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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Post All-Star Home System

    «First Previous 192021 ... 464748 Next Last»
    hawk007
    TheBeefMan
    Luckydan
    Danrules24
    conrad63
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 193837
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    «First Previous 192021 ... 464748 Next Last»
     
    hawk007
    hawk007
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2013 - 2:27 PM ET #451

    So....How many units is this system down?
    Reply
    So....How many units is this system down?
     
    TheBeefMan
    TheBeefMan
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2013 - 10:11 AM ET #452

    Quote Originally Posted by hawk007:

    So....How many units is this system down?

    Don't know how many units the Texas series would've costed had you played a 6- game chase. Probably in the ballpark of 150-200. But I doubt anyone played it like that.

    I'm personally up 6 units with the betting structure I outline earlier. I would really recommend it. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by hawk007:

    So....How many units is this system down?

    Don't know how many units the Texas series would've costed had you played a 6- game chase. Probably in the ballpark of 150-200. But I doubt anyone played it like that.

    I'm personally up 6 units with the betting structure I outline earlier. I would really recommend it. 
     
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2013 - 11:30 PM ET #453

    Game 1  -164
    Game 2  -125
    Game 3  -129
    Game 4  -121
    Game 5  -160
    Game 6  -134

    Do the math. It ain't pretty.

    GL

    Reply
    Game 1  -164
    Game 2  -125
    Game 3  -129
    Game 4  -121
    Game 5  -160
    Game 6  -134

    Do the math. It ain't pretty.

    GL

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2013 - 1:44 AM ET #454

    How is anyone not profiting off this system?
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
    Reply
    How is anyone not profiting off this system?
     
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2013 - 6:53 PM ET #455

    Depends if one went the distance last week with Texas. If you cut off after game 2,3 or 4, you are still fine. If you went to the mat with the system, you are singing a different tune. A dollar player was up about 3K before the implosion.

    GL
    Reply
    Depends if one went the distance last week with Texas. If you cut off after game 2,3 or 4, you are still fine. If you went to the mat with the system, you are singing a different tune. A dollar player was up about 3K before the implosion.

    GL
     
    conrad63
    conrad63
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2013 - 6:15 AM ET #456

    Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
    TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

    GL
    Reply
    Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
    TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

    GL
     
    conrad63
    conrad63
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2013 - 6:26 AM ET #457

    Sorry, ST Louis not Pittsburgh.
    Reply
    Sorry, ST Louis not Pittsburgh.
     
    CKP22
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2013 - 9:57 AM ET #458

    Quote Originally Posted by conrad63:

    Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
    TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

    GL


    Since the Braves just won the division, I may wait to see what kind of lineup they throw out there. They do have a 1.5-game lead for the best record so still do have something to play for.  As for the others, I'll be on them.  I'm sure the Rangers will once again work their magic.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by conrad63:

    Is anyone going for all four game 1 plays today? 
    TEXAS, ATLANTA, CINNCINATI  and PITTSBURGH.

    GL


    Since the Braves just won the division, I may wait to see what kind of lineup they throw out there. They do have a 1.5-game lead for the best record so still do have something to play for.  As for the others, I'll be on them.  I'm sure the Rangers will once again work their magic.
     
    CKP22
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2013 - 10:41 AM ET #459

    Rangers, Reds and Cardinals all clear out. Braves on Game 2, then Orioles for Game 1.  That will do it for this season, which won't be profitable for some due to the Rangers.
    Reply
    Rangers, Reds and Cardinals all clear out. Braves on Game 2, then Orioles for Game 1.  That will do it for this season, which won't be profitable for some due to the Rangers.
     
    CKP22
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2013 - 12:57 AM ET #460

    Well, that will do it for the season as the Orioles clear on Game 2.

    Unfortunately, the system endured its first loss since I started tracking in 1999.

