Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

nolemanasses: program plays are not selected by me... i have nothing to do with the number of plays...

looks like no nba plays tomorrow and the nhl is taking the day off.

so not much action tomorrow. i am going to play the NFL program plays for $10, like i have been doing the nba the past 2 days..

nfl plays for sunday oct 31

denver (+1.20) $10 to win $12

jacksonville (+2.40) $10 to win $24

redskins (+1.25) $10 to win $13

titans (+1.90) $10 to win $19

TB (+1.55) $10 to win $16

Pitt (+1.05) $10 to win $11

thats 6 nfl Program plays for sunday.... ill do an update by 12:30 pm cst but i doubt there are any additions of any kind..

tomorrow will end the 2nd month of this (36 month) journey.. the goal was $1323 in the project bankroll.. we should have reached that and then some..... so we are on track and running ahead..

Thinker

the atlanta loss hurt... there could be 2 more additions for sunday evening.. ill update everything by 12:30 pm cst..

Thinker

yes NM but what do you do... i cant get into weeding out plays.. those days just happen.... we just have to look at the overall picture...

today is last day of oct, which is officially ending the 2nd month of the project.. as of today, im running about 2 months ahead of schedule..

call today an "invest" in my business day.... thats what im doing with the nfl plays listed above.. only $10 bets for those...

one nba play today..

Utah (+2.00) $10 to win $20

playing the WS as well: SF (+1.30) $35 to win $46..

ill update things by 12:30 but all the plays are now listed..

tomorrow being nov 1... id like to start nailing down some long term things but it could still be another week... i need to decide once and for all about the NFL and how its going to be used..

2 strong plays for today... KC and NE.....id like to play them both in a 6pt teaser.... so essentially the Program likes KC-1 and NE+1.... for the teaser..... it wont be reflected in my record, just wanted it noted..

also dont look too closely at the overall record,,,, id suggest looking more closely at the nhl and mlb record (111-102)....

we will get it worked out, sorry for rambling.... update by 12:30 today but all the plays and amounts wagered are up..

Thinker

no problem MS.......

first few months of a new venture is always good for weeding some things out....

i need the NFL answer today, so todays results are huge for how im going to use the NFL longterm..... i have the Program plays listed, i briefly said the strongest plays on the entire board are KC and NE..... ill see how that info goes...

ill give the nba another week or so....

worse case scenario.... i use the MLB and NHL only for the Program plays in the run to 100k..... then i use the best play on the whole board, regardless of sports, for the TOP play.... but im not ready to 100% do this...

im out for a couple of hours... back with the update then..

Thinker

I think the NFL has been a big loser the last 2 weeks and I'm not sure I'm going to mess with it - regardless of today's results.. The jury is out on the NBA, but with only 4 days of data it's completely understandable.

Georgia, the top play yesterday was a ball buster to watch and obviously could have gone either way.

Yeah I'm also not liking the NFL plays.  Seems both weeks so far are setting us back at least a weeks worth of profits

Obviously it's still too early to decide on the NBA, but NFL clearly is very poor at this point

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Your Program seems to be confused when it comes to the NFL plays.. Because of the short schedule and only 1 game a week, there's a lot more different variables involved in picking NFL winners, than say NHL or MLB. If the Program is just taking stats and making a probability assessment, I can see how it could really struggle.

I'm curious to see how today goes, as well, since I am on the opposite side for all 6 of the NFL games you listed. I can't believe any program in the World would pick Jacksonville outright today. If that game alone wins today, then you should keep the NFL Program in play.

I assume you can't tweak the Program at all? You said you don't have any input into the selections, so does that mean you can not put in any type of filters? By looking at the first 7 weeks of data, do you notice anything which stands out, which could be adapted?

Cheers 

I really like this assessment.  Thinker, keep in mind that we're not bashing you, just trying to logically put our heads together and come up with a solution that's best for everyone involved with following this thread

thanks guys for the comments..

Here is the update for sunday oct 31 (the end of month 2)

Beginning Balance on Sept 5 2010: $1000

Current Balance on oct 31 2010: $1759

Power Ratings Program: 125-127 (+$759)

breakdown:

mlb: 73-75 (+$335)

nhl: 38-27 (+$569)

nba: 1-6 (-$41)

nfl: 11-15 (-$94)

cfb: 2-4 (-$10)

TOP plays: 17-17 (+$136)

card for sunday oct 31

253. denver (+1.20) $10 to win $12

254. Jags (+2.40) $10 to win $24

255. Washington (+1.25) $10 to win $13

256. Titans (+1.90) $10 to win $19

257. TB (+1.55) $10 to win $16

258. Steelers (+1.05) $10 to win $11

259. Utah (+2.00) $10 to win $20

260. Giants (+1.30) $35 to win $46 (bumgardner/hunter)

not alot of money wagered today but im going to be making a decision on the nfl today (for myself) about how to use it, in the future... the nba decision will take a while longer...

Thinker

Keep doing the good work on MLB and NHL Thinker.

Your results are very nice. Bad days will happen as well as outstanding ones. That is just the way it is in this business, but playing dog ML is the sure way to go long term my friend.

We're all behind you Thinker !!!  Take care.

thanks guys.... after today im going to be making MY decision on whether to use the Program Underdog plays, as part of our 1k to 100k project...

the plays that i have listed today in the NFL are the Programs underdog plays for today....

if i do not use them as part of our Program, i will still run every game and ill use the very best plays from the Program to make money... today that would have been a Teaser with KC-1 and NE+1... those 2 plays were who the program liked the most..

its time for me to start making money with the TOP plays and still keep on track to the 100k..

Sept 5 (start)

1. Oct 1 ($1150) check

2. Nov 1 ($1323) check

this is the track that reaches 100k in 33 months....

time to get refocused.... what ive created with this Program is going to stay with me for a lifetime.... i dont even attempt handicapping any longer... i dont know if thats good or not, its just the way it is..

Thinker

semi mixed day (so far) in the nfl.... strongest play on the KC/NE teaser hit (barely) and we hit a couple of nice dogs... TB +1.55 and Jags +2.40....

this Program is like my baby.... regardless of how the week ends, ill probably play the Underdogs within the program next sunday for a small amount again... i do think as we move deeper into the season, the Program will get stronger.... we have Pitt tonight and Houston monday night...

my attention is now going to focus on the TOP plays and how best to play them.... the nba is much too early in the season to make any kind of decision, that has become very clear today... i will stick with the $10 wagers there, indefinitely.

have a good remainder of the evening...

see you tomorrow, for the beginning of Month #3.....

Thinker

yeah, i know you didnt mean anything by it... i was just mentioning that i cant do anything about the number of plays..

Thinker

today is the start of month #3, in the 33-36 month journey... the math computes to 33 months or about 1000 days..... as the time required to turn $1000 into $100,000 by increasing the bankroll by 15% every month..

update and plays following..

Thinker