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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

    «First Previous 171819 ... 596061 Next Last»
    TheThinker
    metslider
    JimmyLee
    nolemonasses
    butta01
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    «First Previous 171819 ... 596061 Next Last»
     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2010 - 12:53 PM ET #401

    yeah good luck with chicago, im not on them.. i merely pointed out how well that the program liked them today..

    Thinker

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    yeah good luck with chicago, im not on them.. i merely pointed out how well that the program liked them today..

    Thinker

     
    metslider
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2010 - 6:40 PM ET #402

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    update for wednesday oct 20

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 20 2010: $1544

     

    Power Ratings Program: 101-102 (+$544)

    TOP plays: 16-10 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    card for wednesday oct 20

     

    204. Phillies (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (blanton/bumgardner)

    205. texas (+1.60) $30 to win $48 (wilson/sabaitha)

    206. Buffalo (+1.00) $30 to win $30

     

    there will be no TOP plays released by me today... but the highest rated play today was the Chicago Blackhawks, in case anyone was interested in that... if you cant currently get buffalo at (+1.00) i would play it at (-1.05) the program likes them today... they could also be a good dog hours from now, so line shop that.. but for the purpose of this thread, i need to get the plays up now..

    Thinker

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    update for wednesday oct 20

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 20 2010: $1544

     

    Power Ratings Program: 101-102 (+$544)

    TOP plays: 16-10 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    card for wednesday oct 20

     

    204. Phillies (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (blanton/bumgardner)

    205. texas (+1.60) $30 to win $48 (wilson/sabaitha)

    206. Buffalo (+1.00) $30 to win $30

     

    there will be no TOP plays released by me today... but the highest rated play today was the Chicago Blackhawks, in case anyone was interested in that... if you cant currently get buffalo at (+1.00) i would play it at (-1.05) the program likes them today... they could also be a good dog hours from now, so line shop that.. but for the purpose of this thread, i need to get the plays up now..

    Thinker

     
    JimmyLee
    JimmyLee
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2010 - 7:19 PM ET #403

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    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2010 - 10:29 PM ET #404

    Buffalo
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    Buffalo
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 8:36 AM ET #405

    update for thursday oct 21 (day 47 of the 1000 days)

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Rating System: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    im going to give you the plays that i currently have right now but today im going to have to do some additional plays this afternoon. we have some lines that are close to a pickem and some teams will move to being a play later today... looks like quite a bit of action today but here is what i have so far..

    TOP play for thursday oct 21: Capitals (-1.15)

    this play is rated very strong by my program, do with that what you will..

    regular plays:

    SF Giants (+1.05) (lincecum/halladay)

    NY Rangers (+1.30)

    NJ Devils (+1.00) playing (-1.05) is ok here..

    Dallas (+1.05)

     

    ill be back this afternoon, no later than 4:30 pm cst with any additions.. i dont like doing this but today cannot be helped... ill repost all the plays, once i have the final card for today..

     

    Thinker

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    update for thursday oct 21 (day 47 of the 1000 days)

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Rating System: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    im going to give you the plays that i currently have right now but today im going to have to do some additional plays this afternoon. we have some lines that are close to a pickem and some teams will move to being a play later today... looks like quite a bit of action today but here is what i have so far..

    TOP play for thursday oct 21: Capitals (-1.15)

    this play is rated very strong by my program, do with that what you will..

    regular plays:

    SF Giants (+1.05) (lincecum/halladay)

    NY Rangers (+1.30)

    NJ Devils (+1.00) playing (-1.05) is ok here..

    Dallas (+1.05)

     

    ill be back this afternoon, no later than 4:30 pm cst with any additions.. i dont like doing this but today cannot be helped... ill repost all the plays, once i have the final card for today..

     

    Thinker

     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 9:20 AM ET #406

    let me try this update again..

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Ratings Program: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP Plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    plays for thursday oct 21

    207. Giants (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (lincecum/halladay)

    208. NY Rangers (+1.30) $30 to win $39

    209. NJ Devils (+1.00) $30 to win $30

    210. Dallas (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    211. Minnesota (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    212. LA Kings (+1.05) $30 to win $32

     

    TOP Play: Capitals (-1.15)

     

    I would advise, if your following along to play them all.. even if you have to lay (-1.05).. but of course that is your decision. I dont have all day to sit and wait on lines and then to run and post it... We should all line shop, some will get much better lines than me, others not so much... I like to get this information to you guys and then go on with my day... I will always line shop and so should you. 

    the only other selection that could be added today is the penguins tonight, against nashville... if i can get pittsburgh later today as a dog, i will add it...

    any questions feel free to ask..