    2013 season:
    Record: 37-1
    Game 1 wins -- 23
    Game 2 wins -- 11
    Game 3 wins --  1
    Game 4 wins --  2

    The overall record stands at 488-1.
    Game 1 wins -- 290
    Game 2 wins -- 139
    Game 3 wins --  43
    Game 4 wins --  10
    Game 5 wins --  4
    Game 6 wins --  1

    There always are tweaks to made, ways to manage your money and learn as you go. For me, I'll never endure a six-game chase even though that's what the system says. Depending on how I'm doing, I'll reinvest my money elsewhere or cut teams earlier.  I cut Texas after four games.  Hopefullly, no one got destroyed with them.

    In the last three seasons, the system has produced 84 wins, with 82 of them in the first three games.  Perhaps that's the way to go in the future, just cut things after three games.  You would've lost twice there but things would've been OK.

    I'm always open to suggestions for the future on how to improve. If anyone has advice, let's hear it.

    Thanks to everyone who participated and kept the bashing out of the thread. We all rant, including myself quite often which makes things fun from time to time.

    Best of luck to everyone moving forward.

    Chris



    Reply
    Well, that will do it for the season as the Orioles clear on Game 2.

    Unfortunately, the system endured its first loss since I started tracking in 1999.

    2013 season:
    Record: 37-1
    Game 1 wins -- 23
    Game 2 wins -- 11
    Game 3 wins --  1
    Game 4 wins --  2

    The overall record stands at 488-1.
    Game 1 wins -- 290
    Game 2 wins -- 139
    Game 3 wins --  43
    Game 4 wins --  10
    Game 5 wins --  4
    Game 6 wins --  1

    There always are tweaks to made, ways to manage your money and learn as you go. For me, I'll never endure a six-game chase even though that's what the system says. Depending on how I'm doing, I'll reinvest my money elsewhere or cut teams earlier.  I cut Texas after four games.  Hopefullly, no one got destroyed with them.

    In the last three seasons, the system has produced 84 wins, with 82 of them in the first three games.  Perhaps that's the way to go in the future, just cut things after three games.  You would've lost twice there but things would've been OK.

    I'm always open to suggestions for the future on how to improve. If anyone has advice, let's hear it.

    Thanks to everyone who participated and kept the bashing out of the thread. We all rant, including myself quite often which makes things fun from time to time.

    Best of luck to everyone moving forward.

    Chris



     
    DeFacto
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    Posted: May. 8, 2014 - 3:21 PM ET #461

    I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

    Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.
    Reply
    I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

    Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.
     
    JEFFTHEHAT
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    Posted: May. 8, 2014 - 3:57 PM ET #462

    Quote Originally Posted by DeFacto:

    I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

    Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.

    If you do that it's 34-11 still 75.5% but I'm sure the ave. was at least 
    -160  which doesn't leave much profit. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DeFacto:

    I recommend people just chasing 2 games. In 2013 this system went 34/38 = 89%. Overall this system is 429/489 = 88%

    Why in the world would some play roulette like that when you can just take the win on game A or B and if the system somehow finds its way to C back off and dip for A or B which you have GREAT odds to win.

    If you do that it's 34-11 still 75.5% but I'm sure the ave. was at least 
    -160  which doesn't leave much profit. 
     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: May. 8, 2014 - 4:27 PM ET #463

    Yes but if you split your loss and transfer half of it to the next A game due up you should be okay right?
    Reply
    Yes but if you split your loss and transfer half of it to the next A game due up you should be okay right?
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2014 - 11:48 AM ET #464

    Coming soon........
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
    Reply
    Coming soon........
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2014 - 11:22 PM ET #465

    can't wait!
    Reply
    can't wait!
     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2014 - 2:45 AM ET #466

    We won't have to worry about the Rangers being part of the system this season.  Ha Ha.
    Reply
    We won't have to worry about the Rangers being part of the system this season.  Ha Ha.
     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2014 - 6:10 AM ET #467

