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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

    «First Previous 181920 ... 596061 Next Last»
    TheThinker
    redz
    AndrewMartin
    smdio
    payday000
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    «First Previous 181920 ... 596061 Next Last»
     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 9:17 AM ET #426

    hello guys, update for friday oct 22

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 22 2010: $1587

     

    Power Ratings Program: 106-106 (+$587)

     

    breakdown:

    MLB: 71-73 (+$330)

    NHL: 22-14 (+$361)

    NFL: 11-15 (-$94)

    CFB: 2-4 (-$10)

    TOP plays: 10-7 (+2.75 units) (59%)

     

    first a few notes: im about to spend the better part of 3hrs finishing of the program for the NBA, this will take me roughly 6hrs total to set the initial program. we will be giving it a shot from day 1...

    my overall record is (106-106) thru 212 plays and im very, very pleased with that, considering all have been ML underdogs.  Our baseball and hockey are fine, im 100% committed to what we are doing there and i think ive stressed that before. if you want a longterm winner, i think those are the ticket.... i will not be using the regular season NHL and MLB for TOP plays.... i just dont think i need to do that, my program is profitable enough, as this thread is running about 2 months ahead of schedule...

    i am going to run every college football game for tomorrow thru my program, i am going to post only the TOP 3 plays tomorrow morning or tonight, as my TOP plays for saturday, i plan on doing the same with the NFL on sunday... so we will have a good read on the TOP plays for football by monday morning... as for the nba, ill know more next week, when we get started with that..

     

    plays for friday oct 22

     

    213. Texas (+1.00) $30 to win $30 (lewis/hughes)

    214. Calgary (+1.20) $30 to win $36

    215. Tampa Bay (+1.15) $30 to win $35

    216. Chicago (+1.00) $30 to win $30

     

    there will be no additons today, if you can get chicago at (+1.00) id advise playing it anyway. all plays today have about the same relative strength.

    Thinker

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    hello guys, update for friday oct 22

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 22 2010: $1587

     

    Power Ratings Program: 106-106 (+$587)

     

    breakdown:

    MLB: 71-73 (+$330)

    NHL: 22-14 (+$361)

    NFL: 11-15 (-$94)

    CFB: 2-4 (-$10)

    TOP plays: 10-7 (+2.75 units) (59%)

     

    first a few notes: im about to spend the better part of 3hrs finishing of the program for the NBA, this will take me roughly 6hrs total to set the initial program. we will be giving it a shot from day 1...

    my overall record is (106-106) thru 212 plays and im very, very pleased with that, considering all have been ML underdogs.  Our baseball and hockey are fine, im 100% committed to what we are doing there and i think ive stressed that before. if you want a longterm winner, i think those are the ticket.... i will not be using the regular season NHL and MLB for TOP plays.... i just dont think i need to do that, my program is profitable enough, as this thread is running about 2 months ahead of schedule...

    i am going to run every college football game for tomorrow thru my program, i am going to post only the TOP 3 plays tomorrow morning or tonight, as my TOP plays for saturday, i plan on doing the same with the NFL on sunday... so we will have a good read on the TOP plays for football by monday morning... as for the nba, ill know more next week, when we get started with that..

     

    plays for friday oct 22

     

    213. Texas (+1.00) $30 to win $30 (lewis/hughes)

    214. Calgary (+1.20) $30 to win $36

    215. Tampa Bay (+1.15) $30 to win $35

    216. Chicago (+1.00) $30 to win $30

     

    there will be no additons today, if you can get chicago at (+1.00) id advise playing it anyway. all plays today have about the same relative strength.

    Thinker

     
    redz
    redz
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 10:03 AM ET #427

    Great Job Thinker - Slow & Steady

    If you get a chance today, run the S. Fla @ Cincy CFB thru your system.  Game goes tonight on ESPN2, I'm liking Cincy (-8.5) alot.

    Thanks

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    Great Job Thinker - Slow & Steady

    If you get a chance today, run the S. Fla @ Cincy CFB thru your system.  Game goes tonight on ESPN2, I'm liking Cincy (-8.5) alot.

    Thanks

     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 10:07 AM ET #428

    No problem... the lean would be to cincy but it is not showing a strong enough difference to make them a play for me...

    Thinker

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    No problem... the lean would be to cincy but it is not showing a strong enough difference to make them a play for me...