     

    Thinker

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    let me try this update again..

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Ratings Program: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP Plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    plays for thursday oct 21

    207. Giants (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (lincecum/halladay)

    208. NY Rangers (+1.30) $30 to win $39

    209. NJ Devils (+1.00) $30 to win $30

    210. Dallas (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    211. Minnesota (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    212. LA Kings (+1.05) $30 to win $32

     

    TOP Play: Capitals (-1.15)

     

    I would advise, if your following along to play them all.. even if you have to lay (-1.05).. but of course that is your decision. I dont have all day to sit and wait on lines and then to run and post it... We should all line shop, some will get much better lines than me, others not so much... I like to get this information to you guys and then go on with my day... I will always line shop and so should you. 

    the only other selection that could be added today is the penguins tonight, against nashville... if i can get pittsburgh later today as a dog, i will add it...

    any questions feel free to ask..

     

    Thinker

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 10:02 AM ET #407

    quick question thinker, dont you think it would be a good idea to avoid dogs under 105 the least due to the kinda low return..thats almost a fave..
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    quick question thinker, dont you think it would be a good idea to avoid dogs under 105 the least due to the kinda low return..thats almost a fave..
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 10:24 AM ET #408

    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    quick question thinker, dont you think it would be a good idea to avoid dogs under 105 the least due to the kinda low return..thats almost a fave..

    A 100% return is too low?

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    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

    quick question thinker, dont you think it would be a good idea to avoid dogs under 105 the least due to the kinda low return..thats almost a fave..

    A 100% return is too low?

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 10:38 AM ET #409

    I'll continue to play the -105's

    The return is still okay, even if it's not +++

     

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    I'll continue to play the -105's

    The return is still okay, even if it's not +++

     

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 10:44 AM ET #410

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


    A 100% return is too low?


    ok. THINKER.
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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


    A 100% return is too low?


    ok. THINKER.
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:08 AM ET #411

    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:



    ok. THINKER.

    I guess you didn't wanna answer the question..

    ------------------------

    Tonight has potential to be a great Dog night. Live Dogs everywhere. Just added Pens at +101.

    Best of Luck tonight Thinker, and tailers.

    Cheers 

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    Quote Originally Posted by butta01:



    ok. THINKER.

    I guess you didn't wanna answer the question..

    ------------------------

    Tonight has potential to be a great Dog night. Live Dogs everywhere. Just added Pens at +101.

    Best of Luck tonight Thinker, and tailers.

    Cheers 

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:11 AM ET #412

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    I'll continue to play the -105's

    The return is still okay, even if it's not +++

     

    Butta was referring to the +105's and less, but I agree the -105's are still worth taking if you determine the game has +value.

    Best of Luck!

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    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    I'll continue to play the -105's

    The return is still okay, even if it's not +++

     

    Butta was referring to the +105's and less, but I agree the -105's are still worth taking if you determine the game has +value.

    Best of Luck!

     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:15 AM ET #413

    yeah thats a tough call guys... im personally playing anything (+1.00) or higher... i would play the (-1.05) if i had to....

    butta: i understand what your saying but id still play them....

    when you are following a mechanical program, you kinda need to play all the games... but of course this is only my opinion..

    more times than not its going to be better to wait and bet the dogs later but i dont want to sit around and wait to post the plays...

    ill just post them and you guys sort em out, id play them all...

     

    Thinker

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    yeah thats a tough call guys... im personally playing anything (+1.00) or higher... i would play the (-1.05) if i had to....

    butta: i understand what your saying but id still play them....

    when you are following a mechanical program, you kinda need to play all the games... but of course this is only my opinion..

    more times than not its going to be better to wait and bet the dogs later but i dont want to sit around and wait to post the plays...

    ill just post them and you guys sort em out, id play them all...

     

    Thinker

     
    butta01
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:25 AM ET #414

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    yeah thats a tough call guys... im personally playing anything (+1.00) or higher... i would play the (-1.05) if i had to....

    butta: i understand what your saying but id still play them....

    when you are following a mechanical program, you kinda need to play all the games... but of course this is only my opinion..

    more times than not its going to be better to wait and bet the dogs later but i dont want to sit around and wait to post the plays...

    ill just post them and you guys sort em out, id play them all...

     

    Thinker



    That's true....was just a simple question and thanks for the simple answer...
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    yeah thats a tough call guys... im personally playing anything (+1.00) or higher... i would play the (-1.05) if i had to....

    butta: i understand what your saying but id still play them....

    when you are following a mechanical program, you kinda need to play all the games... but of course this is only my opinion..

    more times than not its going to be better to wait and bet the dogs later but i dont want to sit around and wait to post the plays...

    ill just post them and you guys sort em out, id play them all...