    Looking over the standings, only 2 teams are locks to qualify (Oakland, Detroit).  The Angels, Dodgers, Giants, and Cardinals would all have to win these next 2 games to qualify,  The Brewers and Orioles have to win one of the remaining two games to qualify.  Since the Cards and Brewers are playing each other, only one will qualify.  There's a very good possibility that there could only be 3 teams to qualify this season after having a record number of teams qualify last season.
    Reply
    Looking over the standings, only 2 teams are locks to qualify (Oakland, Detroit).  The Angels, Dodgers, Giants, and Cardinals would all have to win these next 2 games to qualify,  The Brewers and Orioles have to win one of the remaining two games to qualify.  Since the Cards and Brewers are playing each other, only one will qualify.  There's a very good possibility that there could only be 3 teams to qualify this season after having a record number of teams qualify last season.
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2014 - 9:36 AM ET #468

    Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........
    Reply
    Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........
     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2014 - 7:28 PM ET #469

    Quote Originally Posted by kenkean89:

    Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........

     

    Yeah, for whatever reason, I read their record to be 8 games over, not 18.  In my defense, it was late at night.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by kenkean89:

    Angels are a lock, 19 games above .500......lets roll guys. Thanks Chris........

     

    Yeah, for whatever reason, I read their record to be 8 games over, not 18.  In my defense, it was late at night.

     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2014 - 7:33 PM ET #470

    So here are this years qualifiers:

    Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

     

    Reply

    So here are this years qualifiers:

    Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

     

     
    CKP22
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2014 - 8:55 PM ET #471

    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

    So here are this years qualifiers:

    Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

     


    100 percent agree about Brewers.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

    So here are this years qualifiers:

    Oakland, LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Detroit, Milwaukee (thread lightly folks) and Baltimore pending.  If they win they're in. 

     


    100 percent agree about Brewers.  
     
    nickjr
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2014 - 6:31 PM ET #472

    Guys, you would not had a loss in this system last year with TEAXS...if you dont start a chase against another team that is 10+ games over .500

    something to think about?

    Reply

    Guys, you would not had a loss in this system last year with TEAXS...if you dont start a chase against another team that is 10+ games over .500

    something to think about?

     
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2014 - 10:18 AM ET #473

    While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

    GL
    Reply
    While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

    GL
     
    Goodsy
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2014 - 10:00 PM ET #474

    Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:

    While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

    GL

    Beautifully said and agree completely..

    While it is always important to go back over notes or look at how to avoid a similar loss in a system... sometimes, you just gotta say they were too good this time..
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:

    While this is true, you would have eliminated a number of wins over the 15 years that this system has been tracked. If you look closely at the 6 games that Texas lost last year, Darvish lost two 1-0 games, and a third game was lost because of Nathan coughing up a lead in the ninth...some things never change. The law of averages were against always winning. If two teams can pull out six wins at Texas like Oakland and Pittsburgh did last year, tip your hat and move on. While it was painful, it reinforces the fact that no system is 100% accurate.

    GL

    Beautifully said and agree completely..

    While it is always important to go back over notes or look at how to avoid a similar loss in a system... sometimes, you just gotta say they were too good this time..
     
     
    rp-rt
    rp-rt
    Prospect
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    Posts: 100
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2014 - 10:34 AM ET #475

    Okay, this is what I have. Please verify.

    BAL - 7/29, 8/8, 8/25, 9/12

    DET - 7/29, 9/6, 9/22

    LAA - 7/18, 8/6, 8/25, 9/12

    LAD - 7/29, 8/15, 9/1, 9/22

    MIL - 7/21, 8/5, 9/4

    OAK - 7/18, 8/1, 9/1, 9/16

    LAA and OAK both start today!

    Reply

    Okay, this is what I have. Please verify.

    BAL - 7/29, 8/8, 8/25, 9/12

    DET - 7/29, 9/6, 9/22

    LAA - 7/18, 8/6, 8/25, 9/12

    LAD - 7/29, 8/15, 9/1, 9/22

    MIL - 7/21, 8/5, 9/4

    OAK - 7/18, 8/1, 9/1, 9/16

    LAA and OAK both start today!

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