160) Bet 20.34 to win 12.71 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #171
8/26/14

Record: 228-224
Bankroll: 976.49

7:05 PM ET Baltimore (-110) Bet 19.53 to win 17.75 
7:10 PM ET NY Mets (138) Bet 19.53 to win 26.95
8:10 PM ET Cleveland (125) Bet 19.53 to win 24.41
9:40 PM ET LA Dodgers (-113) Bet 19.53 to win 17.28
10:10 PM ET Milwaukee (115) Bet 19.53 to win 22.46 
10:10 PM ET Seattle (-200) Bet 19.53 to win 9.77

 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2014
Posts: 80
Posted: #172
Nice work MrECapps!
 
Banned
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Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #173
nice hits last night
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #174
Thanks - that kind of night was waaaay overdue!
 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1097
Posted: #175
8/27/14

Record: 233-225
Bankroll: 1053.12

3:40 PM ET Seattle (-165) Bet 21.06 to win 12.76 
7:07 PM ET Boston (124) Bet 21.06 to win 26.11 
8:10 PM ET Kansas City (-107) Bet 21.06 to win 19.68
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