     

    Thinker



    That's true....was just a simple question and thanks for the simple answer...
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:34 AM ET #415

    no problem butta:

    this thread is merely about the project for me (taking 1k out of my bankroll and trying to turn it into 100k in 33 months)....

    in reality, i am now making each wager for more than $30.... i am making the TOP plays for alot more than $30.... but i dont care to go into the specifics here... i line shop and often times wait and bet some games later but i can do that with this thread....

    for the very long haul, i see a day when ill be playing the ML Underdog program plays for 1% of bankroll and playing the TOP plays for 2.5% of bankroll...

    i think that is where im ultimately headed, once all the minor details are sorted out... and im getting there with those...

    but for this thread, i want to stay on course... id be glad to answer privately how i feel you should play your personal bankroll... id also tell you which plays are rated higher, if you want to know but i dont want to get into that here....

    the rangers, stars and nj are stronger than the wild, kings and giants today.. but i am playing them all equally for now, as i can get them all at plus juice... pitt is actually rated a little higher as well and the capitals are rated very high, thats why they are the TOP play today.. i couldnt ignore them...

    sorry for the rambling and im headed out until 2:00 pm cst.. ill return then... feel free to always ask questions, when you want..

     

    Thinker

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    no problem butta:

    this thread is merely about the project for me (taking 1k out of my bankroll and trying to turn it into 100k in 33 months)....

    in reality, i am now making each wager for more than $30.... i am making the TOP plays for alot more than $30.... but i dont care to go into the specifics here... i line shop and often times wait and bet some games later but i can do that with this thread....

    for the very long haul, i see a day when ill be playing the ML Underdog program plays for 1% of bankroll and playing the TOP plays for 2.5% of bankroll...

    i think that is where im ultimately headed, once all the minor details are sorted out... and im getting there with those...

    but for this thread, i want to stay on course... id be glad to answer privately how i feel you should play your personal bankroll... id also tell you which plays are rated higher, if you want to know but i dont want to get into that here....

    the rangers, stars and nj are stronger than the wild, kings and giants today.. but i am playing them all equally for now, as i can get them all at plus juice... pitt is actually rated a little higher as well and the capitals are rated very high, thats why they are the TOP play today.. i couldnt ignore them...

    sorry for the rambling and im headed out until 2:00 pm cst.. ill return then... feel free to always ask questions, when you want..

     

    Thinker

     
    Strategic_Bets
    Strategic_Bets
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 11:58 AM ET #416

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    let me try this update again..

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Ratings Program: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP Plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    plays for thursday oct 21

    207. Giants (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (lincecum/halladay)

    208. NY Rangers (+1.30) $30 to win $39

    209. NJ Devils (+1.00) $30 to win $30

    210. Dallas (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    211. Minnesota (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    212. LA Kings (+1.05) $30 to win $32

     

    TOP Play: Capitals (-1.15)

     

    I would advise, if your following along to play them all.. even if you have to lay (-1.05).. but of course that is your decision. I dont have all day to sit and wait on lines and then to run and post it... We should all line shop, some will get much better lines than me, others not so much... I like to get this information to you guys and then go on with my day... I will always line shop and so should you. 

    the only other selection that could be added today is the penguins tonight, against nashville... if i can get pittsburgh later today as a dog, i will add it...

    any questions feel free to ask..

     

    Thinker

    On the Giants, Rangers, Stars, and Caps
    Against you on Pens and Kings

    BOL

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    let me try this update again..

    Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

    Current Balance on oct 21 2010: $1514

     

    Power Ratings Program: 102-104 (+$514)

    TOP Plays: 10-6 (+3.90 units) (63%)

     

    plays for thursday oct 21

    207. Giants (+1.05) $30 to win $32 (lincecum/halladay)

    208. NY Rangers (+1.30) $30 to win $39

    209. NJ Devils (+1.00) $30 to win $30

    210. Dallas (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    211. Minnesota (+1.05) $30 to win $32

    212. LA Kings (+1.05) $30 to win $32

     

    TOP Play: Capitals (-1.15)

     

    I would advise, if your following along to play them all.. even if you have to lay (-1.05).. but of course that is your decision. I dont have all day to sit and wait on lines and then to run and post it... We should all line shop, some will get much better lines than me, others not so much... I like to get this information to you guys and then go on with my day... I will always line shop and so should you. 

    the only other selection that could be added today is the penguins tonight, against nashville... if i can get pittsburgh later today as a dog, i will add it...

    any questions feel free to ask..