    Thinker

     
    redz
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 10:15 AM ET #429

    Thanks -
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    Thanks -
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 10:38 AM ET #430

    about 20% of the way thru the nba now.... i am going to make a small adjustment to the weekend football schedule.. i may play the TOP 5 plays on saturday and the TOP (3-5) on sunday, for the TOP plays, i wanted to do something a little different with football this weeked... but all selections will come straight off my Program. i wont handicap games at all... i may post the college plays this evening...

    Thinker

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    about 20% of the way thru the nba now.... i am going to make a small adjustment to the weekend football schedule.. i may play the TOP 5 plays on saturday and the TOP (3-5) on sunday, for the TOP plays, i wanted to do something a little different with football this weeked... but all selections will come straight off my Program. i wont handicap games at all... i may post the college plays this evening...

    Thinker

     
    AndrewMartin
    AndrewMartin
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 11:12 AM ET #431

    Your system looks to be working very well based on a target of 15% return each month. Currently you are at $30 base wagers. When do you increase and by how much?
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    Your system looks to be working very well based on a target of 15% return each month. Currently you are at $30 base wagers. When do you increase and by how much?
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 11:16 AM ET #432

    Every +$250 he increases his wagers by $5
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    Every +$250 he increases his wagers by $5
     
    AndrewMartin
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 11:17 AM ET #433

    Thank you smdio.
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    Thank you smdio.
     
    payday000
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 11:54 AM ET #434

    thinker can u please post your top plays of the day ... im labbying them because i feel that you can hit well over 40% which will clear my lines with regularity and also the streaks of losses will not be high
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    thinker can u please post your top plays of the day ... im labbying them because i feel that you can hit well over 40% which will clear my lines with regularity and also the streaks of losses will not be high
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 12:07 PM ET #435

    sure payday; here is the order but there wasnt a large amount of difference today.... chicago, texas, calgary and then Tb...

    about halfway thru the nba program, im going to finish the other half on monday morning...

    im really looking forward to running the college football, as we now finally may have enough usuable data... ill post what the program calls the best (3-5) plays later tonight and ill list them as TOP plays and i will bet them and they will go into my running record for TOP plays..

     

    Thinker

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    sure payday; here is the order but there wasnt a large amount of difference today.... chicago, texas, calgary and then Tb...

    about halfway thru the nba program, im going to finish the other half on monday morning...

    im really looking forward to running the college football, as we now finally may have enough usuable data... ill post what the program calls the best (3-5) plays later tonight and ill list them as TOP plays and i will bet them and they will go into my running record for TOP plays..

     

    Thinker

     
    payday000
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #436

    thanks alot .... im goin to be playing your top plays in a double the unit labby system .... with the results so far i cant see a reason why this wont be profitable .... even if your winning % does go down to 40 -45%
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    thanks alot .... im goin to be playing your top plays in a double the unit labby system .... with the results so far i cant see a reason why this wont be profitable .... even if your winning % does go down to 40 -45%
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 8:55 PM ET #437

    guys im sorry but the college football plays will not be posted until around 10:00 am cst saturday morning, this will still give an hour before the first kickoff... i think we will have one 11:00 am cst kickoff and should have about 5 plays... if your following, i would advise playing these, its really the first shot with some good workable data, now that we are this far into the season..

    Thinker

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    guys im sorry but the college football plays will not be posted until around 10:00 am cst saturday morning, this will still give an hour before the first kickoff... i think we will have one 11:00 am cst kickoff and should have about 5 plays... if your following, i would advise playing these, its really the first shot with some good workable data, now that we are this far into the season..

    Thinker

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 9:40 PM ET #438

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    guys im sorry but the college football plays will not be posted until around 10:00 am cst saturday morning, this will still give an hour before the first kickoff... i think we will have one 11:00 am cst kickoff and should have about 5 plays... if your following, i would advise playing these, its really the first shot with some good workable data, now that we are this far into the season..

    Thinker

    Thinker, if you don't mind me asking.  How did you go from this:

    "1. i should have never included college sports in this... period."

    To this:

    "if your following, i would advise playing these"

    I see a contradiction here, and I'm worried about CFB

    Change my mind please

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    guys im sorry but the college football plays will not be posted until around 10:00 am cst saturday morning, this will still give an hour before the first kickoff... i think we will have one 11:00 am cst kickoff and should have about 5 plays... if your following, i would advise playing these, its really the first shot with some good workable data, now that we are this far into the season..

    Thinker

    Thinker, if you don't mind me asking.  How did you go from this:

    "1. i should have never included college sports in this... period."

    To this:

    "if your following, i would advise playing these"

    I see a contradiction here, and I'm worried about CFB

    Change my mind please

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 9:52 PM ET #439

    Funny thing is i don't play the NFL picks so i won't  be playing College Football either..

    Best thing to do is just post them as a form of testing to see how things go, then you can make changes depending on the results..



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    Funny thing is i don't play the NFL picks so i won't  be playing College Football either..

    Best thing to do is just post them as a form of testing to see how things go, then you can make changes depending on the results..



     
    paul_scholes
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 11:27 PM ET #440

    If yer degen, play 'em. If not, don't. Sheit. I'm on-board.
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    If yer degen, play 'em. If not, don't. Sheit. I'm on-board.
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 5:10 AM ET #441

    smdio, at the start of the season, my program just did not have enough available (usuable data) to be included in the program. we are now getting deeper into the season and enough data has now been attained (i think) for this to work on college...

    it is always everyone's own choice whether to follow or not... and another big reason, i am running so far ahead in this thread, that i am afforded the luxury of trying it again on college football... the college football plays will not be included in the program, they will be listed under the TOP plays...

    ill explain a little more later today..

    Thinker

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    smdio, at the start of the season, my program just did not have enough available (usuable data) to be included in the program. we are now getting deeper into the season and enough data has now been attained (i think) for this to work on college...

    it is always everyone's own choice whether to follow or not... and another big reason, i am running so far ahead in this thread, that i am afforded the luxury of trying it again on college football... the college football plays will not be included in the program, they will be listed under the TOP plays...

    ill explain a little more later today..

    Thinker

     
    blaaze
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 8:51 AM ET #442

    Thinker , what does your system say about Arizona State vs Cal  .

    both have Identical records but 2 of ASU loss's came to Oregon and Wisconsin at Wisconsin loss by 1  look what they did to Ohio State last week.

     I feel the wrong team is favored but await your info  ml +130 ASU
      


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    Thinker , what does your system say about Arizona State vs Cal  .

    both have Identical records but 2 of ASU loss's came to Oregon and Wisconsin at Wisconsin loss by 1  look what they did to Ohio State last week.

     I feel the wrong team is favored but await your info  ml +130 ASU
      


     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 10:41 AM ET #443

    Update for saturday oct 23

     

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 23 2010: $1658 (new project high)

     

    Power Ratings Program: 109-107 (+$658)

    TOP plays: 10-7 ($611) (59%)

     

    here is the card for those wanting to follow strictly the programs moneyline underdogs, which is the theme of this thread and all that matters to this thread.

    217. NY Rangers (+1.50) $30 to win $45

    218. Islanders (+1.25) $30 to win $38

    219. Nashville (+1.25) $30 to win $38

    220. Kings (+1.10) $30 to win $33

    221. SF Giants (+1.50) $30 to win $45 (sanchez/oswalt)

     

    that is the final card for those wishing to only follow that portion of the thread.

     

    here are the TOP plays for saturday oct 23 in college football, as selected by the same program. we have enough data now to get a good reading. please play these at your own risk and for an amount suitable to your bankroll....

    since sept 5, i have released 17 TOP plays and i have won $611 on these TOP plays.... this is where i will pick up from with those. also i want you to know, i will be playing mainly football and basketball in this portion of the thread.... the nba will also be included in the other part as well, at least at the beginning.

    TOP plays: 10-7 (+$611) (59%)

    plays for saturday oct 23

    Navy +7 (-1.15) $115 to win $100

    Auburn -5.5 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    OKlahoma St +6 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    Kentucky +4.5 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    Missouri +3 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

     

    those are the TOP 5 plays, as selected by my Program for today. that is my exact bet for each game. i am currently up $611 on the season playing the TOP plays... feel free to ignore these wagers if you choose to do so, they are NOT what this thread is about but i wanted to share...

    Blaaze: almost even on those 2, no advantage.

    Thinker

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    Update for saturday oct 23

     

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 23 2010: $1658 (new project high)

     

    Power Ratings Program: 109-107 (+$658)

    TOP plays: 10-7 ($611) (59%)

     

    here is the card for those wanting to follow strictly the programs moneyline underdogs, which is the theme of this thread and all that matters to this thread.

    217. NY Rangers (+1.50) $30 to win $45

    218. Islanders (+1.25) $30 to win $38

    219. Nashville (+1.25) $30 to win $38

    220. Kings (+1.10) $30 to win $33

    221. SF Giants (+1.50) $30 to win $45 (sanchez/oswalt)

     

    that is the final card for those wishing to only follow that portion of the thread.

     

    here are the TOP plays for saturday oct 23 in college football, as selected by the same program. we have enough data now to get a good reading. please play these at your own risk and for an amount suitable to your bankroll....

    since sept 5, i have released 17 TOP plays and i have won $611 on these TOP plays.... this is where i will pick up from with those. also i want you to know, i will be playing mainly football and basketball in this portion of the thread.... the nba will also be included in the other part as well, at least at the beginning.

    TOP plays: 10-7 (+$611) (59%)

    plays for saturday oct 23

    Navy +7 (-1.15) $115 to win $100

    Auburn -5.5 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    OKlahoma St +6 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    Kentucky +4.5 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

    Missouri +3 (-1.10) $110 to win $100

     

    those are the TOP 5 plays, as selected by my Program for today. that is my exact bet for each game. i am currently up $611 on the season playing the TOP plays... feel free to ignore these wagers if you choose to do so, they are NOT what this thread is about but i wanted to share...

    Blaaze: almost even on those 2, no advantage.

    Thinker

     
    bobbie18
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:01 AM ET #444

    Thinker, just wanted to say thanks alot for all your hard work.  i've been following this thread from the beginning, but first post.  i really appreciate how patient you are and how you answer everyones questions.  thanks again and bol
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    Thinker, just wanted to say thanks alot for all your hard work.  i've been following this thread from the beginning, but first post.  i really appreciate how patient you are and how you answer everyones questions.  thanks again and bol
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:04 AM ET #445

    im a big goal setter, my goal for the TOP plays is to win at minimum of (57.14%)... id like to hit for a higher rate but that is what im shooting for... i wont play anything over (-1.20) with these bets... currently i am sitting at (10-7) (59%) with a profit of ($611).. i will be wagering from a minimum of $100 on these to as high as $250.... as in anything else, i want to make money with these...

    i am posting these to share with you what my Program is saying and how much im wagering on them... we are all adults here, so you follow and bet at your own risk...

     

    all the plays are coming straight off the program that ive created, there is no handicapping involved in any selection... i have now ran all the games, so if you want to ask about an individual game, feel free to do so...

     

    Thinker

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    im a big goal setter, my goal for the TOP plays is to win at minimum of (57.14%)... id like to hit for a higher rate but that is what im shooting for... i wont play anything over (-1.20) with these bets... currently i am sitting at (10-7) (59%) with a profit of ($611).. i will be wagering from a minimum of $100 on these to as high as $250.... as in anything else, i want to make money with these...

    i am posting these to share with you what my Program is saying and how much im wagering on them... we are all adults here, so you follow and bet at your own risk...

     

    all the plays are coming straight off the program that ive created, there is no handicapping involved in any selection... i have now ran all the games, so if you want to ask about an individual game, feel free to do so...

     

    Thinker

     
    Gator11
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:14 AM ET #446

    Thinker what does your program have for Iowa/Wisc? TIA
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    Thinker what does your program have for Iowa/Wisc? TIA
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:16 AM ET #447

    gator: lean to iowa but dont know if they cover the (6pts)..

    thank you bobbie18 for the kind words..

     

    Thinker

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    gator: lean to iowa but dont know if they cover the (6pts)..

    thank you bobbie18 for the kind words..

     

    Thinker

     
    Brocktoon
    Brocktoon
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:50 AM ET #448

    Thinker, when you've posted football plays in the past it has always been with the same format as the other picks, ie underdog ML's. Are there any games today that the system would recommend to play the moneyline and what are the NFL plays going to be ML or with the number?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ml

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    Thinker, when you've posted football plays in the past it has always been with the same format as the other picks, ie underdog ML's. Are there any games today that the system would recommend to play the moneyline and what are the NFL plays going to be ML or with the number?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ml

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 11:58 AM ET #449

    GL today. Lots on the card. Quantity always gives me pause, but let's kick some ass.
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    GL today. Lots on the card. Quantity always gives me pause, but let's kick some ass.
     
     
    Gator11
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    Posted: Oct. 23, 2010 - 12:35 PM ET #450

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    gator: lean to iowa but dont know if they cover the (6pts)..

    thank you bobbie18 for the kind words..

     

    Thinker

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    gator: lean to iowa but dont know if they cover the (6pts)..

    thank you bobbie18 for the kind words..

     

    Thinker

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