     

    Thinker

    On the Giants, Rangers, Stars, and Caps
    Against you on Pens and Kings

    BOL

     
    bwcareer
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 1:02 PM ET #417

    are you guys seeing a surge on the Devils line?

    Up to -125 at my book. Guess I missed that play.

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    are you guys seeing a surge on the Devils line?

    Up to -125 at my book. Guess I missed that play.

     
    metslider
    metslider
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    Posts: 211
    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 1:04 PM ET #418

    Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

    are you guys seeing a surge on the Devils line?

    Up to -125 at my book. Guess I missed that play.



    yes i got it in early at -105.  still waiting on pitt but i doubt it gets better than -110.  if it stays -110 i will pass
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    Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

    are you guys seeing a surge on the Devils line?

    Up to -125 at my book. Guess I missed that play.



    yes i got it in early at -105.  still waiting on pitt but i doubt it gets better than -110.  if it stays -110 i will pass
     
    squinta1
    squinta1
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 2:54 PM ET #419

    Thnker,

     

    Great work you've done, and coninue to do here. I just wanted to mention an option that would make this even more profitable. When you buy-in to 5dimes, instead of accepting a bonus of a percentage of your deposit, you can accept what they call reduced lines. On the average you get another 5 cents on the dollar when playing dogs, or 5 cents less on faves. You can obviously see how this would greatly increase your payouts over this long process.

    BOL Thinker

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    Thnker,

     

    Great work you've done, and coninue to do here. I just wanted to mention an option that would make this even more profitable. When you buy-in to 5dimes, instead of accepting a bonus of a percentage of your deposit, you can accept what they call reduced lines. On the average you get another 5 cents on the dollar when playing dogs, or 5 cents less on faves. You can obviously see how this would greatly increase your payouts over this long process.

    BOL Thinker

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 3:47 PM ET #420

    Quote Originally Posted by squinta1:

    Thnker,

     

    Great work you've done, and coninue to do here. I just wanted to mention an option that would make this even more profitable. When you buy-in to 5dimes, instead of accepting a bonus of a percentage of your deposit, you can accept what they call reduced lines. On the average you get another 5 cents on the dollar when playing dogs, or 5 cents less on faves. You can obviously see how this would greatly increase your payouts over this long process.

    BOL Thinker

    I have a 5Dimes Account with the Reduced Juice Bonus. For US customers, it definitely beats the majority of other Sportsbooks. A few cents here and there definitely adds up when you're betting over the long haul. If you're in Canada and can use Pinnacle tho, their regular lines are still better than 5Dimes reduced lines.

    Always nice to have options.

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    Quote Originally Posted by squinta1:

    Thnker,

     

    Great work you've done, and coninue to do here. I just wanted to mention an option that would make this even more profitable. When you buy-in to 5dimes, instead of accepting a bonus of a percentage of your deposit, you can accept what they call reduced lines. On the average you get another 5 cents on the dollar when playing dogs, or 5 cents less on faves. You can obviously see how this would greatly increase your payouts over this long process.

    BOL Thinker

    I have a 5Dimes Account with the Reduced Juice Bonus. For US customers, it definitely beats the majority of other Sportsbooks. A few cents here and there definitely adds up when you're betting over the long haul. If you're in Canada and can use Pinnacle tho, their regular lines are still better than 5Dimes reduced lines.

    Always nice to have options.

     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 4:08 PM ET #421

    nothing else for me today guys... ill go with the 6 plays listed above and the TOP play...

     

    good luck

     

    Thinker

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    nothing else for me today guys... ill go with the 6 plays listed above and the TOP play...

     

    good luck

     

    Thinker

     
    Budman717
    Budman717
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 4:14 PM ET #422

    Thanks for your hard work.

    Kreatture, good to hear from you again. 

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    Thanks for your hard work.

    Kreatture, good to hear from you again. 

     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 4:43 PM ET #423

    no problem guys, i wound up not playing the penguins tonight... good luck to those that did...

    Thinker

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    no problem guys, i wound up not playing the penguins tonight... good luck to those that did...

    Thinker

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2010 - 5:00 PM ET #424

    I've got the Pens +1.5 from my NHL road chase, so I'll just stick with that instead of taking the ML..
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    I've got the Pens +1.5 from my NHL road chase, so I'll just stick with that instead of taking the ML..
     
     
    BOOM_Roasted
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    Posted: Oct. 22, 2010 - 12:36 AM ET #425

    5-2 in NHL tonight, nice job.

    Just need that MLB picks to start kicking in and we should be good.
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    5-2 in NHL tonight, nice job.

    Just need that MLB picks to start kicking in and we should be good.